NasdaqGS:GPRE

Stock Analysis Report

Executive Summary

Green Plains Inc. produces, markets, and distributes ethanol in the United States and internationally.

Snowflake

Fundamentals

Slightly overvalued with imperfect balance sheet.

Risks

  • Green Plains has significant price volatility in the past 3 months.

Similar Companies

Share Price & News

How has Green Plains's share price performed over time and what events caused price changes?


Latest Share Price and Events


Market Performance


7 Day Return

0.5%

NasdaqGS:GPRE

1.7%

US Oil and Gas

-0.02%

US Market


1 Year Return

-35.2%

NasdaqGS:GPRE

-19.2%

US Oil and Gas

1.6%

US Market

GPRE underperformed the Oil and Gas industry which returned -18.3% over the past year.

GPRE underperformed the Market in United States of America which returned 1.9% over the past year.


Share holder returns

GPREIndustryMarket
7 Day0.5%1.7%-0.02%
30 Day42.4%6.0%2.7%
90 Day-6.7%-4.0%1.4%
1 Year-33.7%-35.2%-16.2%-19.2%3.8%1.6%
3 Year-52.6%-55.8%1.1%-8.0%45.2%35.8%
5 Year-67.4%-70.9%-25.3%-35.5%61.8%44.1%

Price Volatility Vs. Market

How volatile is Green Plains's share price compared to the market and industry in the last 5 years?


Simply Wall St News

Valuation

Is Green Plains undervalued based on future cash flows and its price relative to the stock market?

31%

Discount to future cash flow value


Intrinsic Value Based on Future Cash Flows

Green Plains's share price is below the future cash flow value, and at a moderate discount (> 20%).

Green Plains's share price is below the future cash flow value, but not at a substantial discount (< 40%).


Price Based on Earnings

Green Plains is loss making, we can't compare its value to the US Oil and Gas industry average.

Green Plains is loss making, we can't compare the value of its earnings to the United States of America market.


Price Based on Expected Growth

Unable to calculate PEG ratio for Green Plains, we can't assess if its growth is good value.


Price Based on Value of Assets

Green Plains is good value based on assets compared to the US Oil and Gas industry average.


Next Steps

Future Growth

How is Green Plains expected to perform in the next 1 to 3 years based on estimates from 5 analysts?

72.0%

Forecasted annual earnings growth


Earnings and Revenue Growth Estimates


Future Annual Growth Analysis

Green Plains's revenue is expected to grow by 3.6% yearly, however this is not considered high growth (20% yearly).

Green Plains is not considered high growth as it is expected to be loss making for the next 1-3 years.

Green Plains's revenue growth is positive but not above the United States of America market average.

Unable to compare Green Plains's earnings growth to the United States of America market average as it is expected to be loss making during the next 1-3 years.

Unable to compare Green Plains's earnings growth to the low risk savings rate as it is expected to be loss making during the next 1-3 years.


Earnings per Share Growth Estimates


Future Return on Equity

Unable to establish if Green Plains will efficiently use shareholders’ funds in the future without estimates of Return on Equity.


Next Steps

Past Performance

How has Green Plains performed over the past 5 years?

-48.6%

Historical annual earnings growth


Earnings and Revenue History


Past Earnings Growth Analysis

Green Plains does not make a profit and their year on year earnings growth rate was negative over the past 5 years.

Unable to compare Green Plains's 1-year earnings growth to the 5-year average as it is not currently profitable.

Unable to compare Green Plains's 1-year growth to the US Oil and Gas industry average as it is not currently profitable.


Return on Equity

It is difficult to establish if Green Plains has efficiently used shareholders’ funds last year (Return on Equity greater than 20%) as it is loss-making.


Return on Assets

Green Plains used its assets less efficiently than the US Oil and Gas industry average last year based on Return on Assets.


Return on Capital Employed

It is difficult to establish if Green Plains improved its use of capital last year versus 3 years ago (Return on Capital Employed) as it is currently loss-making.


Next Steps

Financial Health

How is Green Plains's financial position?


Financial Position Analysis

Green Plains is able to meet its short term (1 year) commitments with its holdings of cash and other short term assets.

Green Plains's cash and other short term assets cover its long term commitments.


Debt to Equity History and Analysis

Green Plains's level of debt (90.1%) compared to net worth is high (greater than 40%).

The level of debt compared to net worth has increased over the past 5 years (89.2% vs 90.1% today).

Operating cash flow is negative therefore debt is not well covered.

Unable to confirm if the interest payments on Green Plains's debt are well covered by earnings due to lack of past financial data.


Balance Sheet

High level of physical assets or inventory.

Debt is covered by short term assets, assets are 1.2x debt.


Next Steps

Dividend

What is Green Plains's current dividend yield, its reliability and sustainability?

3.76%

Expected Dividend Yield


Dividend Yield and Payments Analysis

Green Plains's pays a higher dividend yield than the bottom 25% of dividend payers in United States of America (1.44%).

Green Plains's dividend is above the markets top 25% of dividend payers in United States of America (3.69%).

Whilst dividend payments have been stable, Green Plains has been paying a dividend for less than 10 years.

Dividend payments have increased, but Green Plains only paid a dividend in the past 6 years.


Current Payout to Shareholders

The company is paying a dividend however it is incurring a loss.


Future Payout to Shareholders

The company is expected to pay a dividend in 3 years whilst incurring a loss, therefore the dividend is not expected to be well covered.


Next Steps

Management

What is the CEO of Green Plains's salary, the management and board of directors tenure and is there insider trading?

3.1yrs

Average management tenure


CEO

Todd Becker (54yo)

10.7yrs

Tenure

US$4,572,356

Compensation

Mr. Todd A. Becker serves as the President and Chief Executive officer at Green Plains Grain Company TN LLC. Mr. Becker has been the Chief Executive Officer at Green Plains Inc. since January 1, 2009 and i ...


CEO Compensation Analysis

Todd's remuneration is higher than average for companies of similar size in United States of America.

Todd's compensation has increased whilst company is loss making.


Management Age and Tenure

3.1yrs

Average Tenure

56yo

Average Age

The tenure for the Green Plains management team is about average.


Board Age and Tenure

10.7yrs

Average Tenure

58yo

Average Age

The average tenure for the Green Plains board of directors is over 10 years, this suggests they are a seasoned and experienced board.


Insider Trading

More shares have been bought than sold by Green Plains individual insiders in the past 3 months.


Recent Insider Transactions

SellUS$1,672,29815 Aug 19
Mangrove Partners
EntityCompany
Shares216,342
Max PriceUS$8.41
BuyUS$107,25015 Aug 19
S. Edwards
EntityIndividual
Role
Member of the Board of Directors
Director
Shares15,000
Max PriceUS$7.15
SellUS$55,81807 Jun 19
Alain Treuer
EntityIndividual
Role
Vice Chairman
Vice Chairman of the Board
Shares4,296
Max PriceUS$12.99
SellUS$117,92707 Jun 19
Alain Treuer
EntityIndividual
Role
Vice Chairman
Vice Chairman of the Board
Shares9,029
Max PriceUS$13.06
SellUS$146,71721 Mar 19
Michael Metzler
EntityIndividual
Role
Senior Key Executive
Executive Vice President of Natural Gas & Power
Shares8,432
Max PriceUS$17.40
SellUS$60,18021 Mar 19
Paul Kolomaya
EntityIndividual
Role
Chief Accounting Officer
Chief Accounting Officer
Shares3,500
Max PriceUS$17.50
SellUS$85,59221 Mar 19
Michelle Mapes
EntityIndividual
Role
Chief Administrative Officer
Chief Legal & Administration Officer and Corporate Secretary
Shares5,000
Max PriceUS$17.43
SellUS$80,77515 Mar 19
Michelle Mapes
EntityIndividual
Role
Chief Administrative Officer
Chief Legal & Administration Officer and Corporate Secretary
Shares5,000
Max PriceUS$16.16
SellUS$116,17405 Mar 19
Paul Kolomaya
EntityIndividual
Role
Chief Accounting Officer
Chief Accounting Officer
Shares7,250
Max PriceUS$16.02
SellUS$30,33421 Feb 19
Anthony Vojslavek
EntityIndividual
Role
Senior Key Executive
Executive Vice President of Trading & Risk
Shares1,957
Max PriceUS$15.50
SellUS$261,74819 Feb 19
Michael Metzler
EntityIndividual
Role
Senior Key Executive
Executive Vice President of Natural Gas & Power
Shares17,052
Max PriceUS$15.35
SellUS$5,75228 Dec 18
Alain Treuer
EntityIndividual
Role
Vice Chairman
Vice Chairman of the Board
Shares471
Max PriceUS$12.21
SellUS$239,64221 Dec 18
Jeffrey Briggs
EntityIndividual
Shares18,434
Max PriceUS$13.00
SellUS$593,95320 Dec 18
Jeffrey Briggs
EntityIndividual
Shares44,581
Max PriceUS$13.32
SellUS$93,78026 Nov 18
Walter Cronin
EntityIndividual
Role
Senior Key Executive
Executive Vice President of Commercial Operations
Shares6,000
Max PriceUS$15.63
SellUS$68,00026 Nov 18
Paul Kolomaya
EntityIndividual
Role
Chief Accounting Officer
Chief Accounting Officer
Shares4,000
Max PriceUS$17.00
SellUS$1,492,17521 Nov 18
Todd Becker
EntityIndividual
Role
Chief Executive Officer
President
Shares90,000
Max PriceUS$16.88
SellUS$101,91021 Nov 18
Walter Cronin
EntityIndividual
Role
Senior Key Executive
Executive Vice President of Commercial Operations
Shares6,000
Max PriceUS$17.49
SellUS$119,98020 Nov 18
Michelle Mapes
EntityIndividual
Role
Chief Administrative Officer
Chief Legal & Administration Officer and Corporate Secretary
Shares7,000
Max PriceUS$17.14
SellUS$431,92514 Nov 18
Jeffrey Briggs
EntityIndividual
Shares25,000
Max PriceUS$17.28

Ownership Breakdown


Management Team

  • Michael Metzler (56yo)

    Executive Vice President of Natural Gas & Power

    • Tenure: 3.8yrs
    • Compensation: US$1.16m
  • Michelle Mapes (52yo)

    Chief Legal & Administration Officer and Corporate Secretary

    • Tenure: 1.7yrs
    • Compensation: US$998.33k
  • Todd Becker (54yo)

    President

    • Tenure: 10.7yrs
    • Compensation: US$4.57m
  • Paul Kolomaya (54yo)

    Chief Accounting Officer

    • Tenure: 0.3yrs
  • Jim Stark (58yo)

    Vice President of Investor & Media Relations

    • Tenure: 0yrs
  • George Simpkins (57yo)

    Chief Financial Officer

    • Tenure: 0.3yrs
    • Compensation: US$989.93k
  • Mark Hudak (59yo)

    Executive Vice President of Human Resources

    • Tenure: 5.8yrs
  • Walter Cronin (56yo)

    Executive Vice President of Commercial Operations

    • Tenure: 4.1yrs
    • Compensation: US$1.08m
  • Tony Vojslavek (37yo)

    Executive Vice President of Trading & Risk

    • Tenure: 3.1yrs
  • Joel Jarnagin

    Executive Vice President of Cattle

    • Tenure: 1.1yrs

Board Members

  • Ejnar Knudsen (50yo)

    Independent Director

    • Tenure: 3.3yrs
    • Compensation: US$200.00k
  • Tom Manuel (72yo)

    Director

    • Tenure: 4.3yrs
    • Compensation: US$200.00k
  • James Crowley (72yo)

    Independent Director

    • Tenure: 10.9yrs
    • Compensation: US$220.00k
  • Gene Edwards (62yo)

    Director

    • Tenure: 5.3yrs
    • Compensation: US$200.00k
  • Wayne Hoovestol (61yo)

    Chairman of the Board

    • Tenure: 10.9yrs
    • Compensation: US$220.00k
  • Brian Peterson (55yo)

    Independent Director

    • Tenure: 14.3yrs
    • Compensation: US$204.00k
  • Alain Treuer (46yo)

    Vice Chairman of the Board

    • Tenure: 4.1yrs
    • Compensation: US$210.00k
  • Gordon Glade (48yo)

    Independent Director

    • Tenure: 11.8yrs
    • Compensation: US$200.00k
  • Jim Anderson (61yo)

    Independent Director

    • Tenure: 10.9yrs
    • Compensation: US$200.00k
  • Todd Becker (54yo)

    President

    • Tenure: 10.7yrs
    • Compensation: US$4.57m

Company Information

Green Plains Inc.'s company bio, employee growth, exchange listings and data sources


Key Information

  • Name: Green Plains Inc.
  • Ticker: GPRE
  • Exchange: NasdaqGS
  • Founded: 2004
  • Industry: Oil and Gas Refining and Marketing
  • Sector: Energy
  • Market Cap: US$418.138m
  • Shares outstanding: 38.19m
  • Website: https://www.gpreinc.com

Number of Employees


Location

  • Green Plains Inc.
  • 1811 Aksarben Drive
  • Omaha
  • Nebraska
  • 68106
  • United States

Listings

TickerExchangePrimary SecuritySecurity TypeCountryCurrencyListed on
GPRENasdaqGS (Nasdaq Global Select)YesCommon StockUSUSDJun 2006
G3VDB (Deutsche Boerse AG)YesCommon StockDEEURJun 2006
0J0PLSE (London Stock Exchange)YesCommon StockGBUSDJun 2006

Biography

Green Plains Inc. produces, markets, and distributes ethanol in the United States and internationally. The company operates in four segments: Ethanol Production; Agribusiness and Energy Services; Food and  ...


Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

All financial data provided by Standard & Poor's Capital IQ.
DataLast Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis2019/09/18 23:56
End of Day Share Price2019/09/18 00:00
Earnings2019/06/30
Annual Earnings2018/12/31


Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more here.