Despite shrinking by US$67m in the past week, Alto Ingredients (NASDAQ:ALTO) shareholders are still up 340% over 3 years

By
Simply Wall St
Published
May 11, 2022
NasdaqCM:ALTO
Source: Shutterstock

Alto Ingredients, Inc. (NASDAQ:ALTO) shareholders might be concerned after seeing the share price drop 27% in the last month. But over three years the performance has been really wonderful. The longer term view reveals that the share price is up 340% in that period. Arguably, the recent fall is to be expected after such a strong rise. The share price action could signify that the business itself is dramatically improved, in that time.

Although Alto Ingredients has shed US$67m from its market cap this week, let's take a look at its longer term fundamental trends and see if they've driven returns.

Check out our latest analysis for Alto Ingredients

To quote Buffett, 'Ships will sail around the world but the Flat Earth Society will flourish. There will continue to be wide discrepancies between price and value in the marketplace...' By comparing earnings per share (EPS) and share price changes over time, we can get a feel for how investor attitudes to a company have morphed over time.

Alto Ingredients became profitable within the last three years. That kind of transition can be an inflection point that justifies a strong share price gain, just as we have seen here.

The graphic below depicts how EPS has changed over time (unveil the exact values by clicking on the image).

earnings-per-share-growth
NasdaqCM:ALTO Earnings Per Share Growth May 11th 2022

We like that insiders have been buying shares in the last twelve months. Even so, future earnings will be far more important to whether current shareholders make money. Dive deeper into the earnings by checking this interactive graph of Alto Ingredients' earnings, revenue and cash flow.

A Different Perspective

While the broader market lost about 9.8% in the twelve months, Alto Ingredients shareholders did even worse, losing 14%. However, it could simply be that the share price has been impacted by broader market jitters. It might be worth keeping an eye on the fundamentals, in case there's a good opportunity. Unfortunately, last year's performance may indicate unresolved challenges, given that it was worse than the annualised loss of 5% over the last half decade. Generally speaking long term share price weakness can be a bad sign, though contrarian investors might want to research the stock in hope of a turnaround. While it is well worth considering the different impacts that market conditions can have on the share price, there are other factors that are even more important. Even so, be aware that Alto Ingredients is showing 2 warning signs in our investment analysis , you should know about...

Alto Ingredients is not the only stock that insiders are buying. For those who like to find winning investments this free list of growing companies with recent insider purchasing, could be just the ticket.

Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on US exchanges.

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