NYSE:COP

Stock Analysis Report

Executive Summary

ConocoPhillips explores for, produces, transports, and markets crude oil, bitumen, natural gas, liquefied natural gas (LNG), and natural gas liquids worldwide.


Snowflake Analysis

Good value with proven track record and pays a dividend.


Similar Companies

Share Price & News

How has ConocoPhillips's share price performed over time and what events caused price changes?


Latest Share Price and Events

Stable Share Price: COP's share price has been volatile over the past 3 months.


Market Performance


7 Day Return

9.0%

COP

12.3%

US Oil and Gas

10.5%

US Market


1 Year Return

-56.2%

COP

-56.4%

US Oil and Gas

-11.5%

US Market

Return vs Industry: COP matched the US Oil and Gas industry which returned -56.4% over the past year.

Return vs Market: COP underperformed the US Market which returned -11.5% over the past year.


Shareholder returns

COPIndustryMarket
7 Day9.0%12.3%10.5%
30 Day-39.6%-35.6%-15.4%
90 Day-54.7%-51.6%-21.4%
1 Year-55.1%-56.2%-54.6%-56.4%-9.6%-11.5%
3 Year-37.5%-41.3%-52.0%-56.6%12.6%5.4%
5 Year-47.1%-53.7%-54.7%-61.6%32.8%18.1%

Price Volatility Vs. Market

How volatile is ConocoPhillips's share price compared to the market and industry in the last 5 years?


Simply Wall St News

Valuation

Is ConocoPhillips undervalued compared to its fair value and its price relative to the market?

47.1%

Undervalued compared to fair value


Share Price vs. Fair Value

Below Fair Value: COP ($29.25) is trading below our estimate of fair value ($54.77)

Significantly Below Fair Value: COP is trading below fair value by more than 20%.


Price To Earnings Ratio

PE vs Industry: COP is good value based on its PE Ratio (4.5x) compared to the Oil and Gas industry average (7.1x).

PE vs Market: COP is good value based on its PE Ratio (4.5x) compared to the US market (13x).


Price to Earnings Growth Ratio

PEG Ratio: COP's earnings are forecast to decline next year, so we can't calculate its PEG ratio.


Price to Book Ratio

PB vs Industry: COP is overvalued based on its PB Ratio (0.9x) compared to the US Oil and Gas industry average (0.5x).


Next Steps

Future Growth

How is ConocoPhillips forecast to perform in the next 1 to 3 years based on estimates from 17 analysts?

-9.0%

Forecasted annual earnings growth


Earnings and Revenue Growth Forecasts


Analyst Future Growth Forecasts

Earnings vs Savings Rate: COP's earnings are forecast to decline over the next 3 years (-9% per year).

Earnings vs Market: COP's earnings are forecast to decline over the next 3 years (-9% per year).

High Growth Earnings: COP's earnings are forecast to decline over the next 3 years.

Revenue vs Market: COP's revenue is expected to decline over the next 3 years (-1.3% per year).

High Growth Revenue: COP's revenue is forecast to decline over the next 3 years (-1.3% per year).


Earnings per Share Growth Forecasts


Future Return on Equity

Future ROE: COP's Return on Equity is forecast to be low in 3 years time (10.3%).


Next Steps

Past Performance

How has ConocoPhillips performed over the past 5 years?

39.6%

Historical annual earnings growth


Earnings and Revenue History

Quality Earnings: COP has a large one-off gain of $2.2B impacting its December 31 2019 financial results.

Growing Profit Margin: COP's current net profit margins (21.6%) are higher than last year (16.7%).


Past Earnings Growth Analysis

Earnings Trend: COP's earnings have grown significantly by 39.6% per year over the past 5 years.

Accelerating Growth: COP's earnings growth over the past year (14.9%) is below its 5-year average (39.6% per year).

Earnings vs Industry: COP earnings growth over the past year (14.9%) exceeded the Oil and Gas industry -11.4%.


Return on Equity

High ROE: COP's Return on Equity (20.7%) is considered high.


Next Steps

Financial Health

How is ConocoPhillips's financial position?


Financial Position Analysis

Short Term Liabilities: COP's short term assets ($16.9B) exceed its short term liabilities ($7.0B).

Long Term Liabilities: COP's short term assets ($16.9B) do not cover its long term liabilities ($28.4B).


Debt to Equity History and Analysis

Debt Level: COP's debt to equity ratio (40.4%) is considered high.

Reducing Debt: COP's debt to equity ratio has reduced from 43.2% to 40.4% over the past 5 years.

Debt Coverage: COP's debt is well covered by operating cash flow (78.3%).

Interest Coverage: COP's interest payments on its debt are well covered by EBIT (12.1x coverage).


Balance Sheet

Inventory Level: COP has a high level of physical assets or inventory.

Debt Coverage by Assets: COP's debt is covered by short term assets (assets are 1.2x debt).


Next Steps

Dividend

What is ConocoPhillips's current dividend yield, its reliability and sustainability?

5.74%

Current Dividend Yield


Dividend Yield vs Market

Notable Dividend: COP's dividend (5.74%) is higher than the bottom 25% of dividend payers in the US market (1.98%).

High Dividend: COP's dividend (5.74%) is in the top 25% of dividend payers in the US market (5.45%)


Stability and Growth of Payments

Stable Dividend: COP's dividend payments have been volatile in the past 10 years.

Growing Dividend: COP's dividend payments have fallen over the past 10 years.


Current Payout to Shareholders

Dividend Coverage: With its low payout ratio (20.7%), COP's dividend payments are well covered by earnings.


Future Payout to Shareholders

Future Dividend Coverage: COP's dividends in 3 years are forecast to be covered by earnings (59.8% payout ratio).


Next Steps

Management

How experienced are the management team and are they aligned to shareholders interests?

4.9yrs

Average management tenure


CEO

Ryan Lance (57yo)

7.83s

Tenure

US$23,406,270

Compensation

Mr. Ryan M. Lance has been Chief Executive Officer at ConocoPhillips Company since May 2012. Mr. Lance serves as the Chief Executive Officer at ConocoPhillips (U.K.) Limited. He has 28 years of oil and nat ...


CEO Compensation Analysis

Compensation vs Market: Ryan's total compensation ($USD23.41M) is above average for companies of similar size in the US market ($USD11.74M).

Compensation vs Earnings: Ryan's compensation has been consistent with company performance over the past year.


Leadership Team

NamePositionTenureCompensationOwnership
Ryan Lance
Chairman & CEO7.83yrsUS$23.41m0.010% $3.2m
Donald Wallette
Executive VP & CFO3.92yrsUS$10.27m0.0051% $1.6m
Matthew Fox
Executive VP & COO1.17yrsUS$9.39m0.0068% $2.2m
Kelly Rose
Senior VP of Legal1.5yrsUS$4.41mno data
Glenda Schwarz
Principal Accounting Officerno datano data0.0016% $512.3k
Chris Conway
Head of Trading & Supply Operations10.17yrsno datano data
David Chenier
President of United Kingdom7.83yrsno datano data
Ellen DeSanctis
Senior Vice President of Corporate Relations1.17yrsno data0.0021% $676.7k
Andrew Lundquist
Senior Vice President of Government Affairs7.17yrsno data0.00022% $69.6k
William Bullock
President of Asia Pacific & Middle East4.92yrsno data0.0021% $648.3k

4.9yrs

Average Tenure

57.5yo

Average Age

Experienced Management: COP's management team is considered experienced (4.9 years average tenure).


Board Members

NamePositionTenureCompensationOwnership
Ryan Lance
Chairman & CEO7.83yrsUS$23.41m0.010% $3.2m
John Faraci
Independent Director5.17yrsUS$377.78kno data
Robert Niblock
Lead Director0.83yrUS$370.46kno data
Charles Bunch
Independent Director5.83yrsUS$358.97k0.00032% $101.2k
Jeffrey Joerres
Independent Director1.67yrsUS$65.17kno data
Caroline Devine
Independent Director2.42yrsUS$360.01kno data
Sharmila Shahani-Mulligan
Independent Director2.67yrsUS$351.68kno data
Arjun Murti
Independent Director5.17yrsUS$350.01k0.0018% $556.6k
Gay Evans
Independent Director7yrsUS$350.01kno data
Jody Freeman
Independent Director7.67yrsUS$348.34k0.00031% $98.0k

5.2yrs

Average Tenure

58yo

Average Age

Experienced Board: COP's board of directors are considered experienced (5.2 years average tenure).


Ownership

Who are the major shareholders and have insiders been buying or selling?


Insider Trading Volume

Insider Buying: Insufficient data to determine if insiders have bought more shares than they have sold in the past 3 months.


Ownership Breakdown

Dilution of Shares: Shareholders have not been meaningfully diluted in the past year.


Top Shareholders

Company Information

ConocoPhillips's company bio, employee growth, exchange listings and data sources


Key Information

  • Name: ConocoPhillips
  • Ticker: COP
  • Exchange: NYSE
  • Founded: 1917
  • Industry: Oil and Gas Exploration and Production
  • Sector: Energy
  • Market Cap: US$31.623b
  • Shares outstanding: 1.08b
  • Website: https://www.conocophillips.com

Number of Employees


Location

  • ConocoPhillips
  • 925 North Eldridge Parkway
  • Houston
  • Texas
  • 77079-2703
  • United States

Listings

TickerExchangePrimary SecuritySecurity TypeCountryCurrencyListed on
COPNYSE (New York Stock Exchange)YesCommon StockUSUSDJan 1968
COPSWX (SIX Swiss Exchange)YesCommon StockCHCHFJan 1968
YCPDB (Deutsche Boerse AG)YesCommon StockDEEURJan 1968
YCPXTRA (XETRA Trading Platform)YesCommon StockDEEURJan 1968
COP *BMV (Bolsa Mexicana de Valores)YesCommon StockMXMXNJan 1968
0QZALSE (London Stock Exchange)YesCommon StockGBUSDJan 1968
COPHWBAG (Wiener Boerse AG)YesCommon StockATEURJan 1968
COPH34BOVESPA (Bolsa de Valores de Sao Paulo)BDR EACH REPR 0.25 COM USD0.01BRBRLAug 2012

Biography

ConocoPhillips explores for, produces, transports, and markets crude oil, bitumen, natural gas, liquefied natural gas (LNG), and natural gas liquids worldwide. The company primarily engages in the conventional and tight oil reservoirs, shale gas, heavy oil, LNG, oil sands, and other production operations. Its portfolio includes unconventional plays in North America; conventional assets in North America, Europe, Asia, and Australia; various LNG developments; oil sands assets in Canada; and an inventory of conventional and unconventional exploration prospects. The company was founded in 1917 and is headquartered in Houston, Texas. 


Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

All financial data provided by Standard & Poor's Capital IQ.
DataLast Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis2020/03/29 00:10
End of Day Share Price2020/03/27 00:00
Earnings2019/12/31
Annual Earnings2019/12/31


Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more here.