HD Supply Holdings, Inc.’s (NASDAQ:HDS) Most Important Factor To Consider

If you are currently a shareholder in HD Supply Holdings, Inc. (NASDAQ:HDS), or considering investing in the stock, you need to examine how the business generates cash, and how it is reinvested. After investment, what’s left over is what belongs to you, the investor. This also determines how much the stock is worth. I’ve analysed below, the health and outlook of HD Supply Holdings’s cash flow, which will help you understand the stock from a cash standpoint. Cash is an important concept to grasp as an investor, as it directly impacts the value of your shares and the future growth potential of your portfolio.

View our latest analysis for HD Supply Holdings

What is HD Supply Holdings’s cash yield?

HD Supply Holdings generates cash through its day-to-day business, which needs to be reinvested into the company in order for it to continue operating. What remains after this expenditure, is known as its free cash flow, or FCF, for short.

The two ways to assess whether HD Supply Holdings’s FCF is sufficient, is to compare the FCF yield to the market index yield, as well as determine whether the top-line operating cash flows will continue to grow.

Free Cash Flow = Operating Cash Flows – Net Capital Expenditure

Free Cash Flow Yield = Free Cash Flow / Enterprise Value

where Enterprise Value = Market Capitalisation + Net Debt

Along with a positive operating cash flow, HD Supply Holdings also generates a positive free cash flow. However, the yield of 4.77% is not sufficient to compensate for the level of risk investors are taking on. This is because HD Supply Holdings’s yield is well-below the market yield, in addition to serving higher risk compared to the well-diversified market index.

NasdaqGS:HDS Balance Sheet Net Worth, March 4th 2019
NasdaqGS:HDS Balance Sheet Net Worth, March 4th 2019

Is HD Supply Holdings’s yield sustainable?

Does HD Supply Holdings’s future look brighter in terms of its ability to generate higher operating cash flows? This can be estimated by examining the trend of the company’s operating cash flow moving forward. In the next few years, a double-digit growth in operating cash of 25% is expected. The future seems buoyant if HD Supply Holdings can maintain its levels of capital expenditure as well. Below is a table of HD Supply Holdings’s operating cash flow in the past year, as well as the anticipated level going forward.
Current +1 year +2 year +3 year
Operating Cash Flow (OCF) US$561m US$622m US$644m US$699m
OCF Growth Year-On-Year 11% 3.5% 8.5%
OCF Growth From Current Year 15% 25%

Next Steps:

Low free cash flow yield means you are not currently well-compensated for the risk you’re taking on by holding onto HD Supply Holdings relative to a well-diversified market index. However, the high growth in operating cash flow may change the tides in the future. Keep in mind that cash is only one aspect of investment analysis and there are other important fundamentals to assess. I recommend you continue to research HD Supply Holdings to get a better picture of the company by looking at:

  1. Valuation: What is HDS worth today? Is the stock undervalued, even when its growth outlook is factored into its intrinsic value? The intrinsic value infographic in our free research report helps visualize whether HDS is currently mispriced by the market.
  2. Management Team: An experienced management team on the helm increases our confidence in the business – take a look at who sits on HD Supply Holdings’s board and the CEO’s back ground.
  3. Other High-Performing Stocks: If you believe you should cushion your portfolio with something less risky, scroll through our free list of these great stocks here.

We aim to bring you long-term focused research analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material.

If you spot an error that warrants correction, please contact the editor at editorial-team@simplywallst.com. This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. Simply Wall St has no position in the stocks mentioned. Thank you for reading.