Stock Analysis

A Look at Borr Drilling's (NYSE:BORR) Valuation After Strong Q3 Results and New Contract Wins

Borr Drilling (NYSE:BORR) just reported third quarter results that showed both sales and net income rising compared to last year. New contracts and extensions indicate a stronger demand outlook for its offshore rigs.

See our latest analysis for Borr Drilling.

Borr Drilling’s share price has rebounded sharply in recent months, climbing nearly 22% over the past 30 days and gaining almost 40% in the last quarter. However, it remains down about 21% in total shareholder return over the past year. New contract wins and signs of an industry upturn appear to be fueling fresh momentum, reflecting shifting sentiment around future growth and demand for offshore drilling.

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With Borr Drilling shares rebounding but still well below last year’s levels, and new contracts fueling optimism, the key question for investors is whether this is an undervalued opportunity or if renewed market confidence has already priced in future growth potential.

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Most Popular Narrative: 4.5% Undervalued

Borr Drilling’s most widely followed narrative puts its fair value modestly higher than the last close of $3.22, hinting at a slight upside. The current narrative incorporates high-margin performance and a newly reduced discount rate, shaping a view that the business is somewhat overlooked by the market.

The reduction in discount rate reflects increased confidence in the company’s risk profile and capital structure. This could support a higher valuation over time.

Read the complete narrative.

Is there a math trick driving this fair value? The heart of the narrative is all about robust profit margins, a discount rate cut, and controversial revenue forecasts. What is the formula behind this analyst consensus, and which earnings milestone really tips the scales? Find out what is shaping the valuation debate behind Borr Drilling’s price target.

Result: Fair Value of $3.37 (UNDERVALUED)

Have a read of the narrative in full and understand what's behind the forecasts.

However, persistent oversupply in the jack-up market and rising regulatory costs could quickly erode optimistic forecasts. This may challenge Borr Drilling’s favorable valuation narrative.

Find out about the key risks to this Borr Drilling narrative.

Build Your Own Borr Drilling Narrative

If you see things differently or want to dig into the numbers yourself, you can shape your own narrative in under three minutes. Why not Do it your way

A great starting point for your Borr Drilling research is our analysis highlighting 1 key reward and 2 important warning signs that could impact your investment decision.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

Valuation is complex, but we're here to simplify it.

Discover if Borr Drilling might be undervalued or overvalued with our detailed analysis, featuring fair value estimates, potential risks, dividends, insider trades, and its financial condition.

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About NYSE:BORR

Borr Drilling

Operates as an offshore shallow-water drilling contractor to the oil and gas industry in the United States, the Middle East, South East Asia, Europe, Latin America, and West Africa.

Good value with questionable track record.

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