This article is intended for those of you who are at the beginning of your investing journey and want to begin learning the link between Herc Holdings Inc (NYSE:HRI)’s return fundamentals and stock market performance.
Herc Holdings stock represents an ownership share in the company. Owing to this, it is important that the underlying business is producing a sufficient amount of income from the capital invested by stockholders. This is because the actual cash flow generated by the business dictates the potential for income (dividends) and capital appreciation (price increases), which are the two ways to achieve positive returns when buying a stock. Therefore, looking at how efficiently Herc Holdings is able to use capital to create earnings will help us understand your potential return. Investors use many different metrics but the analysis below focuses on return on capital employed (ROCE). Let’s take a look at what it can tell us.
Calculating Return On Capital Employed for HRI
You only have a finite amount of capital to invest, so there are only so many companies that you can add to your portfolio. The cost of missing out on another opportunity comes in the form of the potential long term gain you could’ve received, which is dependent on the gap between the return on capital you could’ve achieved and that of the company you invested in. Hence, capital returns are very important, and should be examined before you invest in conjunction with a certain benchmark that represents the minimum return you require to be compensated for the risk of missing out on other potentially lucrative investments. A good metric to use is return on capital employed (ROCE), which helps us gauge how much income can be created from the funds needed to operate the business. This metric will tell us if Herc Holdings is good at growing investor capital. I have calculated Herc Holdings’s ROCE for you below:
ROCE Calculation for HRI
Return on Capital Employed (ROCE) = Earnings Before Tax (EBT) ÷ (Capital Employed)
Capital Employed = (Total Assets – Current Liabilities)
∴ ROCE = US$29.60m ÷ (US$3.73b – US$518.50m) = 0.92%
HRI’s 0.92% ROCE means that for every $100 you invest, the company creates $0.9. A good ROCE hurdle you should aim for in your investments is 15%, which HRI has missed by a wide margin, meaning the company creates a poor amount of earnings from capital employed.
What is causing this?
HRI doesn’t return an attractive amount on capital, but this will only continue if the company is unable to increase earnings or decrease current capital requirements. So it is important for investors to understand what is going on under the hood and look at how these variables have been behaving. Looking three years in the past, it is evident that HRI’s ROCE has deteriorated from 4.54%, indicating the company’s capital returns have declined. With this, the current earnings of US$29.60m actually declined from US$159.80m whilst capital employed has increased due to an increase in total assets and decrease in current liabilities (less borrowed money) , which means the company’s ROCE has shrunk as a result of falling earnings and simultaneous increases in capital requirements.
Herc Holdings’s ROCE has decreased in the recent past and is currently at a level that makes us question whether the company is capable of providing a suitable return on investment. However, it is important to know that ROCE does not dictate returns alone, so you need to consider other fundamentals in the business such as future prospects and valuation. If you’re building your portfolio and want to take a deeper look, I’ve added a few links below that will help you further evaluate HRI or move on to other alternatives.
- Future Outlook: What are well-informed industry analysts predicting for HRI’s future growth? Take a look at our free research report of analyst consensus for HRI’s outlook.
- Valuation: What is HRI worth today? Despite the unattractive ROCE, is the outlook correctly factored in to the price? The intrinsic value infographic in our free research report helps visualize whether HRI is currently undervalued by the market.
- Other High-Performing Stocks: Are there other stocks that provide better prospects with proven track records? Explore our free list of these great stocks here.
To help readers see past the short term volatility of the financial market, we aim to bring you a long-term focused research analysis purely driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis does not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements.
The author is an independent contributor and at the time of publication had no position in the stocks mentioned. For errors that warrant correction please contact the editor at email@example.com.