Sunrun (RUN) Stock Overview
Designs, develops, installs, sells, owns, and maintains residential solar energy systems in the United States. More details
| Snowflake Score | |
|---|---|
| Valuation | 3/6 |
| Future Growth | 0/6 |
| Past Performance | 3/6 |
| Financial Health | 1/6 |
| Dividends | 0/6 |
Rewards
Risk Analysis
RUN Community Fair Values
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Analyst Price Targets
Top Community Narratives
US$19.09
FV
29.5% undervalued intrinsic discount117
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Sunrun Inc. Competitors
Price History & Performance
| Historical stock prices | |
|---|---|
| Current Share Price | US$13.46 |
| 52 Week High | US$22.44 |
| 52 Week Low | US$5.38 |
| Beta | 2.3 |
| 1 Month Change | -7.87% |
| 3 Month Change | 10.78% |
| 1 Year Change | 62.76% |
| 3 Year Change | -31.36% |
| 5 Year Change | -70.83% |
| Change since IPO | 24.98% |
Recent News & Updates
Narrative Update • Jun 05
RUN: Distribution Loss And Funding Strains Will Pressure Future Cash Generation
Sunrun's analyst fair value estimate has shifted slightly higher to $13.00 as analysts adjust models for softer revenue growth and margins, modestly higher discount rates, and a slightly richer future P/E, following a series of mixed price target changes across the Street, including both raises and cuts around recent sector and company specific developments. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research on Sunrun has leaned cautious, with several bearish analysts trimming price targets even as a few major firms maintain more constructive views.Seeking Alpha • May 23
Sunrun: Long-Term Growth Plan In Sight, But Needs To Strengthen Fundamentals In 2026
Summary Sunrun Inc. is rated hold, despite the cash flow analysis showing insolvency in the long term due to near-term operational headwinds and guidance risks. RUN's 2026 cash generation guidance is $250–$450 million, but it needs to grow this cash flow to meet its debt repayment obligations in the long term. Q1 2026 fundamentals were weak: subscriber additions fell 25% YoY, installed solar capacity dropped 19%, and storage capacity declined 15%. RUN's focus on high-margin solar installations, battery storage, and direct business is expected to strengthen its balance sheet into 2026 and beyond. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaRecent updates
Narrative Update • Jun 05
RUN: Distribution Loss And Funding Strains Will Pressure Future Cash Generation
Sunrun's analyst fair value estimate has shifted slightly higher to $13.00 as analysts adjust models for softer revenue growth and margins, modestly higher discount rates, and a slightly richer future P/E, following a series of mixed price target changes across the Street, including both raises and cuts around recent sector and company specific developments. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research on Sunrun has leaned cautious, with several bearish analysts trimming price targets even as a few major firms maintain more constructive views.Seeking Alpha • May 23
Sunrun: Long-Term Growth Plan In Sight, But Needs To Strengthen Fundamentals In 2026
Summary Sunrun Inc. is rated hold, despite the cash flow analysis showing insolvency in the long term due to near-term operational headwinds and guidance risks. RUN's 2026 cash generation guidance is $250–$450 million, but it needs to grow this cash flow to meet its debt repayment obligations in the long term. Q1 2026 fundamentals were weak: subscriber additions fell 25% YoY, installed solar capacity dropped 19%, and storage capacity declined 15%. RUN's focus on high-margin solar installations, battery storage, and direct business is expected to strengthen its balance sheet into 2026 and beyond. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Narrative Update • May 04
RUN: Storage And Grid Services Cash Generation Will Support Post Incentive Equity Upside
The analyst fair value estimate for Sunrun has been revised from about $22.20 to roughly $19.67, as analysts factor in lower price targets across the Street and mixed views on cash generation, growth in solar originations, and valuation. Analyst Commentary Recent research shows a split view on Sunrun, with several firms trimming price targets while a few highlight potential upside tied to cash generation and operational changes.
Narrative Update • Apr 20
RUN: Cash Generation And Asset Monetization Will Drive Future Residential Ownership Story
Analysts have nudged their Sunrun price target slightly lower to about $29.48 from $30, citing a mix of adjusted cash flow expectations, pressure on profit margins, distribution channel concerns, and updated P/E assumptions following a series of recent target cuts and rating changes across the Street. Analyst Commentary Street research around Sunrun has been active, with a mix of target cuts, rating changes, and a few higher targets that reflect differing views on cash generation, valuation, and execution.Narrative Update • Apr 05
RUN: Cash Generation And Asset Monetization Will Reshape Residential Ownership Story
Sunrun's analyst fair value estimate has been reset from $27.00 to $30.00, reflecting a combination of lowered Street price targets and revised views on cash generation, growth, and profitability assumptions across recent research updates. Analyst Commentary Recent research updates on Sunrun show a wide spread in opinions, with some firms cutting targets sharply while others highlight improving cash generation and operational execution.Narrative Update • Mar 22
RUN: Financing Complexity And Grid Projects Will Shape Future Cash Generation Potential
Sunrun's analyst fair value estimate has been revised down from $16.37 to $12.81 as analysts factor in lower solar origination growth, a more muted revenue outlook, and slightly softer margin expectations, despite mixed views on long term cash generation and valuation. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research on Sunrun highlights a split view, with a cluster of reduced price targets and rating downgrades offset by some more constructive opinions that emphasize cash generation and operational progress.Narrative Update • Mar 07
RUN: Asset Monetization And Cash Generation Will Support Post Incentive Equity Upside
Narrative Update on Sunrun The analyst price target in our model moves slightly lower from $22.74 to $22.20 as analysts temper revenue growth and profit margin assumptions and point to elevated valuation compared with peers, while also highlighting cash generation and asset monetization as key supports. Analyst Commentary Recent research on Sunrun is mixed, with some analysts encouraged by cash generation and asset monetization, while others focus on valuation risk and forecasting uncertainties.Narrative Update • Feb 21
RUN: Financing Complexity Will Likely Limit Returns Despite Expanding Distributed Power Programs
Analysts have trimmed their Sunrun price target by $1 to $19 and maintained a more cautious, hold‑style stance, citing the stock's complex mix of utility-like operations and specialty financing exposure as key reasons for the reassessment. Analyst Commentary Recent research commentary on Sunrun points to a more cautious stance, with analysts highlighting the stock's complexity and the challenges that can come with its mix of utility-style operations and specialty financing structures.Narrative Update • Feb 07
RUN: Financing Complexity And Execution Risks Will Likely Cap Future Upside
Narrative Update Analysts have made a modest upward adjustment to their Sunrun fair value estimate, from about US$16.26 to roughly US$16.37, citing updated assumptions for revenue growth, profit margins, and a lower future P/E multiple following recent research that includes a revised US$19 price target and a Market Perform stance. Analyst Commentary Recent research on Sunrun reflects a cautious stance from several bearish analysts, who see the stock as complex and exposed to execution and valuation risks.Narrative Update • Jan 24
RUN: Residential Third Party Ownership And New Partnerships Will Reshape Equity Story
Our Sunrun narrative fair value moves from US$29.36 to US$27.00 as analysts weigh mixed recent research, with some pointing to improved revenue growth and margin assumptions while others adopt more cautious price targets and ratings. Analyst Commentary Recent research on Sunrun reflects a split view, with some analysts focusing on structural complexity and others highlighting potential upside tied to execution and policy support.Narrative Update • Jan 09
RUN: Residential Solar Partnerships And Capital Returns Will Reshape Equity Story
Analysts have raised their fair value estimate for Sunrun from US$23.58 to US$29.36, citing a combination of higher target prices, updated discount rates, and revised expectations for growth, margins, and future P/E multiples across recent research. Analyst Commentary Recent research shows a cluster of bullish analysts lifting price targets and upgrading their views on Sunrun, even as some remain more cautious.Narrative Update • Dec 14
RUN: Policy Tailwinds May Prove Insufficient To Sustain Current Share Price
The Analyst Price Target for Sunrun has been raised significantly to $30 from $20, as analysts point to stronger long term revenue growth, improving profit margins, and a higher justified earnings multiple supported by favorable policy tailwinds and growing residential solar demand. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research on Sunrun reflects a generally constructive outlook, with a series of price target increases and upgrades signaling renewed confidence in the company’s long term earnings power and its positioning in residential solar.Narrative Update • Nov 29
RUN: Third-Party Ownership Will Accelerate Gains Following Clean Energy Incentive Expiry
Sunrun's analyst price targets have notably increased, with the fair value estimate rising from $22.39 to $22.74 per share. Analysts cite regulatory tailwinds and the company's advantageous position amid evolving clean energy incentives.Narrative Update • Nov 15
RUN: Residential Policy Shifts Will Drive Demand For Third-Party Solar Ownership
Analysts have increased their price target for Sunrun from approximately $21.03 to $22.39 per share. This change reflects improved profit margin projections and optimism around the company’s positioning as residential solar policy shifts unfold.Analysis Article • Nov 09
Earnings Miss: Sunrun Inc. Missed EPS By 58% And Analysts Are Revising Their Forecasts
It's been a mediocre week for Sunrun Inc. ( NASDAQ:RUN ) shareholders, with the stock dropping 17% to US$17.13 in the...Narrative Update • Oct 31
RUN: Supportive Policy Changes And Market Demand Will Drive Mixed Outcomes Ahead
Sunrun’s fair value estimate has been raised from $19.39 to $21.03 per share. Analysts cite improved sector tailwinds, anticipated policy benefits, and accelerating growth expectations for the residential solar leader as the main reasons for this increase.Narrative Update • Oct 17
Grid And Solar Services Will Shape Future Energy Landscape
Sunrun's fair value estimate has been raised from $17.18 to $19.39. Analysts cite increased confidence in long-term cash flow visibility, capital return potential, and improved policy clarity as supportive factors for the higher price target.Analysis Article • Oct 10
What Sunrun Inc.'s (NASDAQ:RUN) 27% Share Price Gain Is Not Telling You
Despite an already strong run, Sunrun Inc. ( NASDAQ:RUN ) shares have been powering on, with a gain of 27% in the last...Narrative Update • Oct 03
Grid And Solar Services Will Shape Future Energy Landscape
Sunrun's analyst price target has increased from approximately $15.92 to $17.18 per share. This change reflects recent upgrades and expanded long-term visibility cited by analysts.Narrative Update • Sep 13
Grid And Solar Services Will Shape Future Energy Landscape
Sunrun’s analyst price target was raised as recent regulatory changes improved solar tax credit visibility and reduced key policy risks, resulting in a modest fair value increase from $15.29 to $15.92. Analyst Commentary Regulatory changes preserved the solar investment tax credit (ITC) for residential leasing, providing a lifeline to Sunrun’s core business model and offsetting near-term risks previously expected from potential policy rollbacks.Narrative Update • Aug 27
Grid And Solar Services Will Shape Future Energy Landscape
Analysts have increased Sunrun’s price target as favorable U.S. Treasury and Senate guidance has extended key tax credits and removed regulatory overhangs, outweighing ongoing cost and regulatory risks, resulting in a revised fair value of $15.29. Analyst Commentary Recent U.S. Treasury guidance maintains favorable tax credit treatment for residential solar, removing anticipated restrictions and providing regulatory clarity, which is positive for Sunrun.Narrative Update • Aug 08
Grid And Solar Services Will Shape Future Energy Landscape
Sunrun's consensus price target was modestly raised to $14.00 as analysts cited alleviated regulatory risks from favorable Senate bill revisions, extended tax credit eligibility for solar leases, and improved industry outlook, though ongoing operational and regulatory challenges temper valuation upside. Analyst Commentary Removal of proposed tax credit elimination for leased solar equipment and excise taxes in the latest Senate bill significantly alleviates regulatory risk and allows key residential solar business models to remain viable.Analysis Article • Jun 13
Sunrun Inc. (NASDAQ:RUN) Not Doing Enough For Some Investors As Its Shares Slump 29%
The Sunrun Inc. ( NASDAQ:RUN ) share price has softened a substantial 29% over the previous 30 days, handing back much...Analysis Article • Apr 29
Sunrun Inc. (NASDAQ:RUN) Held Back By Insufficient Growth Even After Shares Climb 26%
Sunrun Inc. ( NASDAQ:RUN ) shareholders are no doubt pleased to see that the share price has bounced 26% in the last...
New Narrative • Mar 22
Optimizing Product Mix And AI Investments Will Improve Efficiency By 2025
Sunrun's strategic focus on high-quality growth and cost management boosts cash generation and expands net margins.Seeking Alpha • Mar 21
Sunrun: Financials Are Too Risky For Me
Summary Sunrun Inc.'s Q4 sales were flat, missing estimates, and the company faced a significant non-cash impairment charge due to Vivint Solar's investment. The company operates with negative gross margins, mounting losses, and a massive debt burden, raising concerns about its financial stability. Despite a positive outlook for the solar market, Sunrun's revised cash generation forecast and ongoing debt issues make me skeptical about its profitability. Given the high risk and uncertainty, I will stay on the sidelines and not invest in RUN stock at this time. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaAnalysis Article • Feb 24
Benign Growth For Sunrun Inc. (NASDAQ:RUN) Underpins Its Share Price
Sunrun Inc.'s ( NASDAQ:RUN ) price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 0.9x might make it look like a buy right now compared...Seeking Alpha • Jan 08
Sunrun: A Struggling Company With More Trouble Ahead
Summary The company faces significant risks from fluctuating interest rates, which could impact its sales as potential customers may delay purchases if rates remain high, making financing more expensive compared to. Sunrun's profitability remains below sector medians, with concerns raised about its long-term ability to improve its financial metrics, as highlighted by a Seeking Alpha warning in November 2024. The company has a high short interest (over 23%), indicating investor skepticism about its future growth. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaSeeking Alpha • Dec 26
Sunrun: Burning Through Cash With Significant Balance Sheet Concerns
Summary Sunrun faces significant financial challenges, including substantial debt and ongoing operating losses, making its current valuation unsustainable and risky for investors. Despite growth in storage installations and customer additions, Sunrun's profitability remains elusive, with missed revenue and EPS targets in the recent quarter. The company's reliance on government policies, like the IRA and solar tax credits, adds uncertainty, especially with potential political changes. Given the overleveraged balance sheet, limited insider ownership, and high valuation multiples, I rate Sunrun stock as a 'sell'. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaShareholder Returns
| RUN | US Electrical | US Market | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 7D | -13.6% | -3.4% | -2.5% |
| 1Y | 62.8% | 70.0% | 22.7% |
Return vs Industry: RUN underperformed the US Electrical industry which returned 70% over the past year.
Return vs Market: RUN exceeded the US Market which returned 22.7% over the past year.
Price Volatility
| RUN volatility | |
|---|---|
| RUN Average Weekly Movement | 9.7% |
| Electrical Industry Average Movement | 12.8% |
| Market Average Movement | 7.2% |
| 10% most volatile stocks in US Market | 16.6% |
| 10% least volatile stocks in US Market | 3.1% |
Stable Share Price: RUN has not had significant price volatility in the past 3 months compared to the US market.
Volatility Over Time: RUN's weekly volatility has decreased from 15% to 10% over the past year.
About the Company
| Founded | Employees | CEO | Website |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2007 | 9,059 | Mary Powell | www.sunrun.com |
Sunrun Inc. designs, develops, installs, sells, owns, and maintains residential solar energy systems in the United States. The company sells solar energy systems and products, such as panels and racking; and solar leads generated to customers. It offers battery storage along with solar energy systems; and sells services to commercial developers through multi-family and new homes.
Sunrun Inc. Fundamentals Summary
| RUN fundamental statistics | |
|---|---|
| Market cap | US$3.19b |
| Earnings (TTM) | US$565.28m |
| Revenue (TTM) | US$3.17b |
5.7x
P/E Ratio1.0x
P/S RatioIs RUN overvalued?
See Fair Value and valuation analysisEarnings & Revenue
| RUN income statement (TTM) | |
|---|---|
| Revenue | US$3.17b |
| Cost of Revenue | US$2.16b |
| Gross Profit | US$1.02b |
| Other Expenses | US$452.98m |
| Earnings | US$565.28m |
Last Reported Earnings
Mar 31, 2026
Next Earnings Date
n/a
| Earnings per share (EPS) | 2.37 |
| Gross Margin | 32.07% |
| Net Profit Margin | 17.80% |
| Debt/Equity Ratio | 298.7% |
How did RUN perform over the long term?
See historical performance and comparisonCompany Analysis and Financial Data Status
| Data | Last Updated (UTC time) |
|---|---|
| Company Analysis | 2026/06/08 00:58 |
| End of Day Share Price | 2026/06/08 00:00 |
| Earnings | 2026/03/31 |
| Annual Earnings | 2025/12/31 |
Data Sources
The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.
| Package | Data | Timeframe | Example US Source * |
|---|---|---|---|
| Company Financials | 10 years |
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| Analyst Consensus Estimates | +3 years |
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| Market Prices | 30 years |
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| Ownership | 10 years |
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| Management | 10 years |
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| Key Developments | 10 years |
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* Example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.
Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more.
Analysis Model and Snowflake
Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.
Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.
Industry and Sector Metrics
Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on Github.
Analyst Sources
Sunrun Inc. is covered by 34 analysts. 20 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.
| Analyst | Institution |
|---|---|
| Christine Cho | Barclays |
| Moses Sutton | Barclays |
| Ameet Thakkar | BMO Capital Markets Equity Research |