| Snowflake Score | |
|---|---|
| Valuation | 6/6 |
| Future Growth | 4/6 |
| Past Performance | 3/6 |
| Financial Health | 2/6 |
| Dividends | 2/6 |
GBX Stock Overview
The Greenbrier Companies, Inc. designs, manufactures, and markets railroad freight car equipment in North America, Europe, and South America.
Rewards
Risk Analysis
Greenbrier Companies Competitors
Price History & Performance
| Historical stock prices | |
|---|---|
| Current Share Price | US$30.36 |
| 52 Week High | US$53.46 |
| 52 Week Low | US$28.01 |
| Beta | 1.31 |
| 1 Month Change | -10.86% |
| 3 Month Change | -28.13% |
| 1 Year Change | -30.32% |
| 3 Year Change | 19.15% |
| 5 Year Change | -33.86% |
| Change since IPO | 116.86% |
Recent News & Updates
Greenbrier announces new $150M term loan
The Greenbrier Companies (NYSE:GBX) announced that its Greenbrier Leasing subsidiary has entered a new $150M term loan to finance the continued growth of its leasing fleet. The new loan is non-recourse to Greenbrier, matures in July 2027 and has terms similar to Greenbrier Leasing's term loan completed in August 2021. Half of the loan amount was drawn at closing and the remaining balance is expected to be utilized in the next six months. Interest rates on Greenbrier's long-term debt are fixed at attractive levels, with no material debt maturities until 2026. Strong liquidity, combined with new railcar backlog valued at $3.6B as of May 31, 2022, and continued high lease fleet utilization, positions Greenbrier well to navigate current macroeconomic conditions.
Greenbrier Companies' (NYSE:GBX) Dividend Will Be $0.27
The board of The Greenbrier Companies, Inc. ( NYSE:GBX ) has announced that it will pay a dividend on the 18th of...
Shareholder Returns
| GBX | US Machinery | US Market | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 7D | -4.6% | -0.6% | 1.0% |
| 1Y | -30.3% | -12.9% | -12.9% |
Return vs Industry: GBX underperformed the US Machinery industry which returned -12.9% over the past year.
Return vs Market: GBX underperformed the US Market which returned -12.8% over the past year.
Price Volatility
| GBX volatility | |
|---|---|
| GBX Average Weekly Movement | 6.2% |
| Machinery Industry Average Movement | 6.0% |
| Market Average Movement | 7.9% |
| 10% most volatile stocks in US Market | 17.1% |
| 10% least volatile stocks in US Market | 3.2% |
Stable Share Price: GBX is not significantly more volatile than the rest of US stocks over the past 3 months, typically moving +/- 6% a week.
Volatility Over Time: GBX's weekly volatility (6%) has been stable over the past year.
About the Company
| Founded | Employees | CEO | Website |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1974 | 10,300 | Lorie Tekorius | https://www.gbrx.com |
The Greenbrier Companies, Inc. designs, manufactures, and markets railroad freight car equipment in North America, Europe, and South America. It operates through three segments: Manufacturing; Wheels, Repair & Parts; and Leasing & Services. The Manufacturing segment offers conventional railcars, such as covered hopper cars, boxcars, center partition cars, and bulkhead flat cars; tank cars; double-stack intermodal railcars; auto-max and multi-max products for the transportation of light vehicles; pressurized tank cars, non-pressurized tank cars, flat cars, coil cars, gondolas, sliding wall cars, and automobile transporter cars; and marine vessels.
Greenbrier Companies Fundamentals Summary
| GBX fundamental statistics | |
|---|---|
| Market Cap | US$989.36m |
| Earnings (TTM) | US$58.48m |
| Revenue (TTM) | US$2.63b |
16.9x
P/E Ratio0.4x
P/S RatioIs GBX overvalued?
See Fair Value and valuation analysisEarnings & Revenue
| GBX income statement (TTM) | |
|---|---|
| Revenue | US$2.63b |
| Cost of Revenue | US$2.30b |
| Gross Profit | US$276.81m |
| Other Expenses | US$218.33m |
| Earnings | US$58.48m |
Last Reported Earnings
May 31, 2022
Next Earnings Date
n/a
| Earnings per share (EPS) | 1.79 |
| Gross Margin | 10.54% |
| Net Profit Margin | 2.23% |
| Debt/Equity Ratio | 103.5% |
How did GBX perform over the long term?
See historical performance and comparisonDividends
3.6%
Current Dividend Yield60%
Payout RatioValuation
Is GBX undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?
Valuation Score
6/6Valuation Score 6/6
Price-To-Earnings vs Peers
Price-To-Earnings vs Industry
Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio
Below Fair Value
Significantly Below Fair Value
Analyst Forecast
Key Valuation Metric
Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for GBX?
Other financial metrics that can be useful for relative valuation.
| What is GBX's n/a Ratio? | |
|---|---|
| n/a Ratio | 0x |
| n/a | n/a |
| Market Cap | US$989.36m |
| Key Statistics | |
|---|---|
| Enterprise Value/Revenue | 0.9x |
| Enterprise Value/EBITDA | 13.6x |
| PEG Ratio | 0.3x |
Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers
How does GBX's PE Ratio compare to its peers?
| GBX PE Ratio vs Peers |
|---|
| Company | PE | Estimated Growth | Market Cap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Peer Average | 227x | ||
WNC Wabash National | 42.5x | 17.0% | US$864.2m |
PLOW Douglas Dynamics | 26.1x | 34.1% | US$761.9m |
REVG REV Group | 33.7x | 48.7% | US$700.6m |
SHYF Shyft Group | 21.3x | 64.7% | US$908.7m |
GBX Greenbrier Companies | 16.9x | 62.7% | US$989.4m |
Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: GBX is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (16.9x) compared to the peer average (227x).
Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry
How does GBX's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the US Machinery Industry?
Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: GBX is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (16.9x) compared to the US Machinery industry average (22.4x)
Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio
What is GBX's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.
| Fair Ratio | |
|---|---|
| Current PE Ratio | 16.9x |
| Fair PE Ratio | 49.5x |
Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: GBX is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (16.9x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (49.5x).
Share Price vs Fair Value
What is the Fair Price of GBX when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.
Below Fair Value: GBX ($30.36) is trading below our estimate of fair value ($43.44)
Significantly Below Fair Value: GBX is trading below fair value by more than 20%.
Analyst Price Targets
What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?
Analyst Forecast: Target price is more than 20% higher than the current share price and analysts are within a statistically confident range of agreement.
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Future Growth
How is Greenbrier Companies forecast to perform in the next 1 to 3 years based on estimates from 6 analysts?
Future Growth Score
4/6Future Growth Score 4/6
Earnings vs Savings Rate
Earnings vs Market
High Growth Earnings
Revenue vs Market
High Growth Revenue
Future ROE
62.7%
Forecasted annual earnings growth
Earnings and Revenue Growth Forecasts
Analyst Future Growth Forecasts
Earnings vs Savings Rate: GBX's forecast earnings growth (62.7% per year) is above the savings rate (1.9%).
Earnings vs Market: GBX's earnings (62.7% per year) are forecast to grow faster than the US market (12.8% per year).
High Growth Earnings: GBX's earnings are expected to grow significantly over the next 3 years.
Revenue vs Market: GBX's revenue (11.9% per year) is forecast to grow faster than the US market (7.9% per year).
High Growth Revenue: GBX's revenue (11.9% per year) is forecast to grow slower than 20% per year.
Earnings per Share Growth Forecasts
Future Return on Equity
Future ROE: Insufficient data to determine if GBX's Return on Equity is forecast to be high in 3 years time
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Past Performance
How has Greenbrier Companies performed over the past 5 years?
Past Performance Score
3/6Past Performance Score 3/6
Quality Earnings
Growing Profit Margin
Earnings Trend
Accelerating Growth
Earnings vs Industry
High ROE
-28.6%
Historical annual earnings growth
Earnings and Revenue History
Quality Earnings: GBX has a high level of non-cash earnings.
Growing Profit Margin: GBX's current net profit margins (2.2%) are higher than last year (0.03%).
Past Earnings Growth Analysis
Earnings Trend: GBX's earnings have declined by 28.6% per year over the past 5 years.
Accelerating Growth: GBX's earnings growth over the past year (9695.1%) exceeds its 5-year average (-28.6% per year).
Earnings vs Industry: GBX earnings growth over the past year (9695.1%) exceeded the Machinery industry 10.2%.
Return on Equity
High ROE: GBX's Return on Equity (4.1%) is considered low.
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Financial Health
How is Greenbrier Companies's financial position?
Financial Health Score
2/6Financial Health Score 2/6
Short Term Liabilities
Long Term Liabilities
Debt Level
Reducing Debt
Debt Coverage
Interest Coverage
Financial Position Analysis
Short Term Liabilities: GBX's short term assets ($2.0B) exceed its short term liabilities ($903.2M).
Long Term Liabilities: GBX's short term assets ($2.0B) exceed its long term liabilities ($1.3B).
Debt to Equity History and Analysis
Debt Level: GBX's net debt to equity ratio (71.7%) is considered high.
Reducing Debt: GBX's debt to equity ratio has increased from 46.7% to 103.5% over the past 5 years.
Debt Coverage: GBX's operating cash flow is negative, therefore debt is not well covered.
Interest Coverage: GBX's interest payments on its debt are not well covered by EBIT (1.2x coverage).
Balance Sheet
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Dividend
What is Greenbrier Companies's current dividend yield, its reliability and sustainability?
Dividend Score
2/6Dividend Score 2/6
Notable Dividend
High Dividend
Stable Dividend
Growing Dividend
Earnings Coverage
Cash Flow Coverage
3.56%
Current Dividend Yield
Dividend Yield vs Market
Notable Dividend: GBX's dividend (3.56%) is higher than the bottom 25% of dividend payers in the US market (1.52%).
High Dividend: GBX's dividend (3.56%) is low compared to the top 25% of dividend payers in the US market (4.09%).
Stability and Growth of Payments
Stable Dividend: Whilst dividend payments have been stable, GBX has been paying a dividend for less than 10 years.
Growing Dividend: GBX's dividend payments have increased, but the company has only paid a dividend for 8 years.
Earnings Payout to Shareholders
Earnings Coverage: With its reasonable payout ratio (60.1%), GBX's dividend payments are covered by earnings.
Cash Payout to Shareholders
Cash Flow Coverage: GBX is paying a dividend but the company has no free cash flows.
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Management
How experienced are the management team and are they aligned to shareholders interests?
9.5yrs
Average management tenure
CEO
Lorie Tekorius (55 yo)
3yrs
Tenure
US$3,095,786
Compensation
Ms. Lorie L. Tekorius is Principal Executive Officer at The Greenbrier Companies, Inc. since July 6, 2022. She serves as President at The Greenbrier Companies, Inc. since August 26, 2019 and Chief Executiv...
CEO Compensation Analysis
Compensation vs Market: Lorie's total compensation ($USD3.10M) is about average for companies of similar size in the US market ($USD3.94M).
Compensation vs Earnings: Lorie's compensation has been consistent with company performance over the past year.
Leadership Team
Experienced Management: GBX's management team is seasoned and experienced (9.5 years average tenure).
Board Members
Experienced Board: GBX's board of directors are considered experienced (5.2 years average tenure).
Ownership
Who are the major shareholders and have insiders been buying or selling?
Insider Trading Volume
Insider Buying: GBX insiders have sold more shares than they have bought in the past 3 months.
Recent Insider Transactions
Ownership Breakdown
Dilution of Shares: Shareholders have not been meaningfully diluted in the past year.
Top Shareholders
Company Information
The Greenbrier Companies, Inc.'s employee growth, exchange listings and data sources
Key Information
- Name: The Greenbrier Companies, Inc.
- Ticker: GBX
- Exchange: NYSE
- Founded: 1974
- Industry: Construction Machinery and Heavy Trucks
- Sector: Capital Goods
- Implied Market Cap: US$989.362m
- Shares outstanding: 32.59m
- Website: https://www.gbrx.com
Number of Employees
Location
- The Greenbrier Companies, Inc.
- One Centerpointe Drive
- Suite 200
- Lake Oswego
- Oregon
- 97035
- United States
Listings
Company Analysis and Financial Data Status
| Data | Last Updated (UTC time) |
|---|---|
| Company Analysis | 2022/08/06 00:00 |
| End of Day Share Price | 2022/08/05 00:00 |
| Earnings | 2022/05/31 |
| Annual Earnings | 2021/08/31 |
Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more here.