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There May Be Some Bright Spots In Cracker Barrel Old Country Store's (NASDAQ:CBRL) Earnings
The market was pleased with the recent earnings report from Cracker Barrel Old Country Store, Inc. (NASDAQ:CBRL), despite the profit numbers being soft. However, we think the company is showing some signs that things are more promising than they seem.
Check out our latest analysis for Cracker Barrel Old Country Store
How Do Unusual Items Influence Profit?
Importantly, our data indicates that Cracker Barrel Old Country Store's profit was reduced by US$28m, due to unusual items, over the last year. It's never great to see unusual items costing the company profits, but on the upside, things might improve sooner rather than later. When we analysed the vast majority of listed companies worldwide, we found that significant unusual items are often not repeated. And that's hardly a surprise given these line items are considered unusual. Assuming those unusual expenses don't come up again, we'd therefore expect Cracker Barrel Old Country Store to produce a higher profit next year, all else being equal.
That might leave you wondering what analysts are forecasting in terms of future profitability. Luckily, you can click here to see an interactive graph depicting future profitability, based on their estimates.
An Unusual Tax Situation
Having already discussed the impact of the unusual items, we should also note that Cracker Barrel Old Country Store received a tax benefit of US$16m. This is of course a bit out of the ordinary, given it is more common for companies to be paying tax than receiving tax benefits! The receipt of a tax benefit is obviously a good thing, on its own. However, the devil in the detail is that these kind of benefits only impact in the year they are booked, and are often one-off in nature. Assuming the tax benefit is not repeated every year, we could see its profitability drop noticeably, all else being equal. So while we think it's great to receive a tax benefit, it does tend to imply an increased risk that the statutory profit overstates the sustainable earnings power of the business.
Our Take On Cracker Barrel Old Country Store's Profit Performance
In its last report Cracker Barrel Old Country Store received a tax benefit which might make its profit look better than it really is on a underlying level. But on the other hand, it also saw an unusual item depress its profit. Considering the aforementioned, we think that Cracker Barrel Old Country Store's profits are probably a reasonable reflection of its underlying profitability; although we'd be confident in that conclusion if we saw a cleaner set of results. With this in mind, we wouldn't consider investing in a stock unless we had a thorough understanding of the risks. Every company has risks, and we've spotted 4 warning signs for Cracker Barrel Old Country Store (of which 1 makes us a bit uncomfortable!) you should know about.
Our examination of Cracker Barrel Old Country Store has focussed on certain factors that can make its earnings look better than they are. But there is always more to discover if you are capable of focussing your mind on minutiae. Some people consider a high return on equity to be a good sign of a quality business. While it might take a little research on your behalf, you may find this free collection of companies boasting high return on equity, or this list of stocks with significant insider holdings to be useful.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About NasdaqGS:CBRL
Cracker Barrel Old Country Store
Develops and operates the Cracker Barrel Old Country Store concept in the United States.