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GPRE

Green PlainsNasdaqGS:GPRE Stock Report

Market Cap

US$1.9b

7D

-5.2%

1Y

133.5%

Updated

04 Dec, 2021

Data

Company Financials +
GPRE fundamental analysis
Snowflake Score
Valuation2/6
Future Growth3/6
Past Performance0/6
Financial Health5/6
Dividends0/6

GPRE Stock Overview

Green Plains Inc. produces, markets, and distributes ethanol in the United States and internationally.

Green Plains Competitors

Valero Energy

NYSE:VLO

US$28.5b

Renewable Energy Group

NasdaqGS:REGI

US$2.3b

Gevo

NasdaqCM:GEVO

US$934.4m

REX American Resources

NYSE:REX

US$601.0m

Price History & Performance

Summary of all time highs, changes and price drops for Green Plains
Historical stock prices
Current Share PriceUS$36.21
52 Week HighUS$44.27
52 Week LowUS$11.91
Beta1.73
1 Month Change-6.89%
3 Month Change2.61%
1 Year Change133.46%
3 Year Change130.93%
5 Year Change33.13%
Change since IPO536.94%

Recent News & Updates

Oct 11

Green Plains: Good Price-Position Agribusiness Industry Stock, As Seen By Market-Makers

Acquisition of technology extension to major business growth appears to be being viewed favorably in institutional investment circles, indicated by hedging support of volume block trades in this stock. Expansion of not only volume of business, but its likely profit margins may be involved. Substantial near-term share price advance beyond prior expectations is possible. They also outdo the prospects of many stocks widely held by Seeking Alpha readers, contributors, and commenters. For investment in portfolios where wealth-building is a principal objective, evolving economics now make agribusiness stocks interesting candidates.

Shareholder Returns

GPREUS Oil and GasUS Market
7D-5.2%-1.9%-2.7%
1Y133.5%37.8%16.6%

Return vs Industry: GPRE exceeded the US Oil and Gas industry which returned 46.2% over the past year.

Return vs Market: GPRE exceeded the US Market which returned 19.4% over the past year.

Price Volatility

Is GPRE's price volatile compared to industry and market?
GPRE volatility
GPRE Average Weekly Movement7.0%
Oil and Gas Industry Average Movement7.2%
Market Average Movement6.1%
10% most volatile stocks in US Market14.8%
10% least volatile stocks in US Market2.4%

Stable Share Price: GPRE is not significantly more volatile than the rest of US stocks over the past 3 months, typically moving +/- 7% a week.

Volatility Over Time: GPRE's weekly volatility (7%) has been stable over the past year.

About the Company

FoundedEmployeesCEOWebsite
2004839Todd Beckerhttps://www.gpreinc.com

Green Plains Inc. produces, markets, and distributes ethanol in the United States and internationally. It operates through four segments: Ethanol Production, Agribusiness and Energy Services, Food and Ingredients, and Partnership. The Ethanol Production segment produces and sells ethanol, distiller grains, and corn oil.

Green Plains Fundamentals Summary

How do Green Plains's earnings and revenue compare to its market cap?
GPRE fundamental statistics
Market CapUS$1.94b
Earnings (TTM)-US$106.05m
Revenue (TTM)US$2.50b

0.8x

P/S Ratio

-18.3x

P/E Ratio

Earnings & Revenue

Key profitability statistics from the latest earnings report
GPRE income statement (TTM)
RevenueUS$2.50b
Cost of RevenueUS$2.34b
Gross ProfitUS$160.82m
ExpensesUS$266.87m
Earnings-US$106.05m

Last Reported Earnings

Sep 30, 2021

Next Earnings Date

n/a

Earnings per share (EPS)-1.98
Gross Margin6.42%
Net Profit Margin-4.24%
Debt/Equity Ratio63.7%

How did GPRE perform over the long term?

See historical performance and comparison

Dividends

1.3%

Current Dividend Yield

-5%

Payout Ratio

Valuation

Is Green Plains undervalued compared to its fair value and its price relative to the market?

>50%

Undervalued compared to fair value


Share Price vs. Fair Value

Below Fair Value: GPRE ($36.21) is trading below our estimate of fair value ($116.2)

Significantly Below Fair Value: GPRE is trading below fair value by more than 20%.


Price To Earnings Ratio

PE vs Industry: GPRE is unprofitable, so we can't compare its PE Ratio to the US Oil and Gas industry average.

PE vs Market: GPRE is unprofitable, so we can't compare its PE Ratio to the US market.


Price to Earnings Growth Ratio

PEG Ratio: Insufficient data to calculate GPRE's PEG Ratio to determine if it is good value.


Price to Book Ratio

PB vs Industry: GPRE is overvalued based on its PB Ratio (2x) compared to the US Oil and Gas industry average (1.9x).


Future Growth

How is Green Plains forecast to perform in the next 1 to 3 years based on estimates from 9 analysts?

60.5%

Forecasted annual earnings growth


Earnings and Revenue Growth Forecasts


Analyst Future Growth Forecasts

Earnings vs Savings Rate: GPRE is forecast to become profitable over the next 3 years, which is considered faster growth than the savings rate (2%).

Earnings vs Market: GPRE is forecast to become profitable over the next 3 years, which is considered above average market growth.

High Growth Earnings: GPRE's is expected to become profitable in the next 3 years.

Revenue vs Market: GPRE's revenue (3.6% per year) is forecast to grow slower than the US market (10% per year).

High Growth Revenue: GPRE's revenue (3.6% per year) is forecast to grow slower than 20% per year.


Earnings per Share Growth Forecasts


Future Return on Equity

Future ROE: GPRE's Return on Equity is forecast to be low in 3 years time (14.5%).


Past Performance

How has Green Plains performed over the past 5 years?

-57.8%

Historical annual earnings growth


Earnings and Revenue History

Quality Earnings: GPRE is currently unprofitable.

Growing Profit Margin: GPRE is currently unprofitable.


Past Earnings Growth Analysis

Earnings Trend: GPRE is unprofitable, and losses have increased over the past 5 years at a rate of 57.8% per year.

Accelerating Growth: Unable to compare GPRE's earnings growth over the past year to its 5-year average as it is currently unprofitable

Earnings vs Industry: GPRE is unprofitable, making it difficult to compare its past year earnings growth to the Oil and Gas industry (13%).


Return on Equity

High ROE: GPRE has a negative Return on Equity (-7.46%), as it is currently unprofitable.


Financial Health

How is Green Plains's financial position?


Financial Position Analysis

Short Term Liabilities: GPRE's short term assets ($1.1B) exceed its short term liabilities ($404.3M).

Long Term Liabilities: GPRE's short term assets ($1.1B) exceed its long term liabilities ($591.3M).


Debt to Equity History and Analysis

Debt Level: GPRE's net debt to equity ratio (10.9%) is considered satisfactory.

Reducing Debt: GPRE's debt to equity ratio has reduced from 95.8% to 63.7% over the past 5 years.


Balance Sheet


Cash Runway Analysis

For companies that have on average been loss making in the past we assess whether they have at least 1 year of cash runway.

Stable Cash Runway: GPRE has sufficient cash runway for more than 3 years based on its current free cash flow.

Forecast Cash Runway: Insufficient data to determine if GPRE has enough cash runway if its free cash flow continues to grow or shrink based on historical rates.


Dividend

What is Green Plains's current dividend yield, its reliability and sustainability?

1.33%

Current Dividend Yield


Dividend Yield vs Market

Notable Dividend: GPRE's dividend (1.33%) isn’t notable compared to the bottom 25% of dividend payers in the US market (1.35%).

High Dividend: GPRE's dividend (1.33%) is low compared to the top 25% of dividend payers in the US market (3.61%).


Stability and Growth of Payments

Stable Dividend: GPRE has been paying a dividend for less than 10 years and during this time payments have been volatile.

Growing Dividend: GPRE's dividend payments have increased, but the company has only paid a dividend for 8 years.


Current Payout to Shareholders

Dividend Coverage: GPRE is paying a dividend but the company is unprofitable.


Future Payout to Shareholders

Future Dividend Coverage: No need to calculate the sustainability of GPRE's dividend in 3 years as they are not forecast to pay a notable one for the US market.


Next Steps

Management

How experienced are the management team and are they aligned to shareholders interests?

2.6yrs

Average management tenure


CEO

Todd Becker (56 yo)

12.92yrs

Tenure

US$3,081,617

Compensation

Mr. Todd A. Becker serves as the President and Chief Executive officer at Green Plains Grain Company TN LLC. Mr. Becker has been the Chief Executive Officer at Green Plains Inc. since January 1, 2009 and i...


CEO Compensation Analysis

Compensation vs Market: Todd's total compensation ($USD3.08M) is about average for companies of similar size in the US market ($USD3.72M).

Compensation vs Earnings: Todd's compensation has been consistent with company performance over the past year.


Leadership Team

Experienced Management: GPRE's management team is considered experienced (2.6 years average tenure).


Board Members

Experienced Board: GPRE's board of directors are considered experienced (5.6 years average tenure).


Ownership

Who are the major shareholders and have insiders been buying or selling?


Insider Trading Volume

Insider Buying: GPRE insiders have only sold shares in the past 3 months.


Recent Insider Transactions

Ownership Breakdown

Dilution of Shares: Shareholders have been substantially diluted in the past year, with total shares outstanding growing by 50.3%.


Top Shareholders

Company Information

Green Plains Inc.'s employee growth, exchange listings and data sources


Key Information

  • Name: Green Plains Inc.
  • Ticker: GPRE
  • Exchange: NasdaqGS
  • Founded: 2004
  • Industry: Oil and Gas Refining and Marketing
  • Sector: Energy
  • Market Cap: US$1.941b
  • Shares outstanding: 53.60m
  • Website: https://www.gpreinc.com

Number of Employees


Location

  • Green Plains Inc.
  • 1811 Aksarben Drive
  • Omaha
  • Nebraska
  • 68106
  • United States

Listings


Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

All financial data provided by Standard & Poor's Capital IQ.
DataLast Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis2021/12/04 00:09
End of Day Share Price2021/12/03 00:00
Earnings2021/09/30
Annual Earnings2020/12/31


Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more here.