| Snowflake Score | |
|---|---|
| Valuation | 2/6 |
| Future Growth | 2/6 |
| Past Performance | 0/6 |
| Financial Health | 5/6 |
| Dividends | 0/6 |
AAIC Stock Overview
Arlington Asset Investment Corp. (NYSE: AAIC) currently invests primarily in mortgage-related and other assets and has elected to be taxed as a REIT.
Arlington Asset Investment Competitors
Price History & Performance
| Historical stock prices | |
|---|---|
| Current Share Price | US$3.13 |
| 52 Week High | US$4.04 |
| 52 Week Low | US$2.88 |
| Beta | 1.5 |
| 1 Month Change | -2.17% |
| 3 Month Change | 2.31% |
| 1 Year Change | -18.89% |
| 3 Year Change | -47.38% |
| 5 Year Change | -75.88% |
| Change since IPO | -99.24% |
Recent News & Updates
Shareholder Returns
| AAIC | US Mortgage REITs | US Market | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 7D | -1.2% | -3.1% | 1.0% |
| 1Y | -18.9% | -19.4% | -12.9% |
Return vs Industry: AAIC matched the US Mortgage REITs industry which returned -19.3% over the past year.
Return vs Market: AAIC underperformed the US Market which returned -12.9% over the past year.
Price Volatility
| AAIC volatility | |
|---|---|
| AAIC Average Weekly Movement | 7.7% |
| Mortgage REITs Industry Average Movement | 5.6% |
| Market Average Movement | 7.9% |
| 10% most volatile stocks in US Market | 17.2% |
| 10% least volatile stocks in US Market | 3.2% |
Stable Share Price: AAIC is not significantly more volatile than the rest of US stocks over the past 3 months, typically moving +/- 8% a week.
Volatility Over Time: AAIC's weekly volatility (8%) has been stable over the past year.
About the Company
| Founded | Employees | CEO | Website |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1989 | 11 | J. Tonkel | https://www.arlingtonasset.com |
Arlington Asset Investment Corp. (NYSE: AAIC) currently invests primarily in mortgage-related and other assets and has elected to be taxed as a REIT. The Company is headquartered in the Washington, D.C. metropolitan area. For more information, please visit www.arlingtonasset.com.
Arlington Asset Investment Fundamentals Summary
| AAIC fundamental statistics | |
|---|---|
| Market Cap | US$92.86m |
| Earnings (TTM) | -US$9.11m |
| Revenue (TTM) | US$11.79m |
7.9x
P/S Ratio-10.2x
P/E RatioIs AAIC overvalued?
See Fair Value and valuation analysisEarnings & Revenue
| AAIC income statement (TTM) | |
|---|---|
| Revenue | US$11.79m |
| Cost of Revenue | US$2.16m |
| Gross Profit | US$9.63m |
| Other Expenses | US$18.74m |
| Earnings | -US$9.11m |
Last Reported Earnings
Mar 31, 2022
Next Earnings Date
Aug 09, 2022
| Earnings per share (EPS) | -0.31 |
| Gross Margin | 81.68% |
| Net Profit Margin | -77.28% |
| Debt/Equity Ratio | 318.6% |
How did AAIC perform over the long term?
See historical performance and comparisonValuation
Is AAIC undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?
Valuation Score
2/6Valuation Score 2/6
Price-To-Book vs Peers
Price-To-Book vs Industry
Price-To-Book vs Fair Ratio
Below Fair Value
Significantly Below Fair Value
Analyst Forecast
Key Valuation Metric
Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for AAIC?
Other financial metrics that can be useful for relative valuation.
| What is AAIC's n/a Ratio? | |
|---|---|
| n/a Ratio | 0x |
| n/a | n/a |
| Market Cap | US$92.86m |
| Key Statistics | |
|---|---|
| Enterprise Value/Revenue | n/a |
| Enterprise Value/EBITDA | n/a |
| PEG Ratio | n/a |
Price to Book Ratio vs Peers
How does AAIC's PB Ratio compare to its peers?
| AAIC PB Ratio vs Peers |
|---|
| Company | PB | Estimated Growth | Market Cap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Peer Average | 0.8x | ||
EARN Ellington Residential Mortgage REIT | 0.8x | 148.7% | US$110.0m |
MITT AG Mortgage Investment Trust | 0.6x | 119.2% | US$166.4m |
LFT Lument Finance Trust | 0.7x | 49.4% | US$133.7m |
SACH Sachem Capital | 0.9x | 36.3% | US$184.1m |
AAIC Arlington Asset Investment | 0.5x | 56.0% | US$92.9m |
Price-To-Book vs Peers: AAIC is good value based on its Price-To-Book Ratio (0.5x) compared to the peer average (0.8x).
Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry
How does AAIC's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the US Mortgage REITs Industry?
Price-To-Book vs Industry: AAIC is good value based on its Price-To-Book Ratio (0.5x) compared to the US Mortgage REITs industry average (0.9x)
Price to Book Ratio vs Fair Ratio
What is AAIC's PB Ratio compared to its Fair PB Ratio? This is the expected PB Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.
| Fair Ratio | |
|---|---|
| Current PB Ratio | 0.5x |
| Fair PB Ratio | n/a |
Price-To-Book vs Fair Ratio: Insufficient data to calculate AAIC's Price-To-Book Fair Ratio for valuation analysis.
Share Price vs Fair Value
What is the Fair Price of AAIC when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.
Below Fair Value: Insufficient data to calculate AAIC's fair value for valuation analysis.
Significantly Below Fair Value: Insufficient data to calculate AAIC's fair value for valuation analysis.
Analyst Price Targets
What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?
Analyst Forecast: Insufficient data to show price forecast.
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Future Growth
How is Arlington Asset Investment forecast to perform in the next 1 to 3 years based on estimates from 1 analyst?
Future Growth Score
2/6Future Growth Score 2/6
Earnings vs Savings Rate
Earnings vs Market
High Growth Earnings
Revenue vs Market
High Growth Revenue
Future ROE
56.0%
Forecasted annual earnings growth
Earnings and Revenue Growth Forecasts
Analyst Future Growth Forecasts
Earnings vs Savings Rate: AAIC is forecast to remain unprofitable over the next 3 years.
Earnings vs Market: AAIC is forecast to remain unprofitable over the next 3 years.
High Growth Earnings: AAIC is forecast to remain unprofitable over the next 3 years.
Revenue vs Market: AAIC's revenue (34.6% per year) is forecast to grow faster than the US market (7.9% per year).
High Growth Revenue: AAIC's revenue (34.6% per year) is forecast to grow faster than 20% per year.
Earnings per Share Growth Forecasts
Future Return on Equity
Future ROE: Insufficient data to determine if AAIC's Return on Equity is forecast to be high in 3 years time
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Past Performance
How has Arlington Asset Investment performed over the past 5 years?
Past Performance Score
0/6Past Performance Score 0/6
Quality Earnings
Growing Profit Margin
Earnings Trend
Accelerating Growth
Earnings vs Industry
High ROE
5.7%
Historical annual earnings growth
Earnings and Revenue History
Quality Earnings: AAIC is currently unprofitable.
Growing Profit Margin: AAIC is currently unprofitable.
Past Earnings Growth Analysis
Earnings Trend: AAIC is unprofitable, but has reduced losses over the past 5 years at a rate of 5.7% per year.
Accelerating Growth: Unable to compare AAIC's earnings growth over the past year to its 5-year average as it is currently unprofitable
Earnings vs Industry: AAIC is unprofitable, making it difficult to compare its past year earnings growth to the Mortgage REITs industry (4.1%).
Return on Equity
High ROE: AAIC has a negative Return on Equity (-2.83%), as it is currently unprofitable.
Discover strong past performing companies
Financial Health
How is Arlington Asset Investment's financial position?
Financial Health Score
5/6Financial Health Score 5/6
Short Term Liabilities
Long Term Liabilities
Debt Level
Reducing Debt
Stable Cash Runway
Forecast Cash Runway
Financial Position Analysis
Short Term Liabilities: AAIC's short term assets ($493.6M) exceed its short term liabilities ($286.6M).
Long Term Liabilities: AAIC's short term assets ($493.6M) exceed its long term liabilities ($416.2M).
Debt to Equity History and Analysis
Debt Level: AAIC's net debt to equity ratio (162.9%) is considered high.
Reducing Debt: AAIC's debt to equity ratio has reduced from 1153.7% to 318.6% over the past 5 years.
Balance Sheet
Cash Runway Analysis
For companies that have on average been loss making in the past we assess whether they have at least 1 year of cash runway.
Stable Cash Runway: Whilst unprofitable AAIC has sufficient cash runway for more than 3 years if it maintains its current positive free cash flow level.
Forecast Cash Runway: AAIC is unprofitable but has sufficient cash runway for more than 3 years, even with free cash flow being positive and shrinking by 30.6% per year.
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Dividend
What is Arlington Asset Investment current dividend yield, its reliability and sustainability?
Dividend Score
0/6Dividend Score 0/6
Notable Dividend
High Dividend
Stable Dividend
Growing Dividend
Earnings Coverage
Cash Flow Coverage
1.60%
Forecast Dividend Yield
Dividend Yield vs Market
Notable Dividend: Unable to evaluate AAIC's dividend yield against the bottom 25% of dividend payers, as the company has not reported any recent payouts.
High Dividend: Unable to evaluate AAIC's dividend yield against the top 25% of dividend payers, as the company has not reported any recent payouts.
Stability and Growth of Payments
Stable Dividend: Insufficient data to determine if AAIC's dividends per share have been stable in the past.
Growing Dividend: Insufficient data to determine if AAIC's dividend payments have been increasing.
Earnings Payout to Shareholders
Earnings Coverage: AAIC is not paying a notable dividend for the US market.
Cash Payout to Shareholders
Cash Flow Coverage: Unable to calculate sustainability of dividends as AAIC has not reported any payouts.
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Management
How experienced are the management team and are they aligned to shareholders interests?
7.4yrs
Average management tenure
CEO
J. Tonkel (59 yo)
18.33yrs
Tenure
US$2,418,545
Compensation
Mr. J. Rock Tonkel, Jr., CPA, has been the Chief Executive Officer of Arlington Asset Investment Corp. (formerly, Friedman Billings Ramsey Group Inc.) since June 11, 2014 and has been its President since F...
CEO Compensation Analysis
Compensation vs Market: J.'s total compensation ($USD2.42M) is above average for companies of similar size in the US market ($USD767.73K).
Compensation vs Earnings: J.'s compensation has increased whilst the company is unprofitable.
Leadership Team
Experienced Management: AAIC's management team is seasoned and experienced (7.4 years average tenure).
Board Members
Experienced Board: AAIC's board of directors are seasoned and experienced ( 10.4 years average tenure).
Ownership
Who are the major shareholders and have insiders been buying or selling?
Insider Trading Volume
Insider Buying: AAIC insiders have bought more shares than they have sold in the past 3 months.
Recent Insider Transactions
Ownership Breakdown
Dilution of Shares: Shareholders have not been meaningfully diluted in the past year.
Top Shareholders
Company Information
Arlington Asset Investment Corp.'s employee growth, exchange listings and data sources
Key Information
- Name: Arlington Asset Investment Corp.
- Ticker: AAIC
- Exchange: NYSE
- Founded: 1989
- Industry: Mortgage REITs
- Sector: Diversified Financials
- Implied Market Cap: US$92.864m
- Shares outstanding: 29.66m
- Website: https://www.arlingtonasset.com
Number of Employees
Location
- Arlington Asset Investment Corp.
- Potomac Tower
- Suite 1900
- Arlington
- Virginia
- 22209
- United States
Listings
Company Analysis and Financial Data Status
| Data | Last Updated (UTC time) |
|---|---|
| Company Analysis | 2022/08/07 00:00 |
| End of Day Share Price | 2022/08/05 00:00 |
| Earnings | 2022/03/31 |
| Annual Earnings | 2021/12/31 |
Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more here.