Stock Analysis

These 4 Measures Indicate That Leidos Holdings (NYSE:LDOS) Is Using Debt Reasonably Well

NYSE:LDOS
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Warren Buffett famously said, 'Volatility is far from synonymous with risk.' So it seems the smart money knows that debt - which is usually involved in bankruptcies - is a very important factor, when you assess how risky a company is. We can see that Leidos Holdings, Inc. (NYSE:LDOS) does use debt in its business. But is this debt a concern to shareholders?

When Is Debt A Problem?

Debt assists a business until the business has trouble paying it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. Ultimately, if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt, shareholders could walk away with nothing. However, a more usual (but still expensive) situation is where a company must dilute shareholders at a cheap share price simply to get debt under control. Having said that, the most common situation is where a company manages its debt reasonably well - and to its own advantage. The first step when considering a company's debt levels is to consider its cash and debt together.

Check out our latest analysis for Leidos Holdings

What Is Leidos Holdings's Net Debt?

As you can see below, Leidos Holdings had US$4.69b of debt at September 2023, down from US$5.00b a year prior. However, because it has a cash reserve of US$750.0m, its net debt is less, at about US$3.94b.

debt-equity-history-analysis
NYSE:LDOS Debt to Equity History December 4th 2023

How Healthy Is Leidos Holdings' Balance Sheet?

According to the last reported balance sheet, Leidos Holdings had liabilities of US$3.04b due within 12 months, and liabilities of US$5.51b due beyond 12 months. On the other hand, it had cash of US$750.0m and US$2.45b worth of receivables due within a year. So its liabilities outweigh the sum of its cash and (near-term) receivables by US$5.35b.

Leidos Holdings has a very large market capitalization of US$15.0b, so it could very likely raise cash to ameliorate its balance sheet, if the need arose. But it's clear that we should definitely closely examine whether it can manage its debt without dilution.

We use two main ratios to inform us about debt levels relative to earnings. The first is net debt divided by earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA), while the second is how many times its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) covers its interest expense (or its interest cover, for short). This way, we consider both the absolute quantum of the debt, as well as the interest rates paid on it.

Leidos Holdings has a debt to EBITDA ratio of 2.5 and its EBIT covered its interest expense 5.8 times. Taken together this implies that, while we wouldn't want to see debt levels rise, we think it can handle its current leverage. If Leidos Holdings can keep growing EBIT at last year's rate of 12% over the last year, then it will find its debt load easier to manage. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But it is future earnings, more than anything, that will determine Leidos Holdings's ability to maintain a healthy balance sheet going forward. So if you want to see what the professionals think, you might find this free report on analyst profit forecasts to be interesting.

Finally, a company can only pay off debt with cold hard cash, not accounting profits. So we clearly need to look at whether that EBIT is leading to corresponding free cash flow. During the last three years, Leidos Holdings produced sturdy free cash flow equating to 68% of its EBIT, about what we'd expect. This free cash flow puts the company in a good position to pay down debt, when appropriate.

Our View

Leidos Holdings's conversion of EBIT to free cash flow was a real positive on this analysis, as was its EBIT growth rate. Having said that, its net debt to EBITDA somewhat sensitizes us to potential future risks to the balance sheet. When we consider all the elements mentioned above, it seems to us that Leidos Holdings is managing its debt quite well. But a word of caution: we think debt levels are high enough to justify ongoing monitoring. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. Be aware that Leidos Holdings is showing 4 warning signs in our investment analysis , you should know about...

If, after all that, you're more interested in a fast growing company with a rock-solid balance sheet, then check out our list of net cash growth stocks without delay.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.