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Northrop Grumman

NYSE:NOC
Snowflake Description

Established dividend payer with acceptable track record.

The Snowflake is generated from 30 checks in 5 different areas, read more below.
NOC
NYSE
$48B
Market Cap
  1. Home
  2. US
  3. Capital Goods
Company description

Northrop Grumman Corporation, a security company, provides products in the areas of autonomous systems, cyber, space, strikes, and logistics and modernizations in the United States, the Asia Pacific, and internationally. The last earnings update was 13 days ago. More info.


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NOC Share Price and Events
7 Day Returns
1%
NYSE:NOC
2.1%
US Aerospace & Defense
0.5%
US Market
1 Year Returns
-19%
NYSE:NOC
-7.6%
US Aerospace & Defense
2%
US Market
NOC Shareholder Return
  7 Day 30 Day 90 Day 1 Year 3 Year 5 Year
Northrop Grumman (NOC) 1% 9% 4% -19% 49.1% 138%
US Aerospace & Defense 2.1% 10.6% -0% -7.6% 52.8% 57.6%
US Market 0.5% 6.3% 1.9% 2% 45.1% 40.5%
1 Year Return vs Industry and Market
  • NOC underperformed the Aerospace & Defense industry which returned -7.6% over the past year.
  • NOC underperformed the Market in United States of America which returned 2% over the past year.
Price Volatility
NOC
Industry
5yr Volatility vs Market

Value

 Is Northrop Grumman undervalued based on future cash flows and its price relative to the stock market?

Value is all about what a company is worth versus what price it is available for. If you went into a grocery store and all the bananas were on sale at half price, they could be considered undervalued.
INTRINSIC VALUE BASED ON FUTURE CASH FLOWS
Here we compare the current share price of Northrop Grumman to its discounted cash flow analysis.value.

The discounted cash flow value is simply looking at what the company is worth today, based on estimates of how much money it is expected to make in the future.
Raw Data

Below are the data sources, inputs and calculation used to determine the intrinsic value for Northrop Grumman.

NYSE:NOC Discounted Cash Flow Data Sources
Data Point Source Value
Valuation Model 2 Stage Free Cash Flow to Equity
Levered Free Cash Flow Average of 17 Analyst Estimates (S&P Global) See below
Discount Rate (Cost of Equity) See below 10.9%
Perpetual Growth Rate 10-Year US Government Bond Rate 2.7%

An important part of a discounted cash flow is the discount rate, below we explain how it has been calculated.

Calculation of Discount Rate/ Cost of Equity for NYSE:NOC
Data Point Calculation/ Source Result
Risk-Free Rate 10-Year US Govt Bond Rate 2.7%
Equity Risk Premium S&P Global 7.3%
Aerospace & Defense Unlevered Beta Simply Wall St/ S&P Global 0.91
Re-levered Beta = Unlevered beta (1 + (1- tax rate) (Debt/Equity))
= 0.911 (1 + (1- 21%) (30.36%))
1.129
Levered Beta Levered Beta limited to 0.8 to 2.0
(practical range for a stable firm)
1.13
Discount Rate/ Cost of Equity = Cost of Equity = Risk Free Rate + (Levered Beta * Equity Risk Premium)
= 2.73% + (1.129 * 7.27%)
10.94%

Discounted Cash Flow Calculation for NYSE:NOC using 2 Stage Free Cash Flow to Equity Model

The calculations below outline how an intrinsic value for Northrop Grumman is arrived at by discounting future cash flows to their present value using the 2 stage method. We use analyst's estimates of cash flows going forward 5 years for the 1st stage, the 2nd stage assumes the company grows at a stable rate into perpetuity.

NYSE:NOC DCF 1st Stage: Next 5 year cash flow forecast
2019 2020 2021 2022 2023
Levered FCF (USD, Millions) 2,854.89 3,367.67 3,723.14 4,210.33 4,362.50
Source Analyst x9 Analyst x9 Analyst x7 Analyst x3 Analyst x2
Present Value
Discounted (@ 10.94%)
2,573.38 2,736.26 2,726.79 2,779.54 2,596.01
Present value of next 5 years cash flows $13,411.99
NYSE:NOC DCF 2nd Stage: Terminal Value
Calculation Result
Terminal Value = FCF2023 × (1 + g) ÷ (Discount Rate – g)
= $4,362.50 × (1 + 2.73%) ÷ (10.94% – 2.73%)
$54,591.15
Present Value of Terminal Value = Terminal Value ÷ (1 + r)5
= $54,591.15 ÷ (1 + 10.94%)5
$32,485.80
NYSE:NOC Total Equity Value
Calculation Result
Total Equity Value = Present value of next 5 years cash flows + Terminal Value
= $13,411.99 + $32,485.80
$45,897.79
Equity Value per Share
(USD)
= Total value / Shares Outstanding
= $45,897.79 / 169.74
$270.4
NYSE:NOC Discount to Share Price
Calculation Result
Value per share (USD) From above. $270.40
Current discount Discount to share price of $283.30
= -1 x ($283.30 - $270.40) / $270.40
-4.8%

Learn more about our DCF calculations in Simply Wall St’s analysis model .

  • The current share price of Northrop Grumman is above its future cash flow value.
Often investors are willing to pay a premium for a company that has a high dividend or the potential for future growth.
PRICE RELATIVE TO MARKET
We can also value a company based on what the stock market is willing to pay for it. This is similar to the price of fruit (e.g. Mangoes or Avocados) increasing when they are out of season, or how much your home is worth.

The amount the stock market is willing to pay for Northrop Grumman's earnings, growth and assets is considered below, and whether this is a fair price.
Price based on past earnings
Are Northrop Grumman's earnings available for a low price, and how does this compare to other companies in the same industry?
Raw Data
NYSE:NOC PE (Price to Earnings) Ratio Data Sources
Data Point Source Value
Earnings Per Share * Company Filings (2018-12-31) in USD $18.59
NYSE:NOC Share Price ** NYSE (2019-02-13) in USD $283.3
United States of America Aerospace & Defense Industry PE Ratio Median Figure of 41 Publicly-Listed Aerospace & Defense Companies 20.47x
United States of America Market PE Ratio Median Figure of 3,046 Publicly-Listed Companies 16.95x

* Trailing twelve months (TTM) annual GAAP earnings per share excluding extraordinary items.

** Primary Listing of Northrop Grumman.

NYSE:NOC PE (Price to Earnings) Ratio Calculation
Calculation Outcome
PE Ratio

= NYSE:NOC Share Price ÷ EPS (both in USD)

= 283.3 ÷ 18.59

15.24x

Learn more about our ratios and growth rates in Simply Wall St’s analysis model >

  • Northrop Grumman is good value based on earnings compared to the US Aerospace & Defense industry average.
  • Northrop Grumman is good value based on earnings compared to the United States of America market.
Price based on expected Growth
Does Northrop Grumman's expected growth come at a high price?
Raw Data
NYSE:NOC PEG (Price to Earnings to Growth) Ratio Data Sources
Data Point Source Value
PE Ratio See PE Ratio Section 15.24x
Net Income Annual Growth Rate See Future Growth Section.
Line of Best Fit* through Consensus Estimate Earnings of 17 Analysts
8.8%per year
United States of America Aerospace & Defense Industry PEG Ratio Median Figure of 34 Publicly-Listed Aerospace & Defense Companies 1.75x
United States of America Market PEG Ratio Median Figure of 2,117 Publicly-Listed Companies 1.36x

*Line of best fit is calculated by linear regression .

NYSE:NOC PEG (Price to Earnings to Growth) Ratio Calculation
Calculation Outcome
PEG Ratio

= PE Ratio ÷ Net Income Annual Growth Rate

= 15.24x ÷ 8.8%

1.73x

Learn more about our ratios and growth rates in Simply Wall St’s analysis model >

  • Northrop Grumman is poor value based on expected growth next year.
Price based on value of assets
What value do investors place on Northrop Grumman's assets?
Raw Data
NYSE:NOC PB (Price to Book) Ratio Data Sources
Data Point Source Value
Book Value per Share Company Filings (2018-12-31) in USD $47.99
NYSE:NOC Share Price * NYSE (2019-02-13) in USD $283.3
United States of America Aerospace & Defense Industry PB Ratio Median Figure of 54 Publicly-Listed Aerospace & Defense Companies 2.52x
United States of America Market PB Ratio Median Figure of 5,122 Publicly-Listed Companies 1.81x
NYSE:NOC PB (Price to Book) Ratio Calculation
Calculation Outcome
PB Ratio

= NYSE:NOC Share Price ÷ Book Value per Share (both in USD)

= 283.3 ÷ 47.99

5.9x

* Primary Listing of Northrop Grumman.

Learn more about our ratios and growth rates in Simply Wall St’s analysis model >

  • Northrop Grumman is overvalued based on assets compared to the US Aerospace & Defense industry average.
X
Value checks
We assess Northrop Grumman's value by looking at:
  1. Is the discounted cash flow value less than 20%, or 40% of the share price? (2 checks) ( Click here or on bar chart for details of DCF calculation. )
  2. Is the PE ratio less than the market average, and/ or less than the Aerospace & Defense industry average (and greater than 0)? (2 checks)
  3. Is the PEG ratio within a reasonable range (0 to 1)? (1 check)
  4. Is the PB ratio less than the Aerospace & Defense industry average (and greater than 0)? (1 check)
  5. Northrop Grumman has a total score of 2/6, see the detailed checks below.

    Note: We use GAAP Earnings per Share in all our calculations including PE and PEG Ratio.

    Full details on the Value part of the Simply Wall St company analysis model.

Future Performance

 How is Northrop Grumman expected to perform in the next 1 to 3 years based on estimates from 17 analysts?

The future performance of a company is measured in the same way as past performance, by looking at estimated growth and how much profit it is expected to make.

Future estimates come from professional analysts. Just like forecasting the weather, they don’t always get it right!
Annual Growth Rate
8.8%
Expected annual growth in earnings.
Earnings growth vs Low Risk Savings
Is Northrop Grumman expected to grow at an attractive rate?
  • Northrop Grumman's earnings growth is expected to exceed the low risk savings rate of 2.7%.
Growth vs Market Checks
  • Northrop Grumman's earnings growth is positive but not above the United States of America market average.
  • Northrop Grumman's revenue growth is positive but not above the United States of America market average.
Annual Growth Rates Comparison
Raw Data
NYSE:NOC Future Growth Rates Data Sources
Data Point Source Value (per year)
NYSE:NOC Future Earnings Growth Rate Line of Best Fit* through Consensus Estimate Earnings of 17 Analysts 8.8%
NYSE:NOC Future Revenue Growth Rate Line of Best Fit* through Consensus Estimate Revenue of 17 Analysts 6.7%
United States of America Aerospace & Defense Industry Earnings Growth Rate Market Cap Weighted Average 10.1%
United States of America Aerospace & Defense Industry Revenue Growth Rate Market Cap Weighted Average 5.6%
United States of America Market Earnings Growth Rate Market Cap Weighted Average 13.4%
United States of America Market Revenue Growth Rate Market Cap Weighted Average 7.1%

*Line of best fit is calculated by linear regression .

Industry and Market average data is calculated daily.

Learn more about our growth rate calculations in Simply Wall St’s analysis model.

Analysts growth expectations
Raw Data
NYSE:NOC Analysts Growth Expectations Data Sources
Data Point Source Value
Past Financials Company Filings (1 month ago) See Below
Future Estimates Average of up to 17 Analyst Estimates (S&P Global) See Below
All numbers in USD Millions and using Trailing twelve months (TTM) annual period rather than quarterly.
NYSE:NOC Future Estimates Data
Date (Data in USD Millions) Revenue Cash Flow Net Income * Avg. No. Analysts
2023-12-31 41,766 6,259 4,883 2
2022-12-31 40,028 5,743 4,569 3
2021-12-31 38,085 4,881 4,218 10
2020-12-31 36,253 4,428 3,696 15
2019-12-31 34,107 4,006 3,125 17
NYSE:NOC Past Financials Data
Date (Data in USD Millions) Revenue Cash Flow Net Income *
2018-12-31 30,095 3,827 3,229
2018-09-30 28,290 3,057 2,739
2018-06-30 26,774 3,183 2,238
2018-03-31 26,128 2,815 2,104
2017-12-31 26,004 2,613 2,869
2017-09-30 25,849 2,537 2,373
2017-06-30 25,435 2,337 2,332
2017-03-31 24,962 2,434 2,294
2016-12-31 24,706 2,813 2,043
2016-09-30 23,805 2,915 2,134
2016-06-30 23,629 2,734 2,048
2016-03-31 23,525 2,756 2,062

*GAAP earnings excluding extraordinary items.

Super high growth metrics
High Growth Checks
  • Northrop Grumman's earnings are expected to grow by 8.8% yearly, however this is not considered high growth (20% yearly).
  • Northrop Grumman's revenue is expected to grow by 6.7% yearly, however this is not considered high growth (20% yearly).
Past and Future Earnings per Share
The accuracy of the analysts who estimate the future performance data can be gauged below. We look back 3 years and see if they were any good at predicting what actually occurred. We also show the highest and lowest estimates looking forward to see if there is a wide range.
Raw Data
NYSE:NOC Past and Future Earnings per Share
Data Point Source Value
Past Financials Company Filings (1 month ago) See Below
Future Estimates Average of up to 17 Analyst Estimates (S&P Global) See Below

All data from Northrop Grumman Company Filings, last reported 1 month ago, and in Trailing twelve months (TTM) annual period rather than quarterly.

NYSE:NOC Future Estimates Data
Date (Data in USD Millions) EPS * EPS High Estimate EPS Low Estimate Avg. No. Analysts
2023-12-31 29.65 29.65 29.65 1.00
2022-12-31 27.46 27.46 27.46 1.00
2021-12-31 25.63 27.47 23.50 7.00
2020-12-31 22.05 23.01 19.89 12.00
2019-12-31 18.44 19.52 14.41 13.00
NYSE:NOC Past Financials Data
Date (Data in USD Millions) EPS *
2018-12-31 18.59
2018-09-30 15.72
2018-06-30 12.84
2018-03-31 12.07
2017-12-31 16.45
2017-09-30 13.57
2017-06-30 13.26
2017-03-31 12.94
2016-12-31 11.42
2016-09-30 11.83
2016-06-30 11.23
2016-03-31 11.13

*GAAP earnings excluding extraordinary items.

Performance in 3 years
In the same way as past performance we look at the future estimated return (profit) compared to the available funds. We do this looking forward 3 years.
  • Northrop Grumman is expected to efficiently use shareholders’ funds in the future (Return on Equity greater than 20%).
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Future performance checks
We assess Northrop Grumman's future performance by looking at:
  1. Is the annual earnings growth rate expected to beat the low risk savings rate, plus a premium to keep pace with inflation?
  2. Is the annual earnings growth rate expected to beat the average growth rate in earnings of the United States of America market? (1 check)
  3. Is the annual revenue growth rate expected to beat the average growth rate in revenue of the United States of America market? (1 check)
  4. Is the annual earnings growth rate expected to be above 20%? (1 check)
  5. Is the annual revenue growth rate expected to be above 20%? (1 check)
  6. Is the Return on Equity in 3 years expected to be over 20%? (1 check)
Some of the above checks will fail if the company is expected to be loss making in the relevant year.
Northrop Grumman has a total score of 2/6, see the detailed checks below.

Note 1: We use GAAP Net Income Excluding Exceptional Items for our Earnings in all our calculations.

Full details on the Future part of the Simply Wall St company analysis model.

Past Performance

  How has Northrop Grumman performed over the past 5 years?

The past performance of a company can be measured by how much growth it has experienced and how much profit it makes relative to the funds and assets it has available.
Past earnings growth
Below we compare Northrop Grumman's growth in the last year to its industry (Aerospace & Defense).
Past Earnings growth analysis
We also check if the company has grown in the past 5 years, and whether it has maintained that growth in the year.
  • Northrop Grumman's year on year earnings growth rate has been positive over the past 5 years.
  • Northrop Grumman's 1-year earnings growth exceeds its 5-year average (12.5% vs 7%)
  • Northrop Grumman's earnings growth has not exceeded the US Aerospace & Defense industry average in the past year (12.5% vs 27.2%).
Earnings and Revenue History
Northrop Grumman's revenue and profit over the past 5 years is shown below, any years where they have experienced a loss will show up in red.
Raw Data

All data from Northrop Grumman Company Filings, last reported 1 month ago, and in Trailing twelve months (TTM) annual period rather than quarterly.

NYSE:NOC Past Revenue, Cash Flow and Net Income Data
Date (Data in USD Millions) Revenue Net Income * G+A Expenses R&D Expenses
2018-12-31 30,095.00 3,229.00 2,617.00
2018-09-30 28,290.00 2,739.00 2,446.00
2018-06-30 26,774.00 2,238.00 2,441.00
2018-03-31 26,128.00 2,104.00 2,530.00
2017-12-31 26,004.00 2,869.00 1,477.00
2017-09-30 25,849.00 2,373.00 2,742.00
2017-06-30 25,435.00 2,332.00 2,727.00
2017-03-31 24,962.00 2,294.00 2,644.00
2016-12-31 24,706.00 2,043.00 2,971.00
2016-09-30 23,805.00 2,134.00 2,565.00
2016-06-30 23,629.00 2,048.00 2,566.00
2016-03-31 23,525.00 2,062.00 2,587.00
2015-12-31 23,526.00 1,990.00 2,566.00
2015-09-30 23,940.00 2,037.00 2,632.00
2015-06-30 23,945.00 1,994.00 2,549.00
2015-03-31 24,088.00 1,974.00 2,498.00
2014-12-31 23,979.00 2,069.00 2,405.00
2014-09-30 24,028.00 2,041.00 2,273.00
2014-06-30 24,150.00 2,065.00 2,248.00
2014-03-31 24,405.00 2,042.00 2,240.00
2013-12-31 24,661.00 1,952.00 2,256.00
2013-09-30 24,980.00 2,007.00 2,432.00
2013-06-30 25,144.00 1,969.00 2,449.00
2013-03-31 25,124.00 1,961.00 2,447.00
2012-12-31 25,218.00 1,978.00 2,450.00
2012-09-30 25,248.00 1,995.00 2,350.00
2012-06-30 25,590.00 2,056.00 2,367.00
2012-03-31 25,876.00 2,096.00 2,343.00

*GAAP earnings excluding extraordinary items.

Performance last year
We want to ensure a company is making the most of what it has available. This is done by comparing the return (profit) to a company's available funds, assets and capital.
  • Whilst Northrop Grumman has efficiently used shareholders’ funds last year (Return on Equity greater than 20%), this is metric is skewed due to its high level of debt.
  • Northrop Grumman used its assets more efficiently than the US Aerospace & Defense industry average last year based on Return on Assets.
  • Northrop Grumman's use of capital deteriorated last year versus 3 years ago (Return on Capital Employed).
X
Past performance checks
We assess Northrop Grumman's performance over the past 5 years by checking for:
  1. Has earnings increased in past 5 years? (1 check)
  2. Has the earnings growth in the last year exceeded that of the Aerospace & Defense industry? (1 check)
  3. Is the recent earnings growth over the last year higher than the average annual growth over the past 5 years? (1 check)
  4. Is the Return on Equity (ROE) higher than 20%? (1 check)
  5. Is the Return on Assets (ROA) above industry average? (1 check)
  6. Has the Return on Capital Employed (ROCE) increased from 3 years ago? (1 check)
The above checks will fail if the company has reported a loss in the most recent earnings report. Some checks require at least 3 or 5 years worth of data.
Northrop Grumman has a total score of 3/6, see the detailed checks below.

Note: We use GAAP Net Income excluding extraordinary items in all our calculations.

Full details on the Past part of the Simply Wall St company analysis model.

Health

 How is Northrop Grumman's financial health and their level of debt?

A company's financial position is much like your own financial position, it includes everything you own (assets) and owe (liabilities).

The boxes below represent the relative size of what makes up Northrop Grumman's finances.

The net worth of a company is the difference between its assets and liabilities.
Net Worth
  • Northrop Grumman is able to meet its short term (1 year) commitments with its holdings of cash and other short term assets.
  • Northrop Grumman's long term commitments exceed its cash and other short term assets.
Balance sheet
This treemap shows a more detailed breakdown of Northrop Grumman's finances. If any of them are yellow this indicates they may be out of proportion and red means they relate to one of the checks below.
Assets
Liabilities and shares
The 'shares' portion represents any funds contributed by the owners (shareholders) and any profits.
  • Low level of unsold assets.
  • Debt is not covered by short term assets, assets are 0.7x debt.
Historical Debt
Nearly all companies have debt. Debt in itself isn’t bad, however if the debt is too high, or the company can’t afford to pay the interest on its debts this may have impacts in the future.

The graphic below shows equity (available funds) and debt, we ideally want to see the red area (debt) decreasing.

If there is any debt we look at the companies capability to repay it, and whether the level has increased over the past 5 years.
Raw Data

All data from Northrop Grumman Company Filings, last reported 1 month ago.

NYSE:NOC Past Debt and Equity Data
Date (Data in USD Millions) Total Equity Total Debt Cash & Short Term Investments
2018-12-31 8,187.00 14,598.00 1,579.00
2018-09-30 9,103.00 14,905.00 1,228.00
2018-06-30 8,227.00 15,131.00 1,539.00
2018-03-31 7,680.00 15,260.00 10,369.00
2017-12-31 7,132.00 15,266.00 11,225.00
2017-09-30 6,493.00 7,090.00 1,878.00
2017-06-30 5,919.00 7,081.00 1,383.00
2017-03-31 5,558.00 7,060.00 1,403.00
2016-12-31 5,259.00 7,070.00 2,541.00
2016-09-30 5,767.00 6,390.00 1,103.00
2016-06-30 5,681.00 6,390.00 1,139.00
2016-03-31 5,621.00 6,387.00 1,277.00
2015-12-31 5,522.00 6,496.00 2,319.00
2015-09-30 5,697.00 6,527.00 1,292.00
2015-06-30 6,171.00 6,527.00 1,907.00
2015-03-31 6,748.00 6,418.00 2,646.00
2014-12-31 7,235.00 5,928.00 3,863.00
2014-09-30 9,893.00 5,929.00 3,402.00
2014-06-30 10,268.00 5,929.00 3,476.00
2014-03-31 10,569.00 5,929.00 3,885.00
2013-12-31 10,620.00 5,930.00 5,150.00
2013-09-30 9,356.00 5,928.00 4,944.00
2013-06-30 9,558.00 5,933.00 4,904.00
2013-03-31 9,469.00 3,942.00 3,183.00
2012-12-31 9,514.00 3,935.00 3,862.00
2012-09-30 10,947.00 3,931.00 3,525.00
2012-06-30 10,715.00 3,932.00 3,148.00
2012-03-31 10,541.00 3,933.00 2,682.00
  • Northrop Grumman's level of debt (178.3%) compared to net worth is high (greater than 40%).
  • The level of debt compared to net worth has increased over the past 5 years (55.8% vs 178.3% today).
  • Debt is well covered by operating cash flow (26.2%, greater than 20% of total debt).
  • Interest payments on debt are well covered by earnings (EBIT is 7.5x coverage).
X
Financial health checks
We assess Northrop Grumman's financial health by checking for:
  1. Are short term assets greater than short term liabilities? (1 check)
  2. Are short term assets greater than long term liabilities? (1 check)
  3. Has the debt to equity ratio increased in the past 5 years? (1 check)
  4. Is the debt to equity ratio over 40%? (1 check)
  5. Is the debt covered by operating cash flow? (1 check)
  6. Are earnings greater than 5x the interest on debt (if company pays interest at all)? (1 check)
  7. Northrop Grumman has a total score of 3/6, see the detailed checks below.
For companies that are loss making and have been so on average in the past we replace the last 2 checks with:
  1. Does cash and short term investments cover stable operating expenses (recurring G&A and R&D) for more than 3 years? (1 check)
  2. Does cash and short term investments cover growing operating expenses (recurring G&A and R&D) for more than 3 years? (1 check)


Full details on the Health part of the Simply Wall St company analysis model.

Dividends

 What is Northrop Grumman's current dividend yield, its reliability and sustainability?

Dividends are regular cash payments to you from the company, similar to a bank paying you interest on a savings account.
Annual Dividend Income
Dividend payments
1.69%
Current annual income from Northrop Grumman dividends. Estimated to be 1.99% next year.
If you bought $2,000 of Northrop Grumman shares you are expected to receive $34 in your first year as a dividend.
Dividend Amount
Here we look how much dividend is being paid, if any. Is it above what you can get in a savings account? It is up there with the best dividend paying companies?
  • Northrop Grumman's pays a higher dividend yield than the bottom 25% of dividend payers in United States of America (1.43%).
  • Northrop Grumman's dividend is below the markets top 25% of dividend payers in United States of America (3.62%).
Annualized Historical and Future Dividends
It is important to see if the dividend for a company is stable, and not wildly increasing/decreasing each year. This graph shows you the historical rate to count toward your assessment of the stock.

We also check to see if the dividend has increased in the past 10 years.
Raw Data
NYSE:NOC Annualized Past and Future Dividends
Data Point Source Value
Past Annualized Dividend Yield S&P Global Market Data See Below
Past Dividends per Share Company Filings/ Annualized Dividend Payments See Below
Future Dividends per Share Estimates Average of up to 17 Analyst Estimates (S&P Global) See Below
United States of America Aerospace & Defense Industry Average Dividend Yield Market Cap Weighted Average of 22 Stocks 2%
United States of America Market Average Dividend Yield Market Cap Weighted Average of 1997 Stocks 2.5%
United States of America Minimum Threshold Dividend Yield 10th Percentile 0.8%
United States of America Bottom 25% Dividend Yield 25th Percentile 1.4%
United States of America Top 25% Dividend Yield 75th Percentile 3.6%

Industry and Market average data is calculated daily.

Note all dividend per share amounts are annualized and not quarterly or other period.

NYSE:NOC Future Dividends Estimate Data
Date (Data in $) Dividend per Share (annual) Avg. No. Analysts
2023-12-31
2022-12-31 6.32 1.00
2021-12-31 6.16 7.00
2020-12-31 5.70 10.00
2019-12-31 5.21 11.00
NYSE:NOC Past Annualized Dividends Data
Date (Data in $) Dividend per share (annual) Avg. Yield (%)
2018-11-14 4.800 1.836
2018-08-15 4.800 1.615
2018-05-15 4.800 1.526
2018-01-25 4.400 1.293
2017-11-15 4.000 1.303
2017-08-16 4.000 1.407
2017-05-16 4.000 1.537
2017-02-17 3.600 1.480
2016-11-16 3.600 1.521
2016-08-17 3.600 1.642
2016-05-17 3.600 1.657
2016-02-16 3.200 1.610
2015-11-19 3.200 1.713
2015-10-28 3.200 1.725
2015-08-19 3.200 1.886
2015-05-20 3.200 1.940
2015-02-18 2.800 1.736
2014-11-19 2.800 1.860
2014-08-20 2.800 2.151
2014-05-21 2.800 2.284
2014-02-18 2.440 2.017
2013-11-20 2.440 2.149
2013-08-21 2.440 2.449
2013-05-15 2.440 2.827
2013-02-19 2.200 3.130
2013-02-05 2.200 3.345
2012-08-15 2.200 3.265
2012-05-16 2.200 3.523
2012-02-15 2.000 3.278
2011-11-17 2.000 3.460
2011-07-21 2.000 3.653
2011-04-27 2.000 3.064
2011-02-16 1.880 2.888
2010-11-17 1.880 2.845
2010-07-27 1.880 3.145
2010-05-19 1.880 3.231
2010-02-17 1.720 2.649
2009-10-19 1.720 3.107
2009-07-16 1.720 3.535
2009-05-20 1.720 3.685
2009-02-18 1.600 3.686
2009-02-17 1.600 3.537

Learn more about our ratios and growth rates in Simply Wall St’s analysis model >

  • Dividends per share have been stable in the past 10 years.
  • Dividends per share have increased over the past 10 years.
Current Payout to shareholders
What portion of Northrop Grumman's earnings are paid to the shareholders as a dividend.
  • Dividends paid are well covered by earnings (4x coverage).
Future Payout to shareholders
  • Dividends after 3 years are expected to be well covered by earnings (4.1x coverage).
X
Income/ dividend checks
We assess Northrop Grumman's dividend by checking for:
  1. Firstly is the company paying a notable dividend (greater than 0.8%) - if not then the rest of the checks are ignored.
  2. Is current dividend yield above the bottom 25% of dividend payers? (1 check)
  3. Is current dividend yield above the top 25% of dividend payers? (1 check)
  4. Have they paid a dividend for 10 years, and during this period has the dividend been volatile (drop of more than 25%)? (1 check)
  5. If they have paid a dividend for 10 years has it increased in this time? (1 check)
  6. How sustainable is the dividend, can Northrop Grumman afford to pay it from its earnings today and in 3 years (Payout ratio less than 90%)? (2 checks)
  7. Northrop Grumman has a total score of 5/6, see the detailed checks below.


Full details on the Dividends part of the Simply Wall St company analysis model.

Management

 What is the CEO of Northrop Grumman's salary, the management and board of directors tenure and is there insider trading?

Management is one of the most important areas of a company. We look at unreasonable CEO compensation, how long the team and board of directors have been around for and insider trading.
CEO
Kathy Warden
COMPENSATION $5,962,672
AGE 46
TENURE AS CEO 0.1 years
CEO Bio

Ms. Kathy J. Warden has been President of Northrop Grumman Corporation since January 1, 2018 and has been its Chief Executive Officer since January 1, 2019. Ms. Warden served as the Chief Operating Officer of Northrop Grumman Corporation from January 1, 2018 to January 1, 2019. Ms. Warden was Corporate Vice President of Northrop Grumman Corporation since January 01, 2013 and was its President of Northrop Grumman Mission Systems since January 01, 2016 to 2017. Ms. Warden served as Corporate Vice President and President of Information Systems Sector at Northrop Grumman Corporation from 2013 to 2015. Ms. Warden oversaw large-scale, mission-critical systems and complex hardware and software products within the U.S. and internationally in areas such as command, control, computing, communications, intelligence, surveillance and reconnaissance (C4ISR) and cybersecurity. Ms. Warden served as the President of The Information Systems Sector at Northrop Grumman Corporation from January 01, 2013 to January 01, 2016. Ms. Warden has executive leadership over key cyber or cyber-related mission areas, such as information security, cyber security and signals intelligence (SIGINT). She works closely with other parts of Northrop Grumman as cyber products and services are delivered to its intelligence customers. Ms. Warden has extensive experience in operational leadership and business development in government and commercial markets. She served as Vice President and General Manager of Cyber Intelligence Division at Northrop Grumman Corporation from March 2011 to December 31, 2012. Among her senior roles at Northrop Grumman, Ms. Warden led the intelligence business in cyber, special access and airborne intelligence, surveillance and reconnaissance (ISR). Before joining Northrop Grumman in 2008, she served as the Senior Vice President of a business unit supporting a secure space program and served in other executive roles supporting the intelligence community. Earlier, she was a Principal in a venture Internet firm where she consulted with Fortune 500 companies on Internet use to expand their business models and led development teams to deliver e-publishing, e-commerce and e-marketing solutions. Ms. Warden held leadership roles at General Dynamics Advanced Information Systems and the Veridian Corporation. Ms. Warden spent nearly a decade with General Electric Company working in commercial industries. She began her GE career as a Systems Engineer and later served as Corporate Auditor, Strategy and Merger and Acquisitions Director and Director of Global Services at GE Information Services. She serves as Deputy Chairman of the Board at Federal Reserve Bank of Richmond since January 2018 and has been its Director since January 2015. She has been a Director of Northrop Grumman Corporation since July 12, 2018. She serves on the boards of directors for the Wolf Trap Foundation. Recently, she was Chair of the Executive Mosaic Cyber Group and served on the executive committee for the Intelligence and National Security Alliance. She served on the Clinton administration’s Internet Advisory Council. Ms. Warden is a member of the Northrop Grumman’s Corporate Policy Council. Ms. Warden holds a Bachelor's degree in Computer Systems from James Madison University and a Master's degree in Business Administration from George Washington University.

CEO Compensation
  • Kathy's compensation has been consistent with company performance over the past year.
  • Kathy's remuneration is lower than average for companies of similar size in United States of America.
Management Team Tenure

Average tenure and age of the Northrop Grumman management team in years:

4.1
Average Tenure
51.5
Average Age
  • The tenure for the Northrop Grumman management team is about average.
Management Team

Kathy Warden

TITLE
CEO, President & Director
COMPENSATION
$6M
AGE
46
TENURE
0.1 yrs

Ken Bedingfield

TITLE
Corporate VP & CFO
COMPENSATION
$5M
AGE
45
TENURE
4 yrs

Janis Pamiljans

TITLE
Corporate VP & President of Aerospace Systems Sector
COMPENSATION
$7M
AGE
57
TENURE
1.8 yrs

Raj Chandhok

TITLE
Vice President of Trust Administration and Investments
AGE
68
TENURE
15.8 yrs

Michael Hardesty

TITLE
Corporate VP
AGE
46
TENURE
6 yrs

Pat Antkowiak

TITLE
Corporate VP and Chief Strategy & Technology Officer
AGE
57
TENURE
4.3 yrs

Steve Movius

TITLE
Treasurer & Corporate VP of Investor Relations

Sheila Cheston

TITLE
Corporate VP & General Counsel
COMPENSATION
$6M
AGE
59
TENURE
8.5 yrs

Carl Hahn

TITLE
Chief Compliance Officer & VP
TENURE
4.1 yrs

Lucy Ryan

TITLE
Corporate Vice President of Communications
AGE
44
TENURE
0.1 yrs
Board of Directors Tenure

Average tenure and age of the Northrop Grumman board of directors in years:

7.2
Average Tenure
67.5
Average Age
  • The tenure for the Northrop Grumman board of directors is about average.
Board of Directors

Wes Bush

TITLE
Chairman
COMPENSATION
$19M
AGE
57
TENURE
7.6 yrs

Kathy Warden

TITLE
CEO, President & Director
COMPENSATION
$6M
AGE
46
TENURE
0.6 yrs

Kathleen Thomas

TITLE
Chairman of the Learning & Development Council and Vice President of Learning & Development

Karl Krapek

TITLE
Director
COMPENSATION
$312K
AGE
69
TENURE
10.4 yrs

Madeleine Kleiner

TITLE
Director
COMPENSATION
$315K
AGE
66
TENURE
10.3 yrs

Bill Hernandez

TITLE
Director
COMPENSATION
$303K
AGE
70
TENURE
5.4 yrs

Warren King

TITLE
Chairman of Northrop Grumman Australia Advisory Board
TENURE
1 yrs

Jim Stavridis

TITLE
Chair of International Advisory Board
AGE
63

Don Felsinger

TITLE
Lead Independent Director
COMPENSATION
$325K
AGE
70
TENURE
6.8 yrs

Bruce Gordon

TITLE
Director
COMPENSATION
$297K
AGE
72
TENURE
10.3 yrs
Who owns this company?
Recent Insider Trading
  • No 3 month insider trading information.
Recent Insider Transactions
Announced Type Name Entity Role Start End Shares Max Price ($) Value ($)
X
Management checks
We assess Northrop Grumman's management by checking for:
  1. Is the CEO's compensation unreasonable compared to market cap? (1 check)
  2. Has the CEO's compensation increased more than 20% whilst the EPS is down more then 20%? (1 check)
  3. Is the average tenure of the management team less than 2 years? (1 check)
  4. Is the average tenure of the board of directors team less than 3 years? (1 check)
  5. Northrop Grumman has a total score of 0/6, this is not included on the snowflake, see the detailed checks below.


Note: We use the top 6 management executives and board members in our calculations.

Note 2: Insider trading include any internal stakeholders and these transactions .

Full details on the Management part of the Simply Wall St company analysis model.

News

Simply Wall St News

Does Northrop Grumman Corporation (NYSE:NOC) Have A Good P/E Ratio?

We'll look at Northrop Grumman Corporation's (NYSE:NOC) P/E ratio and reflect on what it tells us about the company's share price. … Northrop Grumman has a P/E ratio of 17.82, based on the last twelve months. … Price to Earnings Ratio = Price per Share ÷ Earnings per Share (EPS)

Simply Wall St -

Estimating The Fair Value Of Northrop Grumman Corporation (NYSE:NOC)

How far off is Northrop Grumman Corporation (NYSE:NOC) from its intrinsic value? … by taking the expected future cash flows and discounting them to their present value. … Anyone interested in learning a bit more about intrinsic value should have a read of the Simply Wall St analysis model

Simply Wall St -

Examining Northrop Grumman Corporation’s (NYSE:NOC) Weak Return On Capital Employed

Specifically, we'll consider its Return On Capital Employed (ROCE), since that will give us an insight into how efficiently the business can generate profits from the capital it requires. … What is Return On Capital Employed (ROCE)? … ROCE is a measure of a company's yearly pre-tax profit (its return), relative to the capital employed in the business.

Simply Wall St -

Northrop Grumman Corporation (NYSE:NOC): Poised For Long Term Success?

Looking at Northrop Grumman Corporation's (NYSE:NOC) earnings update in September 2018,. … the consensus outlook from analysts appear fairly confident, … with earnings expected to grow by 16% in the upcoming year

Simply Wall St -

Should You Be Holding Northrop Grumman Corporation (NYSE:NOC)?

Building up an investment case requires looking at a stock holistically. … Today I've chosen to put the spotlight on Northrop Grumman Corporation (NYSE:NOC) due to its excellent fundamentals in more than one area.

Simply Wall St -

Is Now An Opportune Moment To Examine Northrop Grumman Corporation (NYSE:NOC)?

Today we're going to take a look at the well-established Northrop Grumman Corporation (NYSE:NOC). … A question to answer is whether Northrop Grumman's current trading price of $273.8 reflective of the actual value of the? … Let’s take a look at Northrop Grumman’s outlook and value based on the most recent financial data to see if there are any catalysts for a price change

Simply Wall St -

Is Northrop Grumman Corporation's (NYSE:NOC) ROE Of 27% Impressive?

With that in mind, this article will work through how we can use Return On Equity (ROE) to better understand a business. … To keep the lesson grounded in practicality, we'll use ROE to better understand Northrop Grumman Corporation (NYSE:NOC). … One way to conceptualize this, is that for each $1 of shareholders' equity it has, the company made $0.27 in profit.

Simply Wall St -

Does Northrop Grumman Corporation's (NYSE:NOC) CEO Pay Reflect Performance?

Wes Bush became the CEO of Northrop Grumman Corporation (NYSE:NOC) in 2010. … This report will, first, examine the CEO compensation levels in comparison to CEO compensation at other big companies. … At the time of writing our data says that Northrop Grumman Corporation has a market cap of US$54.3b, and is paying total annual CEO compensation of US$19m.

Simply Wall St -

Northrop Grumman Corporation (NYSE:NOC): Ex-Dividend Is In 2 Days, Should You Buy?

Have you been keeping an eye on Northrop Grumman Corporation's (NYSE:NOC) upcoming dividend of US$1.20 per share payable on the 12 September 2018? … Below, I will explain how holding Northrop Grumman can impact your portfolio income stream, by analysing the stock's most recent financial data and dividend attributes. … When assessing a stock as a potential addition to my dividend Portfolio, I look at these five areas:?

Simply Wall St -

Northrop Grumman Corporation (NYSE:NOC): The Return Story

and looking to gauge the potential return on investment in Northrop Grumman Corporation (NYSE:NOC). … Your return is tied to NOC’s ability to do this because the amount earned is used to invest in opportunities to grow the business or payout dividends, which are the two sources of return on investment. … To understand Northrop Grumman’s capital returns we will look at a useful metric called return on capital employed.

Simply Wall St -

Company Info

Map
Description

Northrop Grumman Corporation, a security company, provides products in the areas of autonomous systems, cyber, space, strikes, and logistics and modernizations in the United States, the Asia Pacific, and internationally. The company operates through four segments: Aerospace Systems, Innovation Systems, Mission Systems, and Technology Services. The Aerospace Systems segment designs, develops, integrates, and produces manned aircrafts, autonomous systems, spacecraft systems, high-energy laser systems, microelectronics, and other systems and sub-systems for use in the areas of intelligence, surveillance and reconnaissance, strike operations, communications, earth observations, and space science. The Innovation Systems segment designs, develops, integrates, and produces flights, armaments, and space systems. It offers launch vehicles and related propulsion systems; missile products and defense electronics; precision weapons, armament systems, and ammunitions; satellites and associated space components and services; and advanced aerospace structures. The Mission Systems segment offers products and services that include C4ISR systems; radar, electro-optical/infrared (EO/IR), and acoustic sensors; electronic warfare systems; cyber solutions; space systems; intelligence processing systems; air and missile defense integration systems; navigation systems; and shipboard missiles and encapsulated payload launch systems. The Technology Services segment provides logistic solutions that supports the full life cycle of platforms and systems. Its products and services include software and system sustainment; modernization of platform and associated subsystems; advanced training solutions; and integrated logistics support. Northrop Grumman Corporation was founded in 1939 and is based in Falls Church, Virginia.

Details
Name: Northrop Grumman Corporation
NOC
Exchange: NYSE
Founded: 1939
$48,086,635,733
169,737,507
Website: http://www.northropgrumman.com
Address: Northrop Grumman Corporation
2980 Fairview Park Drive,
Falls Church,
Virginia, 22042,
United States
Listings
Exchange Symbol Ticker Symbol Security Exchange Country Currency Listed on
NYSE NOC Common Stock New York Stock Exchange US USD 02. Jan 1968
DB NTH Common Stock Deutsche Boerse AG DE EUR 02. Jan 1968
XTRA NTH Common Stock XETRA Trading Platform DE EUR 02. Jan 1968
LSE 0K92 Common Stock London Stock Exchange GB USD 02. Jan 1968
BMV NOC * Common Stock Bolsa Mexicana de Valores MX MXN 02. Jan 1968
Number of employees
Current staff
Staff numbers
85,000
Northrop Grumman employees.
Industry
Aerospace and Defense
Capital Goods
Company Analysis and Financial Data Status
Area Date (UTC time)
Company Analysis updated: 2019/02/13 23:46
End of day share price update: 2019/02/13 00:00
Last estimates confirmation: 2019/02/13
Last earnings filing: 2019/01/31
Last earnings reported: 2018/12/31
Last annual earnings reported: 2018/12/31


All dates and times in UTC. All financial data provided by Standard & Poor’s Capital IQ.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more here.