Is Teledyne Technologies (NYSE:TDY) A Risky Investment?

By
Simply Wall St
Published
December 18, 2020

Some say volatility, rather than debt, is the best way to think about risk as an investor, but Warren Buffett famously said that 'Volatility is far from synonymous with risk.' So it seems the smart money knows that debt - which is usually involved in bankruptcies - is a very important factor, when you assess how risky a company is. As with many other companies Teledyne Technologies Incorporated (NYSE:TDY) makes use of debt. But the real question is whether this debt is making the company risky.

What Risk Does Debt Bring?

Generally speaking, debt only becomes a real problem when a company can't easily pay it off, either by raising capital or with its own cash flow. Ultimately, if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt, shareholders could walk away with nothing. However, a more common (but still painful) scenario is that it has to raise new equity capital at a low price, thus permanently diluting shareholders. Of course, the upside of debt is that it often represents cheap capital, especially when it replaces dilution in a company with the ability to reinvest at high rates of return. When we think about a company's use of debt, we first look at cash and debt together.

View our latest analysis for Teledyne Technologies

How Much Debt Does Teledyne Technologies Carry?

The image below, which you can click on for greater detail, shows that Teledyne Technologies had debt of US$790.3m at the end of September 2020, a reduction from US$925.4m over a year. However, it does have US$454.5m in cash offsetting this, leading to net debt of about US$335.8m.

NYSE:TDY Debt to Equity History December 18th 2020

How Strong Is Teledyne Technologies's Balance Sheet?

Zooming in on the latest balance sheet data, we can see that Teledyne Technologies had liabilities of US$671.2m due within 12 months and liabilities of US$1.14b due beyond that. On the other hand, it had cash of US$454.5m and US$650.2m worth of receivables due within a year. So its liabilities total US$706.3m more than the combination of its cash and short-term receivables.

Of course, Teledyne Technologies has a titanic market capitalization of US$14.0b, so these liabilities are probably manageable. But there are sufficient liabilities that we would certainly recommend shareholders continue to monitor the balance sheet, going forward.

In order to size up a company's debt relative to its earnings, we calculate its net debt divided by its earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) and its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) divided by its interest expense (its interest cover). This way, we consider both the absolute quantum of the debt, as well as the interest rates paid on it.

Teledyne Technologies has a low net debt to EBITDA ratio of only 0.54. And its EBIT easily covers its interest expense, being 30.2 times the size. So we're pretty relaxed about its super-conservative use of debt. While Teledyne Technologies doesn't seem to have gained much on the EBIT line, at least earnings remain stable for now. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But ultimately the future profitability of the business will decide if Teledyne Technologies can strengthen its balance sheet over time. So if you want to see what the professionals think, you might find this free report on analyst profit forecasts to be interesting.

Finally, a business needs free cash flow to pay off debt; accounting profits just don't cut it. So it's worth checking how much of that EBIT is backed by free cash flow. Over the last three years, Teledyne Technologies recorded free cash flow worth a fulsome 85% of its EBIT, which is stronger than we'd usually expect. That positions it well to pay down debt if desirable to do so.

Our View

Happily, Teledyne Technologies's impressive interest cover implies it has the upper hand on its debt. And that's just the beginning of the good news since its conversion of EBIT to free cash flow is also very heartening. Zooming out, Teledyne Technologies seems to use debt quite reasonably; and that gets the nod from us. After all, sensible leverage can boost returns on equity. Above most other metrics, we think its important to track how fast earnings per share is growing, if at all. If you've also come to that realization, you're in luck, because today you can view this interactive graph of Teledyne Technologies's earnings per share history for free.

Of course, if you're the type of investor who prefers buying stocks without the burden of debt, then don't hesitate to discover our exclusive list of net cash growth stocks, today.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
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