Can Vince Holding Corp (NYSE:VNCE) Continue To Outperform Its Industry?

This article is intended for those of you who are at the beginning of your investing journey and want to start learning about core concepts of fundamental analysis on practical examples from today’s market.

Vince Holding Corp (NYSE:VNCE) delivered an ROE of 89.79% over the past 12 months, which is an impressive feat relative to its industry average of 12.31% during the same period. However, whether this above-industry ROE is actually impressive depends on if it can be maintained. A measure of sustainable returns is VNCE’s financial leverage. If VNCE borrows debt to invest in its business, its profits will be higher. But ROE does not capture any debt, so we only see high profits and low equity, which is great on the surface. But today let’s take a deeper dive below this surface.

Check out our latest analysis for Vince Holding

Breaking down Return on Equity

Return on Equity (ROE) is a measure of Vince Holding’s profit relative to its shareholders’ equity. For example, if the company invests $1 in the form of equity, it will generate $0.90 in earnings from this. Investors seeking to maximise their return in the Apparel, Accessories and Luxury Goods industry may want to choose the highest returning stock. However, this can be misleading as each firm has different costs of equity and debt levels i.e. the more debt Vince Holding has, the higher ROE is pumped up in the short term, at the expense of long term interest payment burden.

Return on Equity = Net Profit ÷ Shareholders Equity

Returns are usually compared to costs to measure the efficiency of capital. Vince Holding’s cost of equity is 8.72%. This means Vince Holding returns enough to cover its own cost of equity, with a buffer of 81.07%. This sustainable practice implies that the company pays less for its capital than what it generates in return. ROE can be broken down into three different ratios: net profit margin, asset turnover, and financial leverage. This is called the Dupont Formula:

Dupont Formula

ROE = profit margin × asset turnover × financial leverage

ROE = (annual net profit ÷ sales) × (sales ÷ assets) × (assets ÷ shareholders’ equity)

ROE = annual net profit ÷ shareholders’ equity

NYSE:VNCE Last Perf August 15th 18
NYSE:VNCE Last Perf August 15th 18

Basically, profit margin measures how much of revenue trickles down into earnings which illustrates how efficient the business is with its cost management. Asset turnover reveals how much revenue can be generated from Vince Holding’s asset base. Finally, financial leverage will be our main focus today. It shows how much of assets are funded by equity and can show how sustainable the company’s capital structure is. We can determine if Vince Holding’s ROE is inflated by borrowing high levels of debt. Generally, a balanced capital structure means its returns will be sustainable over the long run. We can examine this by looking at Vince Holding’s debt-to-equity ratio. Currently the ratio stands at 71.54%, which is reasonable. This means Vince Holding has not taken on too much leverage, and its above-average ROE is driven by its ability to grow its profit without a huge debt burden.

NYSE:VNCE Historical Debt August 15th 18
NYSE:VNCE Historical Debt August 15th 18

Next Steps:

ROE is a simple yet informative ratio, illustrating the various components that each measure the quality of the overall stock. Vince Holding exhibits a strong ROE against its peers, as well as sufficient returns to cover its cost of equity. ROE is not likely to be inflated by excessive debt funding, giving shareholders more conviction in the sustainability of high returns. Although ROE can be a useful metric, it is only a small part of diligent research.

For Vince Holding, I’ve compiled three important factors you should further research:

  1. Financial Health: Does it have a healthy balance sheet? Take a look at our free balance sheet analysis with six simple checks on key factors like leverage and risk.
  2. Future Earnings: How does Vince Holding’s growth rate compare to its peers and the wider market? Dig deeper into the analyst consensus number for the upcoming years by interacting with our free analyst growth expectation chart.
  3. Other High-Growth Alternatives : Are there other high-growth stocks you could be holding instead of Vince Holding? Explore our interactive list of stocks with large growth potential to get an idea of what else is out there you may be missing!

To help readers see past the short term volatility of the financial market, we aim to bring you a long-term focused research analysis purely driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis does not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements.

The author is an independent contributor and at the time of publication had no position in the stocks mentioned. For errors that warrant correction please contact the editor at editorial-team@simplywallst.com.