HollyFrontier
Market Cap
US$5.7b
Last Updated
2021/04/18 22:22 UTC
Data Sources
Company Financials +
Executive Summary
HollyFrontier Corporation operates as an independent petroleum refiner in the United States. More Details
Rewards
Risk Analysis
Snowflake Analysis
Average dividend payer and fair value.
Similar Companies
Share Price & News
How has HollyFrontier's share price performed over time and what events caused price changes?
Latest Share Price and Events
Stable Share Price: HFC is not significantly more volatile than the rest of US stocks over the past 3 months, typically moving +/- 7% a week.
Volatility Over Time: HFC's weekly volatility (7%) has been stable over the past year.
Market Performance
7 Day Return
0.9%
HFC
0.4%
US Oil and Gas
1.3%
US Market
1 Year Return
31.3%
HFC
43.9%
US Oil and Gas
53.8%
US Market
Return vs Industry: HFC underperformed the US Oil and Gas industry which returned 43.9% over the past year.
Return vs Market: HFC underperformed the US Market which returned 53.9% over the past year.
Shareholder returns
| HFC | Industry | Market | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 7 Day | 0.9% | 0.4% | 1.3% |
| 30 Day | -2.2% | -0.3% | 5.1% |
| 90 Day | 25.8% | 13.9% | 8.9% |
| 1 Year | 38.0%31.3% | 53.8%43.9% | 56.6%53.8% |
| 3 Year | -32.7%-39.1% | -18.0%-29.5% | 64.4%53.6% |
| 5 Year | 18.0%-2.0% | -4.5%-23.8% | 120.4%95.7% |
Long-Term Price Volatility Vs. Market
How volatile is HollyFrontier's share price compared to the market and industry in the last 5 years?
Simply Wall St News
3 days ago | Simply Wall St
Here's How Much HollyFrontier (NYSE:HFC) Has Returned To Its Shareholders Over The Past Year3 weeks ago | Simply Wall St
Is HollyFrontier Corporation (NYSE:HFC) A Good Dividend Stock?Valuation
Is HollyFrontier undervalued compared to its fair value and its price relative to the market?
24.0%
Undervalued compared to fair value
Share Price vs. Fair Value
Below Fair Value: HFC ($35.48) is trading below our estimate of fair value ($46.66)
Significantly Below Fair Value: HFC is trading below fair value by more than 20%.
Price To Earnings Ratio
PE vs Industry: HFC is unprofitable, so we can't compare its PE Ratio to the US Oil and Gas industry average.
PE vs Market: HFC is unprofitable, so we can't compare its PE Ratio to the US market.
Price to Earnings Growth Ratio
PEG Ratio: Insufficient data to calculate HFC's PEG Ratio to determine if it is good value.
Price to Book Ratio
PB vs Industry: HFC is good value based on its PB Ratio (1.1x) compared to the US Oil and Gas industry average (1.4x).
Future Growth
How is HollyFrontier forecast to perform in the next 1 to 3 years based on estimates from 10 analysts?
64.7%
Forecasted annual earnings growth
Earnings and Revenue Growth Forecasts
Analyst Future Growth Forecasts
Earnings vs Savings Rate: HFC is forecast to become profitable over the next 3 years, which is considered faster growth than the savings rate (2%).
Earnings vs Market: HFC is forecast to become profitable over the next 3 years, which is considered above average market growth.
High Growth Earnings: HFC's is expected to become profitable in the next 3 years.
Revenue vs Market: HFC's revenue (9% per year) is forecast to grow slower than the US market (9.3% per year).
High Growth Revenue: HFC's revenue (9% per year) is forecast to grow slower than 20% per year.
Earnings per Share Growth Forecasts
Future Return on Equity
Future ROE: HFC's Return on Equity is forecast to be low in 3 years time (10.3%).
Past Performance
How has HollyFrontier performed over the past 5 years?
0.8%
Historical annual earnings growth
Earnings and Revenue History
Quality Earnings: HFC is currently unprofitable.
Growing Profit Margin: HFC is currently unprofitable.
Past Earnings Growth Analysis
Earnings Trend: HFC is unprofitable, but has reduced losses over the past 5 years at a rate of 0.8% per year.
Accelerating Growth: Unable to compare HFC's earnings growth over the past year to its 5-year average as it is currently unprofitable
Earnings vs Industry: HFC is unprofitable, making it difficult to compare its past year earnings growth to the Oil and Gas industry (-44.6%).
Return on Equity
High ROE: HFC has a negative Return on Equity (-9%), as it is currently unprofitable.
Financial Health
How is HollyFrontier's financial position?
Financial Position Analysis
Short Term Liabilities: HFC's short term assets ($3.3B) exceed its short term liabilities ($1.4B).
Long Term Liabilities: HFC's short term assets ($3.3B) do not cover its long term liabilities ($4.4B).
Debt to Equity History and Analysis
Debt Level: HFC's debt to equity ratio (54.9%) is considered high.
Reducing Debt: HFC's debt to equity ratio has increased from 18% to 54.9% over the past 5 years.
Debt Coverage: HFC's debt is not well covered by operating cash flow (14.6%).
Interest Coverage: Insufficient data to determine if HFC's interest payments on its debt are well covered by EBIT.
Balance Sheet
Dividend
What is HollyFrontier current dividend yield, its reliability and sustainability?
3.95%
Current Dividend Yield
Dividend Yield vs Market
Notable Dividend: HFC's dividend (3.95%) is higher than the bottom 25% of dividend payers in the US market (1.24%).
High Dividend: HFC's dividend (3.95%) is in the top 25% of dividend payers in the US market (3.46%)
Stability and Growth of Payments
Stable Dividend: HFC's dividend payments have been volatile in the past 10 years.
Growing Dividend: HFC's dividend payments have increased over the past 10 years.
Current Payout to Shareholders
Dividend Coverage: HFC is paying a dividend but the company is unprofitable.
Future Payout to Shareholders
Future Dividend Coverage: HFC's dividends in 3 years are forecast to be well covered by earnings (46.5% payout ratio).
Next Steps
Management
How experienced are the management team and are they aligned to shareholders interests?
1.7yrs
Average management tenure
CEO
Mike Jennings (54 yo)
1.25yrs
Tenure
US$7,646,095
Compensation
Mr. Michael C. Jennings, also known as Mike, serves as Chief Executive Officer and President of HollyFrontier Corporation since January 1, 2020. He has been the Chairman of Holly Logistic Services LLC, a G...
CEO Compensation Analysis
Compensation vs Market: Mike's total compensation ($USD7.65M) is about average for companies of similar size in the US market ($USD6.51M).
Compensation vs Earnings: Mike's compensation has increased whilst the company is unprofitable.
Leadership Team
Experienced Management: HFC's management team is not considered experienced ( 1.7 years average tenure), which suggests a new team.
Board Members
Experienced Board: HFC's board of directors are considered experienced (6.8 years average tenure).
Ownership
Who are the major shareholders and have insiders been buying or selling?
Insider Trading Volume
Insider Buying: HFC insiders have bought more shares than they have sold in the past 3 months.
Recent Insider Transactions
Ownership Breakdown
Dilution of Shares: Shareholders have not been meaningfully diluted in the past year.
Top Shareholders
Company Information
HollyFrontier Corporation's company bio, employee growth, exchange listings and data sources
Key Information
- Name: HollyFrontier Corporation
- Ticker: HFC
- Exchange: NYSE
- Founded: 1947
- Industry: Oil and Gas Refining and Marketing
- Sector: Energy
- Market Cap: US$5.730b
- Shares outstanding: 162.41m
- Website: https://www.hollyfrontier.com
Number of Employees
Location
- HollyFrontier Corporation
- 2828 North Harwood
- Suite 1300
- Dallas
- Texas
- 75201
- United States
Listings
Biography
HollyFrontier Corporation operates as an independent petroleum refiner in the United States. The company operates through three segments: Refining, Lubricants and Specialty Products, and HEP. It primarily ...
Company Analysis and Financial Data Status
| Data | Last Updated (UTC time) |
|---|---|
| Company Analysis | 2021/04/18 22:22 |
| End of Day Share Price | 2021/04/16 00:00 |
| Earnings | 2020/12/31 |
| Annual Earnings | 2020/12/31 |
Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more here.