Aircastle Limited (NYSE:AYR), which is in the trade distributors business, and is based in United States, received a lot of attention from a substantial price movement on the NYSE over the last few months, increasing to $22.08 at one point, and dropping to the lows of $18.96. This high level of volatility gives investors the opportunity to enter into the stock, and potentially buy at an artificially low price. A question to answer is whether Aircastle’s current trading price of $19.43 reflective of the actual value of the small-cap? Or is it currently undervalued, providing us with the opportunity to buy? Let’s take a look at Aircastle’s outlook and value based on the most recent financial data to see if there are any catalysts for a price change.
Is Aircastle still cheap?Good news, investors! Aircastle is still a bargain right now. In this instance, I’ve used the price-to-equity (PE) ratio given that there is not enough information to reliably forecast the stock’s cash flows. I find that Aircastle’s ratio of 6.94x is below its peer average of 13.44x, which suggests the stock is undervalued compared to the Trade Distributors industry. However, given that Aircastle’s share is fairly volatile (i.e. its price movements are magnified relative to the rest of the market) this could mean the price can sink lower, giving us another chance to buy in the future. This is based on its high beta, which is a good indicator for share price volatility.
Can we expect growth from Aircastle?Investors looking for growth in their portfolio may want to consider the prospects of a company before buying its shares. Buying a great company with a robust outlook at a cheap price is always a good investment, so let’s also take a look at the company’s future expectations. However, with a negative profit growth of -11% expected over the next couple of years, near-term growth certainly doesn’t appear to be a driver for a buy decision for Aircastle. This certainty tips the risk-return scale towards higher risk.
What this means for you:
Are you a shareholder? Although AYR is currently undervalued, the negative outlook does bring on some uncertainty, which equates to higher risk. Consider whether you want to increase your portfolio exposure to AYR, or whether diversifying into another stock may be a better move for your total risk and return.
Are you a potential investor? If you’ve been keeping an eye on AYR for a while, but hesitant on making the leap, I recommend you research further into the stock. Given its current undervaluation, now is a great time to make a decision. But keep in mind the risks that come with negative growth prospects in the future.
Price is just the tip of the iceberg. Dig deeper into what truly matters – the fundamentals – before you make a decision on Aircastle. You can find everything you need to know about Aircastle in the latest infographic research report. If you are no longer interested in Aircastle, you can use our free platform to see my list of over 50 other stocks with a high growth potential.
To help readers see past the short term volatility of the financial market, we aim to bring you a long-term focused research analysis purely driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis does not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements.
The author is an independent contributor and at the time of publication had no position in the stocks mentioned. For errors that warrant correction please contact the editor at email@example.com.