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Ferguson

OTCPK:FERG.Y
Snowflake Description

Proven track record with adequate balance sheet.

The Snowflake is generated from 30 checks in 5 different areas, read more below.
FERG.Y
OTCPK
£12B
Market Cap
  1. Home
  2. US
  3. Capital Goods
Company description

Ferguson plc distributes plumbing and heating products in the United States, the United Kingdom, Canada, and Central Europe. The last earnings update was 160 days ago. More info.


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FERG.Y Share Price and Events
7 Day Returns
0.3%
OTCPK:FERG.Y
-0.4%
US Trade Distributors
1.2%
US Market
1 Year Returns
-11.7%
OTCPK:FERG.Y
-10.5%
US Trade Distributors
3%
US Market
FERG.Y Shareholder Return
  7 Day 30 Day 90 Day 1 Year 3 Year 5 Year
Ferguson (FERG.Y) 0.3% -0.6% 12.2% -11.7% 18.7% 15.2%
US Trade Distributors -0.4% -4.5% 13% -10.5% 28% 12.5%
US Market 1.2% 2.1% 14.6% 3% 39% 43.5%
1 Year Return vs Industry and Market
  • FERG.Y underperformed the Trade Distributors industry which returned -10.5% over the past year.
  • FERG.Y underperformed the Market in United States of America which returned 3% over the past year.
Price Volatility
FERG.Y
Industry
5yr Volatility vs Market

Value

 Is Ferguson undervalued based on future cash flows and its price relative to the stock market?

Value is all about what a company is worth versus what price it is available for. If you went into a grocery store and all the bananas were on sale at half price, they could be considered undervalued.
INTRINSIC VALUE BASED ON FUTURE CASH FLOWS
Here we compare the current share price of Ferguson to its discounted cash flow analysis.value.

The discounted cash flow value is simply looking at what the company is worth today, based on estimates of how much money it is expected to make in the future.
Raw Data

Below are the data sources, inputs and calculation used to determine the intrinsic value for Ferguson.

OTCPK:FERG.Y Discounted Cash Flow Data Sources
Data Point Source Value
Valuation Model 2 Stage Free Cash Flow to Equity
Levered Free Cash Flow Average of 20 Analyst Estimates (S&P Global) See below
Discount Rate (Cost of Equity) See below 8.8%
Perpetual Growth Rate 10-Year US Government Bond Rate 2.7%

An important part of a discounted cash flow is the discount rate, below we explain how it has been calculated.

Calculation of Discount Rate/ Cost of Equity for OTCPK:FERG.Y
Data Point Calculation/ Source Result
Risk-Free Rate 10-Year US Govt Bond Rate 2.7%
Equity Risk Premium S&P Global 6%
Trade Distributors Unlevered Beta Simply Wall St/ S&P Global 0.93
Re-levered Beta = Unlevered beta (1 + (1- tax rate) (Debt/Equity))
= 0.927 (1 + (1- 18%) (11.9%))
1.012
Levered Beta Levered Beta limited to 0.8 to 2.0
(practical range for a stable firm)
1.01
Discount Rate/ Cost of Equity = Cost of Equity = Risk Free Rate + (Levered Beta * Equity Risk Premium)
= 2.73% + (1.012 * 5.96%)
8.76%

Discounted Cash Flow Calculation for OTCPK:FERG.Y using 2 Stage Free Cash Flow to Equity Model

The calculations below outline how an intrinsic value for Ferguson is arrived at by discounting future cash flows to their present value using the 2 stage method. We try to start with analysts estimates of free cash flow, however if these are not available we use the most recent financial results. In the 1st stage we continue to grow the free cash flow over a 10 year period, with the growth rate trending towards the perpetual growth rate used in the 2nd stage. The 2nd stage assumes the company grows at a stable rate into perpetuity.

OTCPK:FERG.Y DCF 1st Stage: Next 10 year cash flow forecast
Levered FCF (USD, Millions) Source Present Value
Discounted (@ 8.76%)
2019 889.05 Analyst x13 817.44
2020 1,032.32 Analyst x14 872.72
2021 1,128.63 Analyst x12 877.28
2022 1,218.28 Analyst x3 870.70
2023 1,699.00 Analyst x1 1,116.46
2024 1,908.80 Est @ 12.35% 1,153.29
2025 2,089.43 Est @ 9.46% 1,160.75
2026 2,244.95 Est @ 7.44% 1,146.69
2027 2,380.31 Est @ 6.03% 1,117.90
2028 2,500.26 Est @ 5.04% 1,079.65
Present value of next 10 years cash flows $10,212.88
OTCPK:FERG.Y DCF 2nd Stage: Terminal Value
Calculation Result
Terminal Value = FCF2028 × (1 + g) ÷ (Discount Rate – g)
= $2,500.26 × (1 + 2.73%) ÷ (8.76% – 2.73%)
$42,593.98
Present Value of Terminal Value = Terminal Value ÷ (1 + r)10
= $42,593.98 ÷ (1 + 8.76%)10
$18,392.76
OTCPK:FERG.Y Total Equity Value
Calculation Result
Total Equity Value = Present value of next 10 years cash flows + Terminal Value
= $10,212.88 + $18,392.76
$28,605.64
Equity Value per Share
(USD)
= Total value / Shares Outstanding
= $28,605.64 / 230.57
$944.94
OTCPK:FERG.Y Discount to Share Price
Calculation Result
Exchange Rate USD/GBP
(Reporting currency to currency of LSE:FERG)
0.757
Value per Share
(GBP)
= Value per Share in USD x Exchange Rate (USD/GBP)
= $124.06 x 0.757
£93.95
Non-primary Listing Adjustment Factor 1 share in OTCPK:FERG.Y represents 0.13129x of LSE:FERG
(This could be a different class, a depositary receipt, a different currency, or all of these things.)
0.13129x
Value per Share
(Listing Adjusted, USD)
= Value per Share (GBP) x Listing Adjustment Factor
= £ 93.95 x 0.13129
$12.33
Value per share (USD) From above. $12.33
Current discount Discount to share price of $6.99
= -1 x ($6.99 - $12.33) / $12.33
43.3%

Learn more about our DCF calculations in Simply Wall St’s analysis model .

Current Discount
Amount off the current price Ferguson is available for.
Intrinsic value
43%
Share price is $6.99 vs Future cash flow value of $12.33
Current Discount Checks
For Ferguson to be considered undervalued it must be available for at least 20% below the current price. Less than 40% is even better.
  • Ferguson's share price is below the future cash flow value, and at a moderate discount (> 20%).
  • Ferguson's share price is below the future cash flow value, and at a substantial discount (> 40%).
PRICE RELATIVE TO MARKET
We can also value a company based on what the stock market is willing to pay for it. This is similar to the price of fruit (e.g. Mangoes or Avocados) increasing when they are out of season, or how much your home is worth.

The amount the stock market is willing to pay for Ferguson's earnings, growth and assets is considered below, and whether this is a fair price.
Price based on past earnings
Are Ferguson's earnings available for a low price, and how does this compare to other companies in the same industry?
Raw Data
OTCPK:FERG.Y PE (Price to Earnings) Ratio Data Sources
Data Point Source Value
Earnings Per Share * Company Filings (2018-07-31) in USD $3.61
LSE:FERG Share Price ** LSE (2019-03-20) in GBP £53.24
LSE:FERG Share Price converted to USD reporting currency Exchange rate (GBP/ USD) 1.321 $70.31
United States of America Trade Distributors Industry PE Ratio Median Figure of 43 Publicly-Listed Trade Distributors Companies 13.69x
United States of America Market PE Ratio Median Figure of 3,058 Publicly-Listed Companies 17.69x

* Trailing twelve months (TTM) annual GAAP earnings per share excluding extraordinary items.

** Primary Listing of Ferguson.

OTCPK:FERG.Y PE (Price to Earnings) Ratio Calculation
Calculation Outcome
PE Ratio

= LSE:FERG Share Price ÷ EPS (both in USD)

= 70.31 ÷ 3.61

19.46x

Learn more about our ratios and growth rates in Simply Wall St’s analysis model >

  • Ferguson is overvalued based on earnings compared to the US Trade Distributors industry average.
  • Ferguson is overvalued based on earnings compared to the United States of America market.
Price based on expected Growth
Does Ferguson's expected growth come at a high price?
Raw Data
OTCPK:FERG.Y PEG (Price to Earnings to Growth) Ratio Data Sources
Data Point Source Value
PE Ratio See PE Ratio Section 19.46x
Net Income Annual Growth Rate See Future Growth Section.
Line of Best Fit* through Consensus Estimate Earnings of 20 Analysts
13.5%per year
United States of America Trade Distributors Industry PEG Ratio Median Figure of 34 Publicly-Listed Trade Distributors Companies 1.2x
United States of America Market PEG Ratio Median Figure of 2,103 Publicly-Listed Companies 1.48x

*Line of best fit is calculated by linear regression .

OTCPK:FERG.Y PEG (Price to Earnings to Growth) Ratio Calculation
Calculation Outcome
PEG Ratio

= PE Ratio ÷ Net Income Annual Growth Rate

= 19.46x ÷ 13.5%

1.44x

Learn more about our ratios and growth rates in Simply Wall St’s analysis model >

  • Ferguson is poor value based on expected growth next year.
Price based on value of assets
What value do investors place on Ferguson's assets?
Raw Data
OTCPK:FERG.Y PB (Price to Book) Ratio Data Sources
Data Point Source Value
Book Value per Share Company Filings (2018-07-31) in USD $17.61
LSE:FERG Share Price * LSE (2019-03-20) in GBP £53.24
LSE:FERG Share Price converted to USD reporting currency Exchange rate (GBP/ USD) 1.321 $70.31
United States of America Trade Distributors Industry PB Ratio Median Figure of 54 Publicly-Listed Trade Distributors Companies 1.52x
United States of America Market PB Ratio Median Figure of 5,156 Publicly-Listed Companies 1.89x
OTCPK:FERG.Y PB (Price to Book) Ratio Calculation
Calculation Outcome
PB Ratio

= LSE:FERG Share Price ÷ Book Value per Share (both in USD)

= 70.31 ÷ 17.61

3.99x

* Primary Listing of Ferguson.

Learn more about our ratios and growth rates in Simply Wall St’s analysis model >

  • Ferguson is overvalued based on assets compared to the US Trade Distributors industry average.
X
Value checks
We assess Ferguson's value by looking at:
  1. Is the discounted cash flow value less than 20%, or 40% of the share price? (2 checks) ( Click here or on bar chart for details of DCF calculation. )
  2. Is the PE ratio less than the market average, and/ or less than the Trade Distributors industry average (and greater than 0)? (2 checks)
  3. Is the PEG ratio within a reasonable range (0 to 1)? (1 check)
  4. Is the PB ratio less than the Trade Distributors industry average (and greater than 0)? (1 check)
  5. Ferguson has a total score of 2/6, see the detailed checks below.

    Note: We use GAAP Earnings per Share in all our calculations including PE and PEG Ratio.

    Full details on the Value part of the Simply Wall St company analysis model.

Future Performance

 How is Ferguson expected to perform in the next 1 to 3 years based on estimates from 20 analysts?

The future performance of a company is measured in the same way as past performance, by looking at estimated growth and how much profit it is expected to make.

Future estimates come from professional analysts. Just like forecasting the weather, they don’t always get it right!
Annual Growth Rate
13.5%
Expected annual growth in earnings.
Earnings growth vs Low Risk Savings
Is Ferguson expected to grow at an attractive rate?
  • Ferguson's earnings growth is expected to exceed the low risk savings rate of 2.7%.
Growth vs Market Checks
  • Ferguson's earnings growth is positive but not above the United States of America market average.
  • Ferguson's revenue growth is positive but not above the United States of America market average.
Annual Growth Rates Comparison
Raw Data
OTCPK:FERG.Y Future Growth Rates Data Sources
Data Point Source Value (per year)
OTCPK:FERG.Y Future Earnings Growth Rate Line of Best Fit* through Consensus Estimate Earnings of 20 Analysts 13.5%
OTCPK:FERG.Y Future Revenue Growth Rate Line of Best Fit* through Consensus Estimate Revenue of 20 Analysts 6%
United States of America Trade Distributors Industry Earnings Growth Rate Market Cap Weighted Average 13.1%
United States of America Trade Distributors Industry Revenue Growth Rate Market Cap Weighted Average 6.2%
United States of America Market Earnings Growth Rate Market Cap Weighted Average 14.3%
United States of America Market Revenue Growth Rate Market Cap Weighted Average 7.1%

*Line of best fit is calculated by linear regression .

Industry and Market average data is calculated daily.

Learn more about our growth rate calculations in Simply Wall St’s analysis model.

Analysts growth expectations
Raw Data
OTCPK:FERG.Y Analysts Growth Expectations Data Sources
Data Point Source Value
Past Financials Company Filings (7 months ago) See Below
Future Estimates Average of up to 20 Analyst Estimates (S&P Global) See Below
All numbers in USD Millions and using Trailing twelve months (TTM) annual period rather than quarterly.
OTCPK:FERG.Y Future Estimates Data
Date (Data in USD Millions) Revenue Cash Flow Net Income * Avg. No. Analysts
2023-07-31 28,538 2,081 1,939 2
2022-07-31 26,893 1,837 1,647 4
2021-07-31 24,985 1,522 1,353 14
2020-07-31 23,789 1,426 1,256 20
2019-07-31 22,584 1,332 1,170 20
OTCPK:FERG.Y Past Financials Data
Date (Data in USD Millions) Revenue Cash Flow Net Income *
2018-07-31 20,752 1,036 841
2018-04-30 20,341 1,026 967
2018-01-31 22,268 1,134 1,301
2017-10-31 20,527 1,031 1,198
2017-07-31 19,284 950 1,053
2017-04-30 19,049 846
2017-01-31 16,613 1,077 663
2016-10-31 15,866 1,007 617
2016-07-31 16,663 1,045 629
2016-01-31 19,392 1,054 813
2015-10-31 20,877 1,103 692

*GAAP earnings excluding extraordinary items.

Super high growth metrics
High Growth Checks
  • Ferguson's earnings are expected to grow by 13.5% yearly, however this is not considered high growth (20% yearly).
  • Ferguson's revenue is expected to grow by 6% yearly, however this is not considered high growth (20% yearly).
Past and Future Earnings per Share
The accuracy of the analysts who estimate the future performance data can be gauged below. We look back 3 years and see if they were any good at predicting what actually occurred. We also show the highest and lowest estimates looking forward to see if there is a wide range.
Raw Data
OTCPK:FERG.Y Past and Future Earnings per Share
Data Point Source Value
Past Financials Company Filings (7 months ago) See Below
Future Estimates Average of up to 20 Analyst Estimates (S&P Global) See Below

All data from Ferguson Company Filings, last reported 7 months ago, and in Trailing twelve months (TTM) annual period rather than quarterly.

OTCPK:FERG.Y Future Estimates Data
Date (Data in USD Millions) EPS * EPS High Estimate EPS Low Estimate Avg. No. Analysts
2023-07-31 7.83 7.83 7.83 1.00
2022-07-31 6.65 6.65 6.65 1.00
2021-07-31 5.87 6.68 5.32 8.00
2020-07-31 5.34 6.11 4.94 11.00
2019-07-31 4.93 5.20 4.70 10.00
OTCPK:FERG.Y Past Financials Data
Date (Data in USD Millions) EPS *
2018-07-31 3.61
2018-04-30 4.11
2018-01-31 5.48
2017-10-31 5.04
2017-07-31 4.42
2017-04-30 3.55
2017-01-31 2.78
2016-10-31 2.58
2016-07-31 2.62
2016-01-31 3.35
2015-10-31 2.83

*GAAP earnings excluding extraordinary items.

Performance in 3 years
In the same way as past performance we look at the future estimated return (profit) compared to the available funds. We do this looking forward 3 years.
  • Ferguson is expected to efficiently use shareholders’ funds in the future (Return on Equity greater than 20%).
X
Future performance checks
We assess Ferguson's future performance by looking at:
  1. Is the annual earnings growth rate expected to beat the low risk savings rate, plus a premium to keep pace with inflation?
  2. Is the annual earnings growth rate expected to beat the average growth rate in earnings of the United States of America market? (1 check)
  3. Is the annual revenue growth rate expected to beat the average growth rate in revenue of the United States of America market? (1 check)
  4. Is the annual earnings growth rate expected to be above 20%? (1 check)
  5. Is the annual revenue growth rate expected to be above 20%? (1 check)
  6. Is the Return on Equity in 3 years expected to be over 20%? (1 check)
Some of the above checks will fail if the company is expected to be loss making in the relevant year.
Ferguson has a total score of 2/6, see the detailed checks below.

Note 1: We use GAAP Net Income Excluding Exceptional Items for our Earnings in all our calculations.

Full details on the Future part of the Simply Wall St company analysis model.

Past Performance

  How has Ferguson performed over the past 5 years?

The past performance of a company can be measured by how much growth it has experienced and how much profit it makes relative to the funds and assets it has available.
Past earnings growth
Below we compare Ferguson's growth in the last year to its industry (Trade Distributors).
Past Earnings growth analysis
We also check if the company has grown in the past 5 years, and whether it has maintained that growth in the year.
  • Ferguson's year on year earnings growth rate has been positive over the past 5 years.
  • Ferguson's 1-year earnings growth is negative, it can't be compared to the 5-year average.
  • Ferguson's 1-year earnings growth is negative, it can't be compared to the US Trade Distributors industry average.
Earnings and Revenue History
Ferguson's revenue and profit over the past 5 years is shown below, any years where they have experienced a loss will show up in red.
Raw Data

All data from Ferguson Company Filings, last reported 7 months ago, and in Trailing twelve months (TTM) annual period rather than quarterly.

OTCPK:FERG.Y Past Revenue, Cash Flow and Net Income Data
Date (Data in USD Millions) Revenue Net Income * G+A Expenses R&D Expenses
2018-07-31 20,752.00 841.00 1.00
2018-04-30 20,340.50 967.00 1.50
2018-01-31 22,268.15 1,301.26 1.84
2017-10-31 20,526.61 1,198.48 2.15
2017-07-31 19,284.00 1,053.00 3.00
2017-04-30 19,048.70 845.70 1.94
2017-01-31 16,613.01 662.65 -0.26
2016-10-31 15,866.22 617.02 -0.72
2016-07-31 16,663.24 629.40 -1.33
2016-01-31 19,392.09 813.38 -1.42
2015-10-31 20,877.06 691.60 -2.32
2015-07-31 20,850.80 502.03 -3.13
2015-01-31 18,997.97 404.12 0.00
2014-10-31 19,925.63 600.56 2.40
2014-07-31 20,719.29 813.85 5.07
2014-04-30 21,633.88 747.28 7.60
2014-01-31 21,296.37 633.38 9.87
2013-10-31 20,951.27 537.05 13.65
2013-07-31 19,974.19 431.25 16.70
2013-01-31 20,375.62 6.34 17.43
2012-10-31 21,165.53 51.55 15.30
2012-07-31 21,047.60 94.10 12.55

*GAAP earnings excluding extraordinary items.

Performance last year
We want to ensure a company is making the most of what it has available. This is done by comparing the return (profit) to a company's available funds, assets and capital.
  • Ferguson has efficiently used shareholders’ funds last year (Return on Equity greater than 20%).
  • Ferguson used its assets more efficiently than the US Trade Distributors industry average last year based on Return on Assets.
  • Ferguson has improved its use of capital last year versus 3 years ago (Return on Capital Employed).
X
Past performance checks
We assess Ferguson's performance over the past 5 years by checking for:
  1. Has earnings increased in past 5 years? (1 check)
  2. Has the earnings growth in the last year exceeded that of the Trade Distributors industry? (1 check)
  3. Is the recent earnings growth over the last year higher than the average annual growth over the past 5 years? (1 check)
  4. Is the Return on Equity (ROE) higher than 20%? (1 check)
  5. Is the Return on Assets (ROA) above industry average? (1 check)
  6. Has the Return on Capital Employed (ROCE) increased from 3 years ago? (1 check)
The above checks will fail if the company has reported a loss in the most recent earnings report. Some checks require at least 3 or 5 years worth of data.
Ferguson has a total score of 4/6, see the detailed checks below.

Note: We use GAAP Net Income excluding extraordinary items in all our calculations.

Full details on the Past part of the Simply Wall St company analysis model.

Health

 How is Ferguson's financial health and their level of debt?

A company's financial position is much like your own financial position, it includes everything you own (assets) and owe (liabilities).

The boxes below represent the relative size of what makes up Ferguson's finances.

The net worth of a company is the difference between its assets and liabilities.
Net Worth
  • Ferguson is able to meet its short term (1 year) commitments with its holdings of cash and other short term assets.
  • Ferguson's cash and other short term assets cover its long term commitments.
Balance sheet
This treemap shows a more detailed breakdown of Ferguson's finances. If any of them are yellow this indicates they may be out of proportion and red means they relate to one of the checks below.
Assets
Liabilities and shares
The 'shares' portion represents any funds contributed by the owners (shareholders) and any profits.
  • High level of physical assets or inventory.
  • Debt is covered by short term assets, assets are 3.4x debt.
Historical Debt
Nearly all companies have debt. Debt in itself isn’t bad, however if the debt is too high, or the company can’t afford to pay the interest on its debts this may have impacts in the future.

The graphic below shows equity (available funds) and debt, we ideally want to see the red area (debt) decreasing.

If there is any debt we look at the companies capability to repay it, and whether the level has increased over the past 5 years.
Raw Data

All data from Ferguson Company Filings, last reported 7 months ago.

OTCPK:FERG.Y Past Debt and Equity Data
Date (Data in USD Millions) Total Equity Total Debt Cash & Short Term Investments
2018-07-31 4,057.00 1,930.00 833.00
2018-04-30 4,057.00 1,930.00 833.00
2018-01-31 4,551.00 3,729.00 2,308.00
2017-10-31 4,551.00 3,729.00 2,308.00
2017-07-31 4,540.00 3,257.00 2,532.00
2017-04-30 4,446.57 3,189.99 2,479.52
2017-01-31 3,884.43 2,750.90 1,088.30
2016-10-31 3,774.53 2,673.07 1,057.50
2016-07-31 3,852.10 2,532.22 1,248.18
2016-01-31 3,858.58 3,542.58 1,721.69
2015-10-31 4,208.33 3,863.69 1,877.75
2015-07-31 4,077.26 3,038.79 1,743.82
2015-01-31 3,718.17 2,361.60 470.22
2014-10-31 3,958.42 2,514.19 500.60
2014-07-31 4,872.94 1,676.66 423.81
2014-04-30 4,873.77 1,676.94 423.88
2014-01-31 4,519.21 2,160.07 554.41
2013-10-31 4,410.37 2,108.05 541.06
2013-07-31 4,635.94 1,233.01 534.51
2013-01-31 4,329.98 1,995.40 497.66
2012-10-31 4,401.13 2,028.19 505.84
2012-07-31 4,913.35 1,317.34 1,296.95
  • Ferguson's level of debt (47.6%) compared to net worth is high (greater than 40%).
  • The level of debt compared to net worth has increased over the past 5 years (26.8% vs 47.6% today).
  • Debt is well covered by operating cash flow (53.7%, greater than 20% of total debt).
  • Interest payments on debt are well covered by earnings (EBIT is 28.3x coverage).
X
Financial health checks
We assess Ferguson's financial health by checking for:
  1. Are short term assets greater than short term liabilities? (1 check)
  2. Are short term assets greater than long term liabilities? (1 check)
  3. Has the debt to equity ratio increased in the past 5 years? (1 check)
  4. Is the debt to equity ratio over 40%? (1 check)
  5. Is the debt covered by operating cash flow? (1 check)
  6. Are earnings greater than 5x the interest on debt (if company pays interest at all)? (1 check)
  7. Ferguson has a total score of 4/6, see the detailed checks below.
For companies that are loss making and have been so on average in the past we replace the last 2 checks with:
  1. Does cash and short term investments cover stable operating expenses (recurring G&A and R&D) for more than 3 years? (1 check)
  2. Does cash and short term investments cover growing operating expenses (recurring G&A and R&D) for more than 3 years? (1 check)


Full details on the Health part of the Simply Wall St company analysis model.

Dividends

 What is Ferguson's current dividend yield, its reliability and sustainability?

Dividends are regular cash payments to you from the company, similar to a bank paying you interest on a savings account.
Annual Dividend Income
Dividend payments
2.69%
Current annual income from Ferguson dividends. Estimated to be 3.35% next year.
If you bought $2,000 of Ferguson shares you are expected to receive $54 in your first year as a dividend.
Dividend Amount
Here we look how much dividend is being paid, if any. Is it above what you can get in a savings account? It is up there with the best dividend paying companies?
  • Ferguson's pays a higher dividend yield than the bottom 25% of dividend payers in United States of America (1.45%).
  • Ferguson's dividend is below the markets top 25% of dividend payers in United States of America (3.64%).
Annualized Historical and Future Dividends
It is important to see if the dividend for a company is stable, and not wildly increasing/decreasing each year. This graph shows you the historical rate to count toward your assessment of the stock.

We also check to see if the dividend has increased in the past 10 years.
Raw Data
OTCPK:FERG.Y Annualized Past and Future Dividends
Data Point Source Value
Past Annualized Dividend Yield S&P Global Market Data See Below
Past Dividends per Share Company Filings/ Annualized Dividend Payments See Below
Future Dividends per Share Estimates Average of up to 20 Analyst Estimates (S&P Global) See Below
United States of America Trade Distributors Industry Average Dividend Yield Market Cap Weighted Average of 15 Stocks 2.8%
United States of America Market Average Dividend Yield Market Cap Weighted Average of 2004 Stocks 2.5%
United States of America Minimum Threshold Dividend Yield 10th Percentile 0.8%
United States of America Bottom 25% Dividend Yield 25th Percentile 1.4%
United States of America Top 25% Dividend Yield 75th Percentile 3.6%

Industry and Market average data is calculated daily.

Note all dividend per share amounts are annualized and not quarterly or other period.

OTCPK:FERG.Y Future Dividends Estimate Data
Date (Data in $) Dividend per Share (annual) Avg. No. Analysts
2023-07-31 3.93 1.00
2022-07-31 3.07 3.00
2021-07-31 2.51 16.00
2020-07-31 2.27 22.00
2019-07-31 2.16 22.00
OTCPK:FERG.Y Past Annualized Dividends Data
Date (Data in $) Dividend per share (annual) Avg. Yield (%)
2018-10-11 1.893 2.836
2018-10-02 1.893 2.484
2017-10-03 1.474 1.991
2017-09-29 1.539 2.227
2016-09-29 1.273 2.096
2016-09-27 1.371 2.342
2015-10-23 1.233 2.366
2015-09-29 1.449 2.427
2014-10-22 1.275 2.109
2014-09-30 1.387 2.598
2013-10-24 3.055 5.487
2013-10-01 3.057 5.464
2013-03-26 1.003 1.921
2012-10-29 1.018 2.100
2012-10-02 1.090 2.232
2011-10-04 1.046 2.716
2011-06-01 0.525 1.762
2011-03-29 0.546 1.431
2009-09-28 0.000 0.000
2009-03-23 0.000 0.000

Learn more about our ratios and growth rates in Simply Wall St’s analysis model >

  • Ferguson has been paying a dividend for less than 10 years and during this time payments have been volatile (annual drop of over 20%).
  • Dividend payments have increased, but Ferguson only paid a dividend in the past 8 years.
Current Payout to shareholders
What portion of Ferguson's earnings are paid to the shareholders as a dividend.
  • Dividends paid are covered by earnings (1.9x coverage).
Future Payout to shareholders
  • Dividends after 3 years are expected to be well covered by earnings (2.4x coverage).
X
Income/ dividend checks
We assess Ferguson's dividend by checking for:
  1. Firstly is the company paying a notable dividend (greater than 0.8%) - if not then the rest of the checks are ignored.
  2. Is current dividend yield above the bottom 25% of dividend payers? (1 check)
  3. Is current dividend yield above the top 25% of dividend payers? (1 check)
  4. Have they paid a dividend for 10 years, and during this period has the dividend been volatile (drop of more than 25%)? (1 check)
  5. If they have paid a dividend for 10 years has it increased in this time? (1 check)
  6. How sustainable is the dividend, can Ferguson afford to pay it from its earnings today and in 3 years (Payout ratio less than 90%)? (2 checks)
  7. Ferguson has a total score of 3/6, see the detailed checks below.


Full details on the Dividends part of the Simply Wall St company analysis model.

Management

 What is the CEO of Ferguson's salary, the management and board of directors tenure and is there insider trading?

Management is one of the most important areas of a company. We look at unreasonable CEO compensation, how long the team and board of directors have been around for and insider trading.
CEO
John Martin
COMPENSATION $4,138,300
AGE 52
TENURE AS CEO 2.5 years
CEO Bio

Mr. John W. Martin has been the Chief Executive Officer of Ferguson plc since September 1, 2016 and served as its Group Chief Financial Officer from April 01, 2010 to August 31, 2016. Mr. Martin has been an Executive Director of Ferguson plc since April 1, 2010. He joined the Alchemy Partners LLP as a Partner in 2008. Prior to that, Mr. Martin served as the Chief Financial Officer at Travelex Limited and Travelex Canada Limited, from March 2006 to September 2008. He also served as a Director of Travelex Limited and Travelex Canada Limited until September 30, 2008. Prior to this, he served as the Finance Director at Hays PLC, until March 2006 and as a Director from March 4, 2003 to March 2006. He also served as the Controller at the Stationery Office Group Ltd. Mr. Martin served in senior posts in practice and with other support services organizations before joining the firm. He worked at Arthur Andersen from 1987 to 1996 in audit, financial consulting and corporate finance. He has been a Member of Advisory Board at Alchemy Partners LLP since 2010. Mr. Martin is a C.A. He has extensive operational and financial management experience of running large international businesses. Mr. Martin has strong leadership capabilities and significant experience in strategic development and driving improvements in operational performance.

CEO Compensation
  • John's compensation has been consistent with company performance over the past year.
  • John's remuneration is lower than average for companies of similar size in United States of America.
Management Team Tenure

Average tenure and age of the Ferguson management team in years:

1.8
Average Tenure
50
Average Age
  • The average tenure for the Ferguson management team is less than 2 years, this suggests a new team.
Management Team

John Martin

TITLE
Group Chief Executive & Executive Director
COMPENSATION
$4M
AGE
52
TENURE
2.5 yrs

Mike Powell

TITLE
Group CFO & Executive Director
COMPENSATION
$1M
AGE
50
TENURE
1.8 yrs

Kevin Murphy

TITLE
CEO of USA & Executive Director
COMPENSATION
$2M
TENURE
1.6 yrs

Marie Wall

TITLE
Group Director of Corporate Finance

Mike Sajor

TITLE
Group Chief Information Officer
TENURE
1.2 yrs

Mark Fearon

TITLE
Director of Corporate Communications & Investor Relations

Mike Ward

TITLE
Head of Corporate Communications

Simon Oakland

TITLE
CEO of Canada & Central Europe and Group Head of Corporate Development

Sammie Long

TITLE
Chief Human Resources Officer
AGE
50
TENURE
2.2 yrs

John Wilcox

TITLE
Senior Vice President of Alignment and Coordination - Wolseley North America
Board of Directors Tenure

Average tenure and age of the Ferguson board of directors in years:

4.8
Average Tenure
55
Average Age
  • The tenure for the Ferguson board of directors is about average.
Board of Directors

Gareth Davis

TITLE
Chairman
COMPENSATION
$383K
AGE
68
TENURE
8.2 yrs

John Martin

TITLE
Group Chief Executive & Executive Director
COMPENSATION
$4M
AGE
52
TENURE
8.9 yrs

Mike Powell

TITLE
Group CFO & Executive Director
COMPENSATION
$1M
AGE
50
TENURE
1.8 yrs

Kevin Murphy

TITLE
CEO of USA & Executive Director
COMPENSATION
$2M
TENURE
1.6 yrs

Darren Shapland

TITLE
Independent Non-Executive Director
COMPENSATION
$86K
AGE
51
TENURE
4.8 yrs

Jacky Simmonds

TITLE
Independent Non-Executive Director
COMPENSATION
$83K
AGE
55
TENURE
4.8 yrs

Alan Murray

TITLE
Senior Non Executive Director
COMPENSATION
$80K
AGE
64
TENURE
5.4 yrs

Tessa Bamford

TITLE
Independent Non-Executive Director
COMPENSATION
$67K
AGE
59
TENURE
8 yrs

Nadia Shouraboura

TITLE
Independent Non-Executive Director
COMPENSATION
$67K
AGE
48
TENURE
1.7 yrs

Cathy Halligan

TITLE
Independent Non-Executive Director
AGE
55
TENURE
0.2 yrs
Who owns this company?
Recent Insider Trading
  • No 3 month insider trading information.
Recent Insider Transactions
Announced Type Name Entity Role Start End Shares Max Price ($) Value ($)
X
Management checks
We assess Ferguson's management by checking for:
  1. Is the CEO's compensation unreasonable compared to market cap? (1 check)
  2. Has the CEO's compensation increased more than 20% whilst the EPS is down more then 20%? (1 check)
  3. Is the average tenure of the management team less than 2 years? (1 check)
  4. Is the average tenure of the board of directors team less than 3 years? (1 check)
  5. Ferguson has a total score of 0/6, this is not included on the snowflake, see the detailed checks below.


Note: We use the top 6 management executives and board members in our calculations.

Note 2: Insider trading include any internal stakeholders and these transactions .

Full details on the Management part of the Simply Wall St company analysis model.

News

Simply Wall St News

Company Info

Description

Ferguson plc distributes plumbing and heating products in the United States, the United Kingdom, Canada, and Central Europe. It offers plumbing and heating solutions to customers in the residential, municipal, civil and industrial markets, and commercial sectors for repair, maintenance, and improvement (RMI), as well as new construction markets. The company also distributes pipes, valves, fittings, hydrants, meters, and related water management products, as well as offers related services, such as water line tapping and pipe fusion services. In addition, it distributes heating, ventilation, air conditioning, refrigeration equipment, and parts and supplies to specialist contractors in the residential and commercial markets for repair and replacement; and PVF products to industrial customers. Further, the company fabricates and supplies fire protection systems and bespoke fabrication services to commercial contractors for new construction and renovation projects, as well as offers products, services, and solutions to enable maintenance of facilities across various RMI markets. Additionally, it offers supply chain management solutions for PVF and maintenance, repair, and operations. The company also sells its home improvement products directly to consumers, as well as through a network of online stores. In addition, it operates its B2B business primarily under the Ferguson brand; and B2C business under the Build.com brand. Further, the company provides products and services for maintenance of multi-family properties, government agencies, hospitality, education, healthcare, and other facilities. It operates a network of 2,280 branches and 19 distribution centers. The company was formerly known as Wolseley plc and changed its name to Ferguson plc in July 2017. Ferguson plc was founded in 1887 and is headquartered in Zug, Switzerland.

Details
Name: Ferguson plc
FERG.Y
Exchange: OTCPK
Founded: 1887
£16,223,123,032
230,573,572
Website: http://www.fergusonplc.com
Address: Ferguson plc
Grafenauweg 10,
Zug,
Zug, 6301,
Switzerland
Listings
Exchange Symbol Ticker Symbol Security Exchange Country Currency Listed on
LSE FERG Ordinary Shares London Stock Exchange GB GBP 01. Jan 1992
OTCPK WOSC.F Ordinary Shares Pink Sheets LLC US USD 01. Jan 1992
DB 24W3 Ordinary Shares Deutsche Boerse AG DE EUR 01. Jan 1992
BATS-CHIXE FERGL Ordinary Shares BATS 'Chi-X Europe' GB GBP 01. Jan 1992
OTCPK FERG.Y SPONSRD ADR NEW Pink Sheets LLC US USD 31. May 2001
LSE FERG ORD GBP0.11403197 London Stock Exchange GB GBP 11. Jun 2018
Number of employees
Current staff
Staff numbers
35,000
Ferguson employees.
Industry
Trading Companies and Distributors
Capital Goods
Company Analysis and Financial Data Status
Area Date (UTC time)
Company Analysis updated: 2019/03/20 23:49
End of day share price update: 2019/03/20 00:00
Last estimates confirmation: 2019/03/19
Last earnings filing: 2018/10/11
Last earnings reported: 2018/07/31
Last annual earnings reported: 2018/07/31


All dates and times in UTC. All financial data provided by Standard & Poor’s Capital IQ.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more here.