Stock Analysis

Returns On Capital At Royal Caribbean Cruises (NYSE:RCL) Paint A Concerning Picture

NYSE:RCL
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There are a few key trends to look for if we want to identify the next multi-bagger. Ideally, a business will show two trends; firstly a growing return on capital employed (ROCE) and secondly, an increasing amount of capital employed. Put simply, these types of businesses are compounding machines, meaning they are continually reinvesting their earnings at ever-higher rates of return. In light of that, when we looked at Royal Caribbean Cruises (NYSE:RCL) and its ROCE trend, we weren't exactly thrilled.

Understanding Return On Capital Employed (ROCE)

For those that aren't sure what ROCE is, it measures the amount of pre-tax profits a company can generate from the capital employed in its business. The formula for this calculation on Royal Caribbean Cruises is:

Return on Capital Employed = Earnings Before Interest and Tax (EBIT) ÷ (Total Assets - Current Liabilities)

0.016 = US$379m ÷ (US$33b - US$9.4b) (Based on the trailing twelve months to March 2023).

Thus, Royal Caribbean Cruises has an ROCE of 1.6%. Ultimately, that's a low return and it under-performs the Hospitality industry average of 9.1%.

View our latest analysis for Royal Caribbean Cruises

roce
NYSE:RCL Return on Capital Employed June 19th 2023

In the above chart we have measured Royal Caribbean Cruises' prior ROCE against its prior performance, but the future is arguably more important. If you'd like to see what analysts are forecasting going forward, you should check out our free report for Royal Caribbean Cruises.

SWOT Analysis for Royal Caribbean Cruises

Strength
  • No major strengths identified for RCL.
Weakness
  • Interest payments on debt are not well covered.
Opportunity
  • Expected to breakeven next year.
  • Has sufficient cash runway for more than 3 years based on current free cash flows.
  • Good value based on P/S ratio and estimated fair value.
Threat
  • Debt is not well covered by operating cash flow.

The Trend Of ROCE

In terms of Royal Caribbean Cruises' historical ROCE movements, the trend isn't fantastic. Over the last five years, returns on capital have decreased to 1.6% from 9.3% five years ago. However, given capital employed and revenue have both increased it appears that the business is currently pursuing growth, at the consequence of short term returns. And if the increased capital generates additional returns, the business, and thus shareholders, will benefit in the long run.

What We Can Learn From Royal Caribbean Cruises' ROCE

In summary, despite lower returns in the short term, we're encouraged to see that Royal Caribbean Cruises is reinvesting for growth and has higher sales as a result. However, total returns to shareholders over the last five years have been flat, which could indicate these growth trends potentially aren't accounted for yet by investors. As a result, we'd recommend researching this stock further to uncover what other fundamentals of the business can show us.

If you're still interested in Royal Caribbean Cruises it's worth checking out our FREE intrinsic value approximation to see if it's trading at an attractive price in other respects.

For those who like to invest in solid companies, check out this free list of companies with solid balance sheets and high returns on equity.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.