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LOPE

Grand Canyon Education NasdaqGS:LOPE Stock Report

Last Price

US$88.44

Market Cap

US$2.8b

7D

1.3%

1Y

-5.3%

Updated

21 May, 2022

Data

Company Financials +
LOPE fundamental analysis
Snowflake Score
Valuation4/6
Future Growth1/6
Past Performance3/6
Financial Health6/6
Dividends0/6

LOPE Stock Overview

Grand Canyon Education, Inc. provides education services to colleges and universities in the United States.

Grand Canyon Education Competitors

Price History & Performance

Summary of all time highs, changes and price drops for Grand Canyon Education
Historical stock prices
Current Share PriceUS$88.44
52 Week HighUS$102.04
52 Week LowUS$70.00
Beta0.49
1 Month Change-12.18%
3 Month Change4.39%
1 Year Change-5.31%
3 Year Change-25.18%
5 Year Change14.38%
Change since IPO646.33%

Recent News & Updates

Shareholder Returns

LOPEUS Consumer ServicesUS Market
7D1.3%0.5%-2.7%
1Y-5.3%-55.4%-12.9%

Return vs Industry: LOPE exceeded the US Consumer Services industry which returned -55.4% over the past year.

Return vs Market: LOPE exceeded the US Market which returned -12.9% over the past year.

Price Volatility

Is LOPE's price volatile compared to industry and market?
LOPE volatility
LOPE Average Weekly Movement3.6%
Consumer Services Industry Average Movement10.9%
Market Average Movement7.8%
10% most volatile stocks in US Market16.8%
10% least volatile stocks in US Market2.9%

Stable Share Price: LOPE is less volatile than 75% of US stocks over the past 3 months, typically moving +/- 4% a week.

Volatility Over Time: LOPE's weekly volatility (4%) has been stable over the past year.

About the Company

FoundedEmployeesCEOWebsite
19494,318Brian Muellerhttps://www.gce.com

Grand Canyon Education, Inc. provides education services to colleges and universities in the United States. The company’s technology services include learning management system, internal administration, infrastructure, and support services; academic services comprises program and curriculum, faculty and related training and development, class scheduling, and skills and simulation lab sites; and counseling services and support include admission, financial aid, and field experience and other counseling services. It also offers marketing and communication services, such as lead acquisition, digital communications strategy, brand identity, market research, media planning and strategy, video, and business intelligence and data science; and back-office services comprising finance and accounting, human resources, audit, and procurement services.

Grand Canyon Education Fundamentals Summary

How do Grand Canyon Education's earnings and revenue compare to its market cap?
LOPE fundamental statistics
Market CapUS$2.82b
Earnings (TTM)US$240.31m
Revenue (TTM)US$903.76m

11.7x

P/E Ratio

3.1x

P/S Ratio

Earnings & Revenue

Key profitability statistics from the latest earnings report
LOPE income statement (TTM)
RevenueUS$903.76m
Cost of RevenueUS$391.79m
Gross ProfitUS$511.98m
Other ExpensesUS$271.67m
EarningsUS$240.31m

Last Reported Earnings

Mar 31, 2022

Next Earnings Date

n/a

Earnings per share (EPS)7.55
Gross Margin56.65%
Net Profit Margin26.59%
Debt/Equity Ratio0%

How did LOPE perform over the long term?

See historical performance and comparison

Valuation

Is Grand Canyon Education undervalued compared to its fair value and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

4/6

Valuation Score 4/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • PE vs Industry

  • PE vs Market

  • PEG Ratio

  • PB vs Industry


>50%

Undervalued compared to fair value

Share Price vs. Fair Value

Below Fair Value: LOPE ($88.44) is trading below our estimate of fair value ($238.3)

Significantly Below Fair Value: LOPE is trading below fair value by more than 20%.


Price To Earnings Ratio

PE vs Industry: LOPE is good value based on its PE Ratio (11.7x) compared to the US Consumer Services industry average (17.1x).

PE vs Market: LOPE is good value based on its PE Ratio (11.7x) compared to the US market (15.3x).


Price to Earnings Growth Ratio

PEG Ratio: LOPE is poor value based on its PEG Ratio (1.9x)


Price to Book Ratio

PB vs Industry: LOPE is overvalued based on its PB Ratio (4x) compared to the US Consumer Services industry average (1.5x).


Future Growth

How is Grand Canyon Education forecast to perform in the next 1 to 3 years based on estimates from 4 analysts?

Future Growth Score

1/6

Future Growth Score 1/6

  • Earnings vs Savings Rate

  • Earnings vs Market

  • High Growth Earnings

  • Revenue vs Market

  • High Growth Revenue

  • Future ROE


6.3%

Forecasted annual earnings growth

Earnings and Revenue Growth Forecasts


Analyst Future Growth Forecasts

Earnings vs Savings Rate: LOPE's forecast earnings growth (6.3% per year) is above the savings rate (1.9%).

Earnings vs Market: LOPE's earnings (6.3% per year) are forecast to grow slower than the US market (12.5% per year).

High Growth Earnings: LOPE's earnings are forecast to grow, but not significantly.

Revenue vs Market: LOPE's revenue (4.7% per year) is forecast to grow slower than the US market (7.8% per year).

High Growth Revenue: LOPE's revenue (4.7% per year) is forecast to grow slower than 20% per year.


Earnings per Share Growth Forecasts


Future Return on Equity

Future ROE: Insufficient data to determine if LOPE's Return on Equity is forecast to be high in 3 years time


Past Performance

How has Grand Canyon Education performed over the past 5 years?

Past Performance Score

3/6

Past Performance Score 3/6

  • Quality Earnings

  • Growing Profit Margin

  • Earnings Trend

  • Accelerating Growth

  • Earnings vs Industry

  • High ROE


7.4%

Historical annual earnings growth

Earnings and Revenue History

Quality Earnings: LOPE has high quality earnings.

Growing Profit Margin: LOPE's current net profit margins (26.6%) are lower than last year (30.7%).


Past Earnings Growth Analysis

Earnings Trend: LOPE's earnings have grown by 7.4% per year over the past 5 years.

Accelerating Growth: LOPE's has had negative earnings growth over the past year, so it can't be compared to its 5-year average.

Earnings vs Industry: LOPE had negative earnings growth (-8.9%) over the past year, making it difficult to compare to the Consumer Services industry average (-13.3%).


Return on Equity

High ROE: LOPE's Return on Equity (34%) is considered high.


Financial Health

How is Grand Canyon Education's financial position?

Financial Health Score

6/6

Financial Health Score 6/6

  • Short Term Liabilities

  • Long Term Liabilities

  • Debt Level

  • Reducing Debt

  • Debt Coverage

  • Interest Coverage

Financial Position Analysis

Short Term Liabilities: LOPE's short term assets ($380.4M) exceed its short term liabilities ($132.7M).

Long Term Liabilities: LOPE's short term assets ($380.4M) exceed its long term liabilities ($79.2M).


Debt to Equity History and Analysis

Debt Level: LOPE is debt free.

Reducing Debt: LOPE has no debt compared to 5 years ago when its debt to equity ratio was 8.3%.

Debt Coverage: LOPE has no debt, therefore it does not need to be covered by operating cash flow.

Interest Coverage: LOPE has no debt, therefore coverage of interest payments is not a concern.


Balance Sheet


Dividend

What is Grand Canyon Education current dividend yield, its reliability and sustainability?

Dividend Score

0/6

Dividend Score 0/6

  • Notable Dividend

  • High Dividend

  • Stable Dividend

  • Growing Dividend

  • Earnings Coverage

  • Future Dividend Coverage

Dividend Yield vs Market

Notable Dividend: Unable to evaluate LOPE's dividend yield against the bottom 25% of dividend payers, as the company has not reported any recent payouts.

High Dividend: Unable to evaluate LOPE's dividend yield against the top 25% of dividend payers, as the company has not reported any recent payouts.


Stability and Growth of Payments

Stable Dividend: Insufficient data to determine if LOPE's dividends per share have been stable in the past.

Growing Dividend: Insufficient data to determine if LOPE's dividend payments have been increasing.


Earnings Payout to Shareholders

Earnings Coverage: Insufficient data to calculate payout ratio to determine if its dividend payments are covered by earnings.


Cash Payout to Shareholders

Cash Flow Coverage: Unable to calculate sustainability of dividends as LOPE has not reported any payouts.


Discover strong dividend paying companies

Management

How experienced are the management team and are they aligned to shareholders interests?

3.3yrs

Average management tenure


CEO

Brian Mueller (67 yo)

13.83yrs

Tenure

US$1,843,058

Compensation

Mr. Brian E. Mueller has been the Chief Executive Officer of Grand Canyon Education, Inc. since July 1, 2008 and also serves as its President. Mr. Mueller serves as Chairman, President, Chief Executive Off...


CEO Compensation Analysis

Compensation vs Market: Brian's total compensation ($USD1.84M) is below average for companies of similar size in the US market ($USD6.86M).

Compensation vs Earnings: Brian's compensation has been consistent with company performance over the past year.


Leadership Team

Experienced Management: LOPE's management team is considered experienced (3.3 years average tenure).


Board Members

Experienced Board: LOPE's board of directors are not considered experienced ( 2.8 years average tenure), which suggests a new board.


Ownership

Who are the major shareholders and have insiders been buying or selling?


Insider Trading Volume

Insider Buying: LOPE insiders have only sold shares in the past 3 months.


Recent Insider Transactions

Ownership Breakdown

Dilution of Shares: Shareholders have not been meaningfully diluted in the past year.


Top Shareholders

Company Information

Grand Canyon Education, Inc.'s employee growth, exchange listings and data sources


Key Information

  • Name: Grand Canyon Education, Inc.
  • Ticker: LOPE
  • Exchange: NasdaqGS
  • Founded: 1949
  • Industry: Education Services
  • Sector: Consumer Services
  • Implied Market Cap: US$2.816b
  • Shares outstanding: 31.84m
  • Website: https://www.gce.com

Number of Employees


Location

  • Grand Canyon Education, Inc.
  • 2600 West Camelback Road
  • Phoenix
  • Arizona
  • 85017
  • United States

Listings


Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

All financial data provided by Standard & Poor's Capital IQ.
DataLast Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis2022/05/21 00:00
End of Day Share Price2022/05/20 00:00
Earnings2022/03/31
Annual Earnings2021/12/31


Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more here.