When you see that almost half of the companies in the Oil and Gas industry in the United States have price-to-sales ratios (or "P/S") below 1.5x, U.S. Energy Corp. (NASDAQ:USEG) looks to be giving off some sell signals with its 3x P/S ratio. Nonetheless, we'd need to dig a little deeper to determine if there is a rational basis for the elevated P/S.
See our latest analysis for U.S. Energy
What Does U.S. Energy's Recent Performance Look Like?
U.S. Energy could be doing better as its revenue has been going backwards lately while most other companies have been seeing positive revenue growth. It might be that many expect the dour revenue performance to recover substantially, which has kept the P/S from collapsing. If not, then existing shareholders may be extremely nervous about the viability of the share price.
If you'd like to see what analysts are forecasting going forward, you should check out our free report on U.S. Energy.Do Revenue Forecasts Match The High P/S Ratio?
In order to justify its P/S ratio, U.S. Energy would need to produce impressive growth in excess of the industry.
In reviewing the last year of financials, we were disheartened to see the company's revenues fell to the tune of 51%. As a result, revenue from three years ago have also fallen 49% overall. So unfortunately, we have to acknowledge that the company has not done a great job of growing revenue over that time.
Looking ahead now, revenue is anticipated to slump, contracting by 6.4% during the coming year according to the two analysts following the company. Meanwhile, the broader industry is forecast to expand by 3.5%, which paints a poor picture.
With this information, we find it concerning that U.S. Energy is trading at a P/S higher than the industry. It seems most investors are hoping for a turnaround in the company's business prospects, but the analyst cohort is not so confident this will happen. There's a very good chance these shareholders are setting themselves up for future disappointment if the P/S falls to levels more in line with the negative growth outlook.
What We Can Learn From U.S. Energy's P/S?
It's argued the price-to-sales ratio is an inferior measure of value within certain industries, but it can be a powerful business sentiment indicator.
For a company with revenues that are set to decline in the context of a growing industry, U.S. Energy's P/S is much higher than we would've anticipated. Right now we aren't comfortable with the high P/S as the predicted future revenue decline likely to impact the positive sentiment that's propping up the P/S. At these price levels, investors should remain cautious, particularly if things don't improve.
It's always necessary to consider the ever-present spectre of investment risk. We've identified 4 warning signs with U.S. Energy, and understanding these should be part of your investment process.
If these risks are making you reconsider your opinion on U.S. Energy, explore our interactive list of high quality stocks to get an idea of what else is out there.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.