Stock Analysis

Institutional investors in Affirm Holdings, Inc. (NASDAQ:AFRM) lost 17% last week but have reaped the benefits of longer-term growth

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Key Insights

  • Given the large stake in the stock by institutions, Affirm Holdings' stock price might be vulnerable to their trading decisions
  • The top 9 shareholders own 52% of the company
  • Ownership research along with analyst forecasts data help provide a good understanding of opportunities in a stock

If you want to know who really controls Affirm Holdings, Inc. (NASDAQ:AFRM), then you'll have to look at the makeup of its share registry. We can see that institutions own the lion's share in the company with 68% ownership. Put another way, the group faces the maximum upside potential (or downside risk).

Institutional investors endured the highest losses after the company's market cap fell by US$2.4b last week. Still, the 10% one-year gains may have helped mitigate their overall losses. But they would probably be wary of future losses.

Let's delve deeper into each type of owner of Affirm Holdings, beginning with the chart below.

View our latest analysis for Affirm Holdings

ownership-breakdown
NasdaqGS:AFRM Ownership Breakdown April 8th 2025

What Does The Institutional Ownership Tell Us About Affirm Holdings?

Institutions typically measure themselves against a benchmark when reporting to their own investors, so they often become more enthusiastic about a stock once it's included in a major index. We would expect most companies to have some institutions on the register, especially if they are growing.

We can see that Affirm Holdings does have institutional investors; and they hold a good portion of the company's stock. This suggests some credibility amongst professional investors. But we can't rely on that fact alone since institutions make bad investments sometimes, just like everyone does. If multiple institutions change their view on a stock at the same time, you could see the share price drop fast. It's therefore worth looking at Affirm Holdings' earnings history below. Of course, the future is what really matters.

earnings-and-revenue-growth
NasdaqGS:AFRM Earnings and Revenue Growth April 8th 2025

Institutional investors own over 50% of the company, so together than can probably strongly influence board decisions. Affirm Holdings is not owned by hedge funds. The company's largest shareholder is Capital Research and Management Company, with ownership of 14%. With 6.8% and 6.5% of the shares outstanding respectively, The Vanguard Group, Inc. and Morgan Stanley Investment Management Inc. are the second and third largest shareholders. Furthermore, CEO Max Levchin is the owner of 5.3% of the company's shares.

We also observed that the top 9 shareholders account for more than half of the share register, with a few smaller shareholders to balance the interests of the larger ones to a certain extent.

Researching institutional ownership is a good way to gauge and filter a stock's expected performance. The same can be achieved by studying analyst sentiments. There are a reasonable number of analysts covering the stock, so it might be useful to find out their aggregate view on the future.

Insider Ownership Of Affirm Holdings

The definition of an insider can differ slightly between different countries, but members of the board of directors always count. Company management run the business, but the CEO will answer to the board, even if he or she is a member of it.

I generally consider insider ownership to be a good thing. However, on some occasions it makes it more difficult for other shareholders to hold the board accountable for decisions.

Our most recent data indicates that insiders own some shares in Affirm Holdings, Inc.. Insiders own US$713m worth of shares (at current prices). we sometimes take an interest in whether they have been buying or selling.

General Public Ownership

The general public, who are usually individual investors, hold a 16% stake in Affirm Holdings. While this group can't necessarily call the shots, it can certainly have a real influence on how the company is run.

Private Company Ownership

We can see that Private Companies own 3.3%, of the shares on issue. It's hard to draw any conclusions from this fact alone, so its worth looking into who owns those private companies. Sometimes insiders or other related parties have an interest in shares in a public company through a separate private company.

Public Company Ownership

It appears to us that public companies own 6.3% of Affirm Holdings. We can't be certain but it is quite possible this is a strategic stake. The businesses may be similar, or work together.

Next Steps:

While it is well worth considering the different groups that own a company, there are other factors that are even more important. Take risks for example - Affirm Holdings has 1 warning sign we think you should be aware of.

Ultimately the future is most important. You can access this free report on analyst forecasts for the company .

NB: Figures in this article are calculated using data from the last twelve months, which refer to the 12-month period ending on the last date of the month the financial statement is dated. This may not be consistent with full year annual report figures.

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Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.

This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

About NasdaqGS:AFRM

Affirm Holdings

Operates payment network in the United States, Canada, and internationally.

Reasonable growth potential with questionable track record.

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