Investors in Li-Cycle Holdings (NYSE:LICY) from a year ago are still down 16%, even after 13% gain this past week

By
Simply Wall St
Published
March 19, 2022
NYSE:LICY
Source: Shutterstock

Li-Cycle Holdings Corp. (NYSE:LICY) shareholders should be happy to see the share price up 21% in the last month. But in truth the last year hasn't been good for the share price. In fact, the price has declined 16% in a year, falling short of the returns you could get by investing in an index fund.

While the last year has been tough for Li-Cycle Holdings shareholders, this past week has shown signs of promise. So let's look at the longer term fundamentals and see if they've been the driver of the negative returns.

See our latest analysis for Li-Cycle Holdings

Given that Li-Cycle Holdings didn't make a profit in the last twelve months, we'll focus on revenue growth to form a quick view of its business development. Shareholders of unprofitable companies usually expect strong revenue growth. That's because fast revenue growth can be easily extrapolated to forecast profits, often of considerable size.

In the last year Li-Cycle Holdings saw its revenue grow by 482%. That's well above most other pre-profit companies. Given the revenue growth, the share price drop of 16% seems quite harsh. Our sympathies to shareholders who are now underwater. Prima facie, revenue growth like that should be a good thing, so it's worth checking whether losses have stabilized. Our monkey brains haven't evolved to think exponentially, so humans do tend to underestimate companies that have exponential growth.

The graphic below depicts how earnings and revenue have changed over time (unveil the exact values by clicking on the image).

earnings-and-revenue-growth
NYSE:LICY Earnings and Revenue Growth March 19th 2022

You can see how its balance sheet has strengthened (or weakened) over time in this free interactive graphic.

A Different Perspective

Given that the market gained 6.0% in the last year, Li-Cycle Holdings shareholders might be miffed that they lost 16%. However, keep in mind that even the best stocks will sometimes underperform the market over a twelve month period. The share price decline has continued throughout the most recent three months, down 7.5%, suggesting an absence of enthusiasm from investors. Given the relatively short history of this stock, we'd remain pretty wary until we see some strong business performance. I find it very interesting to look at share price over the long term as a proxy for business performance. But to truly gain insight, we need to consider other information, too. Consider for instance, the ever-present spectre of investment risk. We've identified 1 warning sign with Li-Cycle Holdings , and understanding them should be part of your investment process.

But note: Li-Cycle Holdings may not be the best stock to buy. So take a peek at this free list of interesting companies with past earnings growth (and further growth forecast).

Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on US exchanges.

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