Would Expedia Group (NASDAQ:EXPE) Be Better Off With Less Debt?

Simply Wall St
October 24, 2021
Source: Shutterstock

David Iben put it well when he said, 'Volatility is not a risk we care about. What we care about is avoiding the permanent loss of capital.' So it seems the smart money knows that debt - which is usually involved in bankruptcies - is a very important factor, when you assess how risky a company is. We note that Expedia Group, Inc. (NASDAQ:EXPE) does have debt on its balance sheet. But should shareholders be worried about its use of debt?

When Is Debt Dangerous?

Debt is a tool to help businesses grow, but if a business is incapable of paying off its lenders, then it exists at their mercy. In the worst case scenario, a company can go bankrupt if it cannot pay its creditors. However, a more frequent (but still costly) occurrence is where a company must issue shares at bargain-basement prices, permanently diluting shareholders, just to shore up its balance sheet. By replacing dilution, though, debt can be an extremely good tool for businesses that need capital to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about a company's use of debt, we first look at cash and debt together.

Check out our latest analysis for Expedia Group

What Is Expedia Group's Net Debt?

You can click the graphic below for the historical numbers, but it shows that Expedia Group had US$8.48b of debt in June 2021, down from US$9.55b, one year before. However, it also had US$5.48b in cash, and so its net debt is US$3.01b.

NasdaqGS:EXPE Debt to Equity History October 25th 2021

How Healthy Is Expedia Group's Balance Sheet?

The latest balance sheet data shows that Expedia Group had liabilities of US$11.7b due within a year, and liabilities of US$9.38b falling due after that. On the other hand, it had cash of US$5.48b and US$1.84b worth of receivables due within a year. So it has liabilities totalling US$13.8b more than its cash and near-term receivables, combined.

Expedia Group has a very large market capitalization of US$24.4b, so it could very likely raise cash to ameliorate its balance sheet, if the need arose. However, it is still worthwhile taking a close look at its ability to pay off debt. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But it is future earnings, more than anything, that will determine Expedia Group's ability to maintain a healthy balance sheet going forward. So if you're focused on the future you can check out this free report showing analyst profit forecasts.

Over 12 months, Expedia Group made a loss at the EBIT level, and saw its revenue drop to US$5.8b, which is a fall of 36%. To be frank that doesn't bode well.

Caveat Emptor

While Expedia Group's falling revenue is about as heartwarming as a wet blanket, arguably its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) loss is even less appealing. To be specific the EBIT loss came in at US$871m. When we look at that and recall the liabilities on its balance sheet, relative to cash, it seems unwise to us for the company to have any debt. So we think its balance sheet is a little strained, though not beyond repair. For example, we would not want to see a repeat of last year's loss of US$1.5b. In the meantime, we consider the stock very risky. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. Case in point: We've spotted 2 warning signs for Expedia Group you should be aware of.

When all is said and done, sometimes its easier to focus on companies that don't even need debt. Readers can access a list of growth stocks with zero net debt 100% free, right now.

Discounted cash flow calculation for every stock

Simply Wall St does a detailed discounted cash flow calculation every 6 hours for every stock on the market, so if you want to find the intrinsic value of any company just search here. It’s FREE.

Make Confident Investment Decisions

Simply Wall St's Editorial Team provides unbiased, factual reporting on global stocks using in-depth fundamental analysis.
Find out more about our editorial guidelines and team.