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XPOF

Xponential FitnessNYSE:XPOF Stock Report

Last Price

US$15.10

Market Cap

US$675.0m

7D

-8.4%

1Y

n/a

Updated

19 Jan, 2022

Data

Company Financials +
XPOF fundamental analysis
Snowflake Score
Valuation2/6
Future Growth4/6
Past Performance0/6
Financial Health2/6
Dividends0/6

XPOF Stock Overview

Xponential Fitness, Inc., through its subsidiaries, operates as a boutique fitness franchisor in the United States and internationally.

Price History & Performance

Summary of all time highs, changes and price drops for Xponential Fitness
Historical stock prices
Current Share PriceUS$15.10
52 Week HighUS$24.73
52 Week LowUS$9.87
Beta0
1 Month Change-18.38%
3 Month Change-6.68%
1 Year Changen/a
3 Year Changen/a
5 Year Changen/a
Change since IPO23.27%

Recent News & Updates

Shareholder Returns

XPOFUS HospitalityUS Market
7D-8.4%-5.0%-4.6%
1Yn/a-4.9%7.7%

Return vs Industry: Insufficient data to determine how XPOF performed against the US Hospitality industry.

Return vs Market: Insufficient data to determine how XPOF performed against the US Market.

Price Volatility

Is XPOF's price volatile compared to industry and market?
XPOF volatility
XPOF Average Weekly Movement11.6%
Hospitality Industry Average Movement7.8%
Market Average Movement6.6%
10% most volatile stocks in US Market15.7%
10% least volatile stocks in US Market2.4%

Stable Share Price: XPOF is more volatile than 75% of US stocks over the past 3 months, typically moving +/- 12% a week.

Volatility Over Time: XPOF's weekly volatility (12%) has been stable over the past year, but is still higher than 75% of US stocks.

About the Company

FoundedEmployeesCEOWebsite
2015420Anthony Geislerhttps://www.xponential.com

Xponential Fitness, Inc., through its subsidiaries, operates as a boutique fitness franchisor in the United States and internationally. The company offers fitness and wellness workouts, including pilates, barre, cycling, stretch, rowing, yoga, boxing, dance, and running under the Club Pilates, CycleBar, StretchLab, Row House, AKT, YogaSix, Pure Barre, STRIDE, and Rumble brands. As of March 31, 2021, it had 1,060 franchisees operating 1,775 open studios on an adjusted basis.

Xponential Fitness Fundamentals Summary

How do Xponential Fitness's earnings and revenue compare to its market cap?
XPOF fundamental statistics
Market CapUS$675.02m
Earnings (TTM)-US$18.10m
Revenue (TTM)US$133.48m

5.3x

P/S Ratio

-39.1x

P/E Ratio

Earnings & Revenue

Key profitability statistics from the latest earnings report
XPOF income statement (TTM)
RevenueUS$133.48m
Cost of RevenueUS$46.59m
Gross ProfitUS$86.89m
ExpensesUS$105.00m
Earnings-US$18.10m

Last Reported Earnings

Sep 30, 2021

Next Earnings Date

n/a

Earnings per share (EPS)-0.39
Gross Margin65.10%
Net Profit Margin-13.56%
Debt/Equity Ratio100.8%

How did XPOF perform over the long term?

See historical performance and comparison

Valuation

Is Xponential Fitness undervalued compared to its fair value and its price relative to the market?

>50%

Undervalued compared to fair value


Share Price vs. Fair Value

Below Fair Value: XPOF ($15.1) is trading below our estimate of fair value ($66.25)

Significantly Below Fair Value: XPOF is trading below fair value by more than 20%.


Price To Earnings Ratio

PE vs Industry: XPOF is unprofitable, so we can't compare its PE Ratio to the US Hospitality industry average.

PE vs Market: XPOF is unprofitable, so we can't compare its PE Ratio to the US market.


Price to Earnings Growth Ratio

PEG Ratio: Insufficient data to calculate XPOF's PEG Ratio to determine if it is good value.


Price to Book Ratio

PB vs Industry: XPOF has negative assets, so we can't compare its PB Ratio to the US Hospitality industry average.


Future Growth

How is Xponential Fitness forecast to perform in the next 1 to 3 years based on estimates from 8 analysts?

61.9%

Forecasted annual earnings growth


Earnings and Revenue Growth Forecasts


Analyst Future Growth Forecasts

Earnings vs Savings Rate: XPOF is forecast to become profitable over the next 3 years, which is considered faster growth than the savings rate (2%).

Earnings vs Market: XPOF is forecast to become profitable over the next 3 years, which is considered above average market growth.

High Growth Earnings: XPOF's is expected to become profitable in the next 3 years.

Revenue vs Market: XPOF's revenue (17.4% per year) is forecast to grow faster than the US market (9.2% per year).

High Growth Revenue: XPOF's revenue (17.4% per year) is forecast to grow slower than 20% per year.


Earnings per Share Growth Forecasts


Future Return on Equity

Future ROE: Insufficient data to determine if XPOF's Return on Equity is forecast to be high in 3 years time


Past Performance

How has Xponential Fitness performed over the past 5 years?

7.4%

Last years earnings growth


Earnings and Revenue History

Quality Earnings: XPOF is currently unprofitable.

Growing Profit Margin: XPOF is currently unprofitable.


Past Earnings Growth Analysis

Earnings Trend: Insufficient data to determine if XPOF's year-on-year earnings growth rate was positive over the past 5 years.

Accelerating Growth: Unable to compare XPOF's earnings growth over the past year to its 5-year average as it is currently unprofitable

Earnings vs Industry: XPOF is unprofitable, making it difficult to compare its past year earnings growth to the Hospitality industry (79.7%).


Return on Equity

High ROE: XPOF has a negative Return on Equity (-28.37%), as it is currently unprofitable.


Financial Health

How is Xponential Fitness's financial position?


Financial Position Analysis

Short Term Liabilities: XPOF's short term assets ($53.8M) do not cover its short term liabilities ($56.8M).

Long Term Liabilities: XPOF's short term assets ($53.8M) do not cover its long term liabilities ($212.2M).


Debt to Equity History and Analysis

Debt Level: XPOF's net debt to equity ratio (74.9%) is considered high.

Reducing Debt: Insufficient data to determine if XPOF's debt to equity ratio has reduced over the past 5 years.


Balance Sheet


Cash Runway Analysis

For companies that have on average been loss making in the past we assess whether they have at least 1 year of cash runway.

Stable Cash Runway: Whilst unprofitable XPOF has sufficient cash runway for more than 3 years if it maintains its current positive free cash flow level.

Forecast Cash Runway: XPOF is unprofitable but has sufficient cash runway for more than 3 years, due to free cash flow being positive and growing by 61.5% per year.


Dividend

What is Xponential Fitness's current dividend yield, its reliability and sustainability?


Dividend Yield vs Market

Notable Dividend: Unable to evaluate XPOF's dividend yield against the bottom 25% of dividend payers, as the company has not reported any recent payouts.

High Dividend: Unable to evaluate XPOF's dividend yield against the top 25% of dividend payers, as the company has not reported any recent payouts.


Stability and Growth of Payments

Stable Dividend: Insufficient data to determine if XPOF's dividends per share have been stable in the past.

Growing Dividend: Insufficient data to determine if XPOF's dividend payments have been increasing.


Current Payout to Shareholders

Dividend Coverage: Insufficient data to calculate payout ratio to determine if its dividend payments are covered by earnings.


Future Payout to Shareholders

Future Dividend Coverage: No need to calculate the sustainability of XPOF's dividend in 3 years as they are not forecast to pay a notable one for the US market.


Next Steps

Management

How experienced are the management team and are they aligned to shareholders interests?

4.0yrs

Average management tenure


CEO

Anthony Geisler (45 yo)

5yrs

Tenure

US$813,478

Compensation

Mr. Anthony Geisler serves as Chief Executive Officer and Director of Xponential Fitness, LLC since 2017. Mr. Geisler is the founder of Xponential Fitness, Inc. and has been its Chief Executive Officer and...


CEO Compensation Analysis

Compensation vs Market: Anthony's total compensation ($USD813.48K) is below average for companies of similar size in the US market ($USD2.39M).

Compensation vs Earnings: Anthony's compensation has been consistent with company performance over the past year.


Leadership Team

Experienced Management: XPOF's management team is considered experienced (4 years average tenure).


Board Members

Experienced Board: XPOF's board of directors are considered experienced (3.7 years average tenure).


Ownership

Who are the major shareholders and have insiders been buying or selling?


Insider Trading Volume

Insider Buying: Insufficient data to determine if insiders have bought more shares than they have sold in the past 3 months.


Recent Insider Transactions

Ownership Breakdown

Dilution of Shares: XPOF only recently listed within the past 12 months.


Top Shareholders

Company Information

Xponential Fitness, Inc.'s employee growth, exchange listings and data sources


Key Information

  • Name: Xponential Fitness, Inc.
  • Ticker: XPOF
  • Exchange: NYSE
  • Founded: 2015
  • Industry: Leisure Facilities
  • Sector: Consumer Services
  • Implied Market Cap: US$675.021m
  • Market Cap: US$360.860m
  • Shares outstanding: 46.86m
  • Website: https://www.xponential.com

Number of Employees


Location

  • Xponential Fitness, Inc.
  • 17877 Von Karman Avenue
  • Suite 100
  • Irvine
  • California
  • 92614
  • United States

Listings


Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

All financial data provided by Standard & Poor's Capital IQ.
DataLast Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis2022/01/19 23:51
End of Day Share Price2022/01/19 00:00
Earnings2021/09/30
Annual Earnings2020/12/31


Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more here.