In January 2019, G-III Apparel Group, Ltd. (NASDAQ:GIII) released its most recent earnings announcement, which suggested that the business gained from a significant tailwind, more than doubling its earnings from the prior year. Below is my commentary, albeit very simple and high-level, on how market analysts perceive G-III Apparel Group’s earnings growth outlook over the next couple of years and whether the future looks even brighter than the past. I will be using net income excluding extraordinary items in order to exclude one-off volatility which I am not interested in.
Market analysts’ consensus outlook for this coming year seems optimistic, with earnings expanding by a robust 21%. This growth seems to continue into the following year with rates reaching double digit 35% compared to today’s earnings, and finally hitting US$208m by 2022.
Even though it is helpful to be aware of the rate of growth each year relative to today’s level, it may be more insightful analyzing the rate at which the business is moving on average every year. The benefit of this technique is that we can get a better picture of the direction of G-III Apparel Group’s earnings trajectory over the long run, irrespective of near term fluctuations, which may be more relevant for long term investors. To compute this rate, I put a line of best fit through analyst consensus of forecasted earnings. The slope of this line is the rate of earnings growth, which in this case is 13%. This means, we can expect G-III Apparel Group will grow its earnings by 13% every year for the next few years.
For G-III Apparel Group, I’ve compiled three essential aspects you should look at:
- Financial Health: Does it have a healthy balance sheet? Take a look at our free balance sheet analysis with six simple checks on key factors like leverage and risk.
- Valuation: What is GIII worth today? Is the stock undervalued, even when its growth outlook is factored into its intrinsic value? The intrinsic value infographic in our free research report helps visualize whether GIII is currently mispriced by the market.
- Other High-Growth Alternatives: Are there other high-growth stocks you could be holding instead of GIII? Explore our interactive list of stocks with large growth potential to get an idea of what else is out there you may be missing!
We aim to bring you long-term focused research analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material.
If you spot an error that warrants correction, please contact the editor at firstname.lastname@example.org. This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. Simply Wall St has no position in the stocks mentioned. Thank you for reading.