NYSE:COP

Stock Analysis Report

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Market Cap

US$77.6b

Last Updated

2021/06/20 22:13 UTC

Data Sources

Company Financials +

Executive Summary

ConocoPhillips explores for, produces, transports, and markets crude oil, bitumen, natural gas, liquefied natural gas (LNG), and natural gas liquids worldwide. More Details


Snowflake Analysis

Mediocre balance sheet unattractive dividend payer.


Similar Companies

Share Price & News

How has ConocoPhillips's share price performed over time and what events caused price changes?


Latest Share Price and Events

Stable Share Price: COP is not significantly more volatile than the rest of US stocks over the past 3 months, typically moving +/- 5% a week.

Volatility Over Time: COP's weekly volatility (5%) has been stable over the past year.


Market Performance


7 Day Return

-4.1%

COP

-4.9%

US Oil and Gas

-1.9%

US Market


1 Year Return

31.6%

COP

35.8%

US Oil and Gas

38.2%

US Market

Return vs Industry: COP underperformed the US Oil and Gas industry which returned 35.8% over the past year.

Return vs Market: COP underperformed the US Market which returned 38.2% over the past year.


Shareholder returns

COPIndustryMarket
7 Day-4.1%-4.9%-1.9%
30 Day3.4%1.9%1.0%
90 Day10.1%9.0%3.8%
1 Year36.9%31.6%44.3%35.8%40.4%38.2%
3 Year-7.4%-15.1%-14.4%-26.4%57.5%47.8%
5 Year51.8%33.3%0.6%-19.2%127.2%101.7%

Long-Term Price Volatility Vs. Market

How volatile is ConocoPhillips's share price compared to the market and industry in the last 5 years?


Simply Wall St News

Valuation

Is ConocoPhillips undervalued compared to its fair value and its price relative to the market?

3256.17x

Price to Earnings (PE) ratio


Share Price vs. Fair Value

Below Fair Value: COP ($57.53) is trading above our estimate of fair value ($57.26)

Significantly Below Fair Value: COP is trading above our estimate of fair value.


Price To Earnings Ratio

PE vs Industry: COP is poor value based on its PE Ratio (3256.2x) compared to the US Oil and Gas industry average (17.6x).

PE vs Market: COP is poor value based on its PE Ratio (3256.2x) compared to the US market (18.9x).


Price to Earnings Growth Ratio

PEG Ratio: COP is poor value based on its PEG Ratio (382.5x)


Price to Book Ratio

PB vs Industry: COP's PB Ratio (1.8x) is in line with the US Oil and Gas industry average.


Future Growth

How is ConocoPhillips forecast to perform in the next 1 to 3 years based on estimates from 17 analysts?

8.5%

Forecasted annual earnings growth


Earnings and Revenue Growth Forecasts


Analyst Future Growth Forecasts

Earnings vs Savings Rate: COP's forecast earnings growth (8.5% per year) is above the savings rate (2%).

Earnings vs Market: COP's earnings (8.5% per year) are forecast to grow slower than the US market (15.7% per year).

High Growth Earnings: COP's earnings are forecast to grow, but not significantly.

Revenue vs Market: COP's revenue (0.1% per year) is forecast to grow slower than the US market (9.5% per year).

High Growth Revenue: COP's revenue (0.1% per year) is forecast to grow slower than 20% per year.


Earnings per Share Growth Forecasts


Future Return on Equity

Future ROE: COP's Return on Equity is forecast to be low in 3 years time (12.9%).


Past Performance

How has ConocoPhillips performed over the past 5 years?

43.8%

Historical annual earnings growth


Earnings and Revenue History

Quality Earnings: COP has a large one-off gain of $1.6B impacting its March 31 2021 financial results.

Growing Profit Margin: COP's current net profit margins (0.09%) are lower than last year (11.9%).


Past Earnings Growth Analysis

Earnings Trend: COP has become profitable over the past 5 years, growing earnings by 43.8% per year.

Accelerating Growth: COP's has had negative earnings growth over the past year, so it can't be compared to its 5-year average.

Earnings vs Industry: COP had negative earnings growth (-99.4%) over the past year, making it difficult to compare to the Oil and Gas industry average (-42.9%).


Return on Equity

High ROE: COP's Return on Equity (0.09%) is considered low.


Financial Health

How is ConocoPhillips's financial position?


Financial Position Analysis

Short Term Liabilities: COP's short term assets ($14.6B) exceed its short term liabilities ($7.2B).

Long Term Liabilities: COP's short term assets ($14.6B) do not cover its long term liabilities ($33.4B).


Debt to Equity History and Analysis

Debt Level: COP's debt to equity ratio (43.5%) is considered high.

Reducing Debt: COP's debt to equity ratio has reduced from 74.8% to 43.5% over the past 5 years.

Debt Coverage: COP's debt is well covered by operating cash flow (25.5%).

Interest Coverage: Insufficient data to determine if COP's interest payments on its debt are well covered by EBIT.


Balance Sheet


Dividend

What is ConocoPhillips's current dividend yield, its reliability and sustainability?

2.99%

Current Dividend Yield


Dividend Yield vs Market

Notable Dividend: COP's dividend (2.99%) is higher than the bottom 25% of dividend payers in the US market (1.31%).

High Dividend: COP's dividend (2.99%) is low compared to the top 25% of dividend payers in the US market (3.49%).


Stability and Growth of Payments

Stable Dividend: COP's dividend payments have been volatile in the past 10 years.

Growing Dividend: COP's dividend payments have fallen over the past 10 years.


Current Payout to Shareholders

Dividend Coverage: With its high payout ratio (9621.9%), COP's dividend payments are not well covered by earnings.


Future Payout to Shareholders

Future Dividend Coverage: COP's dividends in 3 years are forecast to be well covered by earnings (48.5% payout ratio).


Next Steps

Management

How experienced are the management team and are they aligned to shareholders interests?

2.6yrs

Average management tenure


CEO

Ryan Lance (58 yo)

9.08yrs

Tenure

US$28,054,551

Compensation

Mr. Ryan M. Lance has been Chief Executive Officer at ConocoPhillips Company and ConocoPhillips since May 2012. He has been the Chairman of ConocoPhillips Company and ConocoPhillips since May 2012. He has ...


CEO Compensation Analysis

Compensation vs Market: Ryan's total compensation ($USD28.05M) is above average for companies of similar size in the US market ($USD11.31M).

Compensation vs Earnings: Ryan's compensation has been consistent with company performance over the past year.


Leadership Team

Experienced Management: COP's management team is considered experienced (2.6 years average tenure).


Board Members

Experienced Board: COP's board of directors are considered experienced (5.2 years average tenure).


Ownership

Who are the major shareholders and have insiders been buying or selling?


Insider Trading Volume

Insider Buying: COP insiders have only sold shares in the past 3 months.


Recent Insider Transactions

Ownership Breakdown

Dilution of Shares: Shareholders have been diluted in the past year, with total shares outstanding growing by 25.8%.


Top Shareholders

Company Information

ConocoPhillips's company bio, employee growth, exchange listings and data sources


Key Information

  • Name: ConocoPhillips
  • Ticker: COP
  • Exchange: NYSE
  • Founded: 1917
  • Industry: Oil and Gas Exploration and Production
  • Sector: Energy
  • Market Cap: US$77.632b
  • Shares outstanding: 1.35b
  • Website: https://www.conocophillips.com

Number of Employees


Location

  • ConocoPhillips
  • 925 North Eldridge Parkway
  • Houston
  • Texas
  • 77079-2703
  • United States

Listings


Biography

ConocoPhillips explores for, produces, transports, and markets crude oil, bitumen, natural gas, liquefied natural gas (LNG), and natural gas liquids worldwide. The company primarily engages in the conventi...


Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

All financial data provided by Standard & Poor's Capital IQ.
DataLast Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis2021/06/20 22:13
End of Day Share Price2021/06/18 00:00
Earnings2021/03/31
Annual Earnings2020/12/31


Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more here.