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LOCO

El Pollo Loco Holdings NasdaqGS:LOCO Stock Report

Last Price

US$10.24

Market Cap

US$376.3m

7D

-1.8%

1Y

-38.3%

Updated

22 May, 2022

Data

Company Financials +
LOCO fundamental analysis
Snowflake Score
Valuation4/6
Future Growth2/6
Past Performance3/6
Financial Health4/6
Dividends0/6

LOCO Stock Overview

El Pollo Loco Holdings, Inc., through its subsidiary, El Pollo Loco, Inc., develops, franchises, licenses, and operates quick-service restaurants under the El Pollo Loco name.

El Pollo Loco Holdings Competitors

Price History & Performance

Summary of all time highs, changes and price drops for El Pollo Loco Holdings
Historical stock prices
Current Share PriceUS$10.24
52 Week HighUS$19.25
52 Week LowUS$10.01
Beta1.38
1 Month Change-4.03%
3 Month Change-24.15%
1 Year Change-38.28%
3 Year Change-5.36%
5 Year Change-23.87%
Change since IPO-57.39%

Recent News & Updates

Shareholder Returns

LOCOUS HospitalityUS Market
7D-1.8%-3.6%-2.7%
1Y-38.3%-24.5%-12.9%

Return vs Industry: LOCO underperformed the US Hospitality industry which returned -24.5% over the past year.

Return vs Market: LOCO underperformed the US Market which returned -12.9% over the past year.

Price Volatility

Is LOCO's price volatile compared to industry and market?
LOCO volatility
LOCO Average Weekly Movement5.7%
Hospitality Industry Average Movement9.2%
Market Average Movement7.8%
10% most volatile stocks in US Market16.9%
10% least volatile stocks in US Market2.9%

Stable Share Price: LOCO is not significantly more volatile than the rest of US stocks over the past 3 months, typically moving +/- 6% a week.

Volatility Over Time: LOCO's weekly volatility (6%) has been stable over the past year.

About the Company

FoundedEmployeesCEOWebsite
19754,626Larry Robertshttps://www.elpolloloco.com

El Pollo Loco Holdings, Inc., through its subsidiary, El Pollo Loco, Inc., develops, franchises, licenses, and operates quick-service restaurants under the El Pollo Loco name. As of May 04, 2022, the company operated 480 restaurants comprising 189 company-operated and 291 franchised restaurants located in California, Nevada, Arizona, Texas, Utah, and Louisiana. It also licenses one restaurant in the Philippines.

El Pollo Loco Holdings Fundamentals Summary

How do El Pollo Loco Holdings's earnings and revenue compare to its market cap?
LOCO fundamental statistics
Market CapUS$376.35m
Earnings (TTM)US$27.27m
Revenue (TTM)US$456.69m

13.8x

P/E Ratio

0.8x

P/S Ratio

Earnings & Revenue

Key profitability statistics from the latest earnings report
LOCO income statement (TTM)
RevenueUS$456.69m
Cost of RevenueUS$361.35m
Gross ProfitUS$95.34m
Other ExpensesUS$68.07m
EarningsUS$27.27m

Last Reported Earnings

Mar 30, 2022

Next Earnings Date

n/a

Earnings per share (EPS)0.74
Gross Margin20.88%
Net Profit Margin5.97%
Debt/Equity Ratio12.7%

How did LOCO perform over the long term?

See historical performance and comparison

Valuation

Is El Pollo Loco Holdings undervalued compared to its fair value and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

4/6

Valuation Score 4/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • PE vs Industry

  • PE vs Market

  • PEG Ratio

  • PB vs Industry


13.8x

Price to Earnings (PE) ratio

Share Price vs. Fair Value

Below Fair Value: LOCO ($10.24) is trading above our estimate of fair value ($6.32)

Significantly Below Fair Value: LOCO is trading above our estimate of fair value.


Price To Earnings Ratio

PE vs Industry: LOCO is good value based on its PE Ratio (13.8x) compared to the US Hospitality industry average (17.3x).

PE vs Market: LOCO is good value based on its PE Ratio (13.8x) compared to the US market (15.2x).


Price to Earnings Growth Ratio

PEG Ratio: LOCO is good value based on its PEG Ratio (0.7x)


Price to Book Ratio

PB vs Industry: LOCO is good value based on its PB Ratio (1.2x) compared to the US Hospitality industry average (2.6x).


Future Growth

How is El Pollo Loco Holdings forecast to perform in the next 1 to 3 years based on estimates from 5 analysts?

Future Growth Score

2/6

Future Growth Score 2/6

  • Earnings vs Savings Rate

  • Earnings vs Market

  • High Growth Earnings

  • Revenue vs Market

  • High Growth Revenue

  • Future ROE


19.5%

Forecasted annual earnings growth

Earnings and Revenue Growth Forecasts


Analyst Future Growth Forecasts

Earnings vs Savings Rate: LOCO's forecast earnings growth (19.5% per year) is above the savings rate (1.9%).

Earnings vs Market: LOCO's earnings (19.5% per year) are forecast to grow faster than the US market (12.5% per year).

High Growth Earnings: LOCO's earnings are forecast to grow, but not significantly.

Revenue vs Market: LOCO's revenue (5.6% per year) is forecast to grow slower than the US market (7.8% per year).

High Growth Revenue: LOCO's revenue (5.6% per year) is forecast to grow slower than 20% per year.


Earnings per Share Growth Forecasts


Future Return on Equity

Future ROE: Insufficient data to determine if LOCO's Return on Equity is forecast to be high in 3 years time


Past Performance

How has El Pollo Loco Holdings performed over the past 5 years?

Past Performance Score

3/6

Past Performance Score 3/6

  • Quality Earnings

  • Growing Profit Margin

  • Earnings Trend

  • Accelerating Growth

  • Earnings vs Industry

  • High ROE


28.1%

Historical annual earnings growth

Earnings and Revenue History

Quality Earnings: LOCO has high quality earnings.

Growing Profit Margin: LOCO's current net profit margins (6%) are higher than last year (5.8%).


Past Earnings Growth Analysis

Earnings Trend: LOCO's earnings have grown significantly by 28.1% per year over the past 5 years.

Accelerating Growth: LOCO's earnings growth over the past year (9.8%) is below its 5-year average (28.1% per year).

Earnings vs Industry: LOCO earnings growth over the past year (9.8%) underperformed the Hospitality industry 157.9%.


Return on Equity

High ROE: LOCO's Return on Equity (8.6%) is considered low.


Financial Health

How is El Pollo Loco Holdings's financial position?

Financial Health Score

4/6

Financial Health Score 4/6

  • Short Term Liabilities

  • Long Term Liabilities

  • Debt Level

  • Reducing Debt

  • Debt Coverage

  • Interest Coverage

Financial Position Analysis

Short Term Liabilities: LOCO's short term assets ($46.5M) do not cover its short term liabilities ($71.0M).

Long Term Liabilities: LOCO's short term assets ($46.5M) do not cover its long term liabilities ($222.8M).


Debt to Equity History and Analysis

Debt Level: LOCO's net debt to equity ratio (4.6%) is considered satisfactory.

Reducing Debt: LOCO's debt to equity ratio has reduced from 37.3% to 12.7% over the past 5 years.

Debt Coverage: LOCO's debt is well covered by operating cash flow (106%).

Interest Coverage: LOCO's interest payments on its debt are well covered by EBIT (24x coverage).


Balance Sheet


Dividend

What is El Pollo Loco Holdings's current dividend yield, its reliability and sustainability?

Dividend Score

0/6

Dividend Score 0/6

  • Notable Dividend

  • High Dividend

  • Stable Dividend

  • Growing Dividend

  • Earnings Coverage

  • Future Dividend Coverage

Dividend Yield vs Market

Notable Dividend: Unable to evaluate LOCO's dividend yield against the bottom 25% of dividend payers, as the company has not reported any recent payouts.

High Dividend: Unable to evaluate LOCO's dividend yield against the top 25% of dividend payers, as the company has not reported any recent payouts.


Stability and Growth of Payments

Stable Dividend: Insufficient data to determine if LOCO's dividends per share have been stable in the past.

Growing Dividend: Insufficient data to determine if LOCO's dividend payments have been increasing.


Earnings Payout to Shareholders

Earnings Coverage: Insufficient data to calculate payout ratio to determine if its dividend payments are covered by earnings.


Cash Payout to Shareholders

Cash Flow Coverage: Unable to calculate sustainability of dividends as LOCO has not reported any payouts.


Discover strong dividend paying companies

Management

How experienced are the management team and are they aligned to shareholders interests?

6.1yrs

Average board tenure


CEO

Larry Roberts (61 yo)

8.83yrs

Tenure

US$1,499,832

Compensation

Mr. Laurance Roberts, also known as Larry, has been President, Chief Executive Officer, Interim Chief Financial Officer & Director at El Pollo Loco Holdings, Inc. since March 9, 2022. He served as Chief Fi...


CEO Compensation Analysis

Compensation vs Market: Larry's total compensation ($USD1.50M) is below average for companies of similar size in the US market ($USD2.59M).

Compensation vs Earnings: Larry's compensation has increased by more than 20% in the past year.


Board Members

Experienced Board: LOCO's board of directors are considered experienced (6.1 years average tenure).


Ownership

Who are the major shareholders and have insiders been buying or selling?


Insider Trading Volume

Insider Buying: Insufficient data to determine if insiders have bought more shares than they have sold in the past 3 months.


Ownership Breakdown

Dilution of Shares: Shareholders have not been meaningfully diluted in the past year.


Top Shareholders

Company Information

El Pollo Loco Holdings, Inc.'s employee growth, exchange listings and data sources


Key Information

  • Name: El Pollo Loco Holdings, Inc.
  • Ticker: LOCO
  • Exchange: NasdaqGS
  • Founded: 1975
  • Industry: Restaurants
  • Sector: Consumer Services
  • Implied Market Cap: US$376.346m
  • Shares outstanding: 36.75m
  • Website: https://www.elpolloloco.com

Number of Employees


Location

  • El Pollo Loco Holdings, Inc.
  • 3535 Harbor Boulevard
  • Suite 100
  • Costa Mesa
  • California
  • 92626
  • United States

Listings


Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

All financial data provided by Standard & Poor's Capital IQ.
DataLast Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis2022/05/22 00:00
End of Day Share Price2022/05/20 00:00
Earnings2022/03/30
Annual Earnings2021/12/29


Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more here.