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FCFS

FirstCash Holdings NasdaqGS:FCFS Stock Report

Last Price

US$75.33

Market Cap

US$3.5b

7D

3.6%

1Y

-8.7%

Updated

08 Aug, 2022

Data

Company Financials +
FCFS fundamental analysis
Snowflake Score
Valuation1/6
Future Growth4/6
Past Performance3/6
Financial Health3/6
Dividends3/6

FCFS Stock Overview

FirstCash Holdings, Inc, together with its subsidiaries, operates retail pawn stores in the United States, Mexico, and rest of Latin America.

FirstCash Holdings, Inc Competitors

Price History & Performance

Summary of all time highs, changes and price drops for FirstCash Holdings
Historical stock prices
Current Share PriceUS$75.33
52 Week HighUS$97.04
52 Week LowUS$58.30
Beta0.71
1 Month Change8.43%
3 Month Change4.65%
1 Year Change-8.66%
3 Year Change-23.91%
5 Year Change27.03%
Change since IPO2,964.27%

Recent News & Updates

Aug 08

FirstCash Seeing A Strong Core Pawn Recovery, But Point-Of-Sale Is Lagging

FirstCash reported somewhat mixed Q2 results, as strong results in the pawn business are being offset by weaker results in the recently-acquired AFF point-of-sale/lease-to-own financing business. Higher inflation is driving increased demand for pawn loans, with the Latin American operations continuing to lag the U.S. operations but still improving. Point of sale financing is being hurt by weaker foot traffic at partner locations, but AFF continues to add new retail partners. I see some near-term sentiment risk from the AFF operations, but I believe FirstCash is still likely to generate high single-digit long-term core growth, and that the shares are undervalued. It took some time, but FirstCash (FCFS) is definitely seeing a recovery in its core pawn operations, as high inflation is pinching disposable income for its core customer base. At the same time, though, retail partners for the company's lease-to-own operations (the American First Finance acquisition) are seeing lower foot traffic and gross origination volumes haven't impressed me all that much so far. At this point, I remain concerned that the AFF deal will drag on results in the near future, though I do still see the logic of entering the point-of-sale financing/lease-to-own business with an asset-light model. I also still expect some lag in the performance of the Mexican pawn stores relative to the U.S. operations, and I continue to believe that expanding the Latin American store footprint would be a good use of capital. Between a better outlook for the core pawn operations and a weaker outlook for the POS/LTO operations, my model and valuation don't change all that much. I continue to believe that FirstCash shares are undervalued and worth considering, but I also acknowledge that the AFF acquisition has added execution/capital allocation risk to the story, and some investors may prefer other plays on themes like inflation and lower-income consumers. The Ongoing Pawn Recovery Is Evident In The Q2'22 Results While overall second quarter results at FirstCash were as expected on the top line (and better by $0.10 on the EPS line), there was a divide between the business segments - the pawn business did better than expected, while the point-of-sale business didn't meet expectations. Revenue rose 63% as reported, or 69% on an adjusted basis, with organic revenue growth of around 17%. Retail merchandise sales revenue rose 12% year over year (or 10% in same-store terms), while pawn fee revenue rose 22% (20% same-store). Scrap revenue jumped 69%, while AFF revenue was down slightly sequentially as slightly higher interest and fee income was offset by weaker leased merchandise revenue. Core U.S. pawn operation revenue rose 21%, with core pawn revenue (ex-scrap) up 18% on 13% growth in merch sales (up 10% same-store) and 31% growth in pawn fee revenue (up 29% same-store). Scrap revenue more than doubled (up 129%). In the Latin American operations, revenue rose 10% in constant currency, with retail sales up 11% (up 11% same-store) and fees up 8% (7% same-store). Scrap sales rose 13%. Gross margin was weaker, falling 11 points to 46.5% from the year-ago level, due both to the inclusion of lower-margin AFF revenue and some changes in the underlying pawn business mix. Both the U.S. and LatAm pawn operations saw lower gross margin (down 180bp to 57.3% and down 30bp to 54.6%, respectively), largely due to the higher contribution of low-margin scrap jewelry revenue. EBITDA rose 167% as reported, or 68% in adjusted terms, with core pre-tax pawn income up 29%, with a margin of around 21%. AFF pre-tax earnings more than doubled sequentially, with a margin of around 6% on a GAAP basis. Better Days For Pawn Lending, And This Could Last A While As I outlined in my last piece on FirstCash, I expected pawn lending to improve as 2022 developed, and that has been the case. The drivers I previously mentioned - inflation, the end of stimulus payments, and a change in taxes - have all contributed to increased pressure on lower-income households, leading to increased demand for pawn loans. As has been the case for some time, the LatAm recovery is lagging the U.S. recovery, some of which is due to a weaker economic recovery in Mexico and some of which I believe is due to higher remittances from the U.S. Pawn loans grew 33% in the U.S. (reported and same-store), while the Latin American operations saw 6% growth on a constant currency same-store basis. Those numbers represent modest deceleration in the U.S. (from 38% growth in Q1'22) and modest acceleration in LatAm (from 3% growth) but point to healthy upcoming growth in pawn lending fees as loans are rolled over. In both cases, pawn loans are now above pre-pandemic levels. There have been some ups and downs in the merchandise operations as the pandemic disrupted the business, but I believe the business is overall in good shape. Merchandise sales growth did decelerate in Latin America (and accelerated in the U.S.) relative to the first quarter, but in both cases retail margins are healthy and inventory is in good shape. Even with a recent retreat in gasoline prices, I do expect healthy pawn loan demand at least into 2023. I'm a little less certain about the merchandise operations - I think demand will be okay, but I believe management could have some challenges in their direct buy operations as customers run out of items to sell (though surrenders from pawn lending will likely increase). To be clear, I don't think the merchandise operations will suddenly underperform, but rather I think this level may be harder to maintain if it's harder to grow inventories. More Challenges In The POS/LTO Market Today There were some positive notes on the AFF business in the second quarter - active merchant locations rose 34% yoy and 10% qoq (to 7,600), and combined receivables rose 21%. On the other hand, AFF's retail partners did see weaker foot traffic, and gross transaction volume was up only 5% in the quarter. Underlining some of the pressure, management noted in the release that they now expect the contingent compensation payout for the AFF deal to be on the lower end of the range, as the businesses' EBITDA is unlikely to hit the targets for the higher end of the range. As a reminder, AFF owners could have received $300M in earn-outs ($250M and $50M) tied to the business achieving $153M in '22 EBITDA and $239M in '23 EBITDA. What's going on with AFF does not seem to be a unique phenomenon in the space. PROG Holdings (PRG) pre-announced weaker Q2 results, and when reporting those results, did note weaker demand trends and higher delinquency rates. Rent-A-Center (RCII) (AFF competes with RCII's Acima business) performed better than PROG and management seemed less concerned about delinquency rates but did also note weaker foot traffic at retail LTO partners. I don't think anything is "broken" here. Rather, I do think this is a response to current trends like high inflation pressuring disposable income and leading consumers to be a little more conservative on their spending. Longer term, I see good growth potential in point-of-sale financing (particularly in end-markets like repair services), but I do also still have concerns about the influx of capital and competition into the market.

Jul 28

FirstCash Non-GAAP EPS of $1.08 beats by $0.10, revenue of $647.61M in-line

FirstCash press release (NASDAQ:FCFS): Q2 Non-GAAP EPS of $1.08 beats by $0.10. Revenue of $647.61M (+62.5% Y/Y) in-line. Year-to-date diluted earnings per share increased 57% on a GAAP basis and 45% on an adjusted non-GAAP basis compared to the prior year. Consolidated revenues totaled $648 million, a second quarter record, representing a 66% increase over the prior-year quarter. Adjusted consolidated revenues were $659 million, up 69%, for the second quarter, which excludes the non-cash impacts from purchase accounting. Year-to-date consolidated revenues increased 64% on a GAAP basis and increased 67% on an adjusted non-GAAP basis compared to the prior year. EBITDA and Adjusted EBITDA for the second quarter of 2022 increased 167% and 68%, respectively, compared to the prior-year quarter. For the twelve month period ended June 30, 2022, EBITDA increased 64% to $353 million while adjusted EBITDA increased 57% to $364 million over the comparable prior year period.

Shareholder Returns

FCFSUS Consumer FinanceUS Market
7D3.6%1.6%1.1%
1Y-8.7%-25.8%-13.0%

Return vs Industry: FCFS exceeded the US Consumer Finance industry which returned -26.2% over the past year.

Return vs Market: FCFS exceeded the US Market which returned -12.9% over the past year.

Price Volatility

Is FCFS's price volatile compared to industry and market?
FCFS volatility
FCFS Average Weekly Movement5.6%
Consumer Finance Industry Average Movement8.4%
Market Average Movement7.9%
10% most volatile stocks in US Market17.1%
10% least volatile stocks in US Market3.2%

Stable Share Price: FCFS is not significantly more volatile than the rest of US stocks over the past 3 months, typically moving +/- 6% a week.

Volatility Over Time: FCFS's weekly volatility (6%) has been stable over the past year.

About the Company

FoundedEmployeesCEOWebsite
198817,000Rick Wesselhttps://firstcash.com

FirstCash Holdings, Inc, together with its subsidiaries, operates retail pawn stores in the United States, Mexico, and rest of Latin America. Its pawn stores lend money on the collateral of pledged personal property, including jewelry, electronics, tools, appliances, sporting goods, and musical instruments; and retails merchandise acquired through collateral forfeitures on forfeited pawn loans and over-the-counter purchases of merchandise directly from customers. The company is also involved in melting scrap jewelry, as well as sells gold, silver, and diamonds in commodity markets.

FirstCash Holdings, Inc Fundamentals Summary

How do FirstCash Holdings's earnings and revenue compare to its market cap?
FCFS fundamental statistics
Market CapUS$3.54b
Earnings (TTM)US$176.88m
Revenue (TTM)US$2.21b

20.0x

P/E Ratio

1.6x

P/S Ratio

Earnings & Revenue

Key profitability statistics from the latest earnings report
FCFS income statement (TTM)
RevenueUS$2.21b
Cost of RevenueUS$966.27m
Gross ProfitUS$1.24b
Other ExpensesUS$1.07b
EarningsUS$176.88m

Last Reported Earnings

Jun 30, 2022

Next Earnings Date

Oct 27, 2022

Earnings per share (EPS)3.76
Gross Margin56.26%
Net Profit Margin8.01%
Debt/Equity Ratio72.0%

How did FCFS perform over the long term?

See historical performance and comparison

Dividends

1.8%

Current Dividend Yield

30%

Payout Ratio

Does FCFS pay a reliable dividends?

See FCFS dividend history and benchmarks
When do you need to buy FCFS by to receive an upcoming dividend?
FirstCash Holdings dividend dates
Ex Dividend DateAug 11 2022
Dividend Pay DateAug 26 2022
Days until Ex dividend2 days
Days until Dividend pay date17 days

Does FCFS pay a reliable dividends?

See FCFS dividend history and benchmarks