Tidewater (TDW) shares have caught investor attention lately, with the stock posting a 10% gain over the month despite a slight dip in the past day. This recent price action offers an interesting backdrop to revisit the fundamentals.
While Tidewater’s short-term moves have grabbed headlines, the company’s year-long track record is equally noteworthy. The past 12 months saw a total shareholder return of 3.1%, and the recent 10% one-month share price gain suggests momentum may be picking up again after a quieter stretch.
With Tidewater shares still trading below analyst price targets as profits grow, the big question for investors remains: is the recent uptick just the beginning of a bigger move, or has the market already accounted for the company’s future growth prospects?
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Most Popular Narrative: 8.7% Undervalued
Compared to the recent closing price, the narrative’s fair value calculation puts Tidewater shares at nearly 9% below what analysts expect long term. This gap signals room for optimism among those who see fundamental drivers in play.
Multi-year offshore project pipeline, particularly in deepwater regions such as Africa, Brazil, the Caribbean, and Asia Pacific, remains robust. This is underpinned by the world's rising energy demand and depletion of onshore reserves, supporting increased demand for Tidewater's fleet and driving top-line and cash flow growth from 2026 onward.
Want to know the formula for these high hopes? This narrative rests on stronger profitability and a future share count shrink. There is a bold case for earnings and margins baked in here. Ready to uncover what numbers are fueling this price target? Click through to see the full breakdown and the assumptions powering the fair value estimate.
However, risks such as persistent offshore market softness or integration challenges in acquisitions could quickly shift momentum away from this optimistic narrative.
Another View: SWS DCF Model Puts Shares Deeply Undervalued
Taking a different approach, our SWS DCF model estimates Tidewater's fair value at $178.63, which is far above the current price. This suggests the market may be overlooking long-term cash flow potential, even as other valuation methods see more limited upside. Will the market catch on?
If you’d rather dig into the numbers yourself and see things from a fresh perspective, taking a few minutes is all it takes to craft your own outlook. Do it your way
A good starting point is our analysis highlighting 2 key rewards investors are optimistic about regarding Tidewater.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data
and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your
financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data.
Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material.
Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
Valuation is complex, but we're here to simplify it.
Discover if Tidewater might be undervalued or overvalued with our detailed analysis, featuring fair value estimates, potential risks, dividends, insider trades, and its financial condition.
Provides offshore support vessels and marine support services to the offshore energy industry through the operation of a fleet of offshore marine service vessels worldwide.
