BLBD Stock Overview
Blue Bird Corporation designs, engineers, manufactures, and sells school buses and related parts in the United States, Canada, and internationally.
Blue Bird Competitors
Price History & Performance
|Historical stock prices|
|Current Share Price||US$11.73|
|52 Week High||US$25.87|
|52 Week Low||US$8.41|
|1 Month Change||26.54%|
|3 Month Change||-24.23%|
|1 Year Change||-50.32%|
|3 Year Change||-37.04%|
|5 Year Change||-31.80%|
|Change since IPO||22.57%|
Recent News & Updates
|BLBD||US Machinery||US Market|
Return vs Industry: BLBD underperformed the US Machinery industry which returned -12.9% over the past year.
Return vs Market: BLBD underperformed the US Market which returned -12.8% over the past year.
|BLBD Average Weekly Movement||8.2%|
|Machinery Industry Average Movement||6.0%|
|Market Average Movement||7.9%|
|10% most volatile stocks in US Market||17.1%|
|10% least volatile stocks in US Market||3.2%|
Stable Share Price: BLBD is not significantly more volatile than the rest of US stocks over the past 3 months, typically moving +/- 8% a week.
Volatility Over Time: BLBD's weekly volatility (8%) has been stable over the past year.
About the Company
Blue Bird Corporation designs, engineers, manufactures, and sells school buses and related parts in the United States, Canada, and internationally. It operates through two segments, Bus and Parts. The company offers Type C, Type D, and specialty buses; and alternative fuel applications through its propane powered, gasoline powered, compressed natural gas powered, and electric powered school buses.
Blue Bird Fundamentals Summary
|BLBD fundamental statistics|
Is BLBD overvalued?See Fair Value and valuation analysis
Earnings & Revenue
|BLBD income statement (TTM)|
|Cost of Revenue||US$665.86m|
Last Reported Earnings
Apr 02, 2022
Next Earnings Date
Aug 10, 2022
|Earnings per share (EPS)||-0.45|
|Net Profit Margin||-1.97%|
How did BLBD perform over the long term?See historical performance and comparison
Is BLBD undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?
Valuation Score 5/6
Price-To-Sales vs Peers
Price-To-Sales vs Industry
Price-To-Sales vs Fair Ratio
Below Fair Value
Significantly Below Fair Value
Key Valuation Metric
Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for BLBD?
Other financial metrics that can be useful for relative valuation.
|What is BLBD's n/a Ratio?|
Price to Sales Ratio vs Peers
How does BLBD's PS Ratio compare to its peers?
|BLBD PS Ratio vs Peers|
|Company||PS||Estimated Growth||Market Cap|
MTW Manitowoc Company
ZEV Lightning eMotors
MLR Miller Industries
BLBD Blue Bird
Price-To-Sales vs Peers: BLBD is good value based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (0.5x) compared to the peer average (10.7x).
Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry
How does BLBD's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the US Machinery Industry?
Price-To-Sales vs Industry: BLBD is good value based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (0.5x) compared to the US Machinery industry average (1.5x)
Price to Sales Ratio vs Fair Ratio
What is BLBD's PS Ratio compared to its Fair PS Ratio? This is the expected PS Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.
|Current PS Ratio||0.5x|
|Fair PS Ratio||0.9x|
Price-To-Sales vs Fair Ratio: BLBD is good value based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (0.5x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Sales Ratio (0.9x).
Share Price vs Fair Value
What is the Fair Price of BLBD when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.
Below Fair Value: BLBD ($11.73) is trading below our estimate of fair value ($99.39)
Significantly Below Fair Value: BLBD is trading below fair value by more than 20%.
Analyst Price Targets
What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?
Analyst Forecast: Target price is more than 20% higher than the current share price, but analysts are not within a statistically confident range of agreement.
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How is Blue Bird forecast to perform in the next 1 to 3 years based on estimates from 3 analysts?
Future Growth Score5/6
Future Growth Score 5/6
Earnings vs Savings Rate
Earnings vs Market
High Growth Earnings
Revenue vs Market
High Growth Revenue
Forecasted annual earnings growth
Earnings and Revenue Growth Forecasts
Analyst Future Growth Forecasts
Earnings vs Savings Rate: BLBD is forecast to become profitable over the next 3 years, which is considered faster growth than the savings rate (1.9%).
Earnings vs Market: BLBD is forecast to become profitable over the next 3 years, which is considered above average market growth.
High Growth Earnings: BLBD is expected to become profitable in the next 3 years.
Revenue vs Market: BLBD's revenue (20.8% per year) is forecast to grow faster than the US market (7.9% per year).
High Growth Revenue: BLBD's revenue (20.8% per year) is forecast to grow faster than 20% per year.
Earnings per Share Growth Forecasts
Future Return on Equity
Future ROE: Insufficient data to determine if BLBD's Return on Equity is forecast to be high in 3 years time
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How has Blue Bird performed over the past 5 years?
Past Performance Score0/6
Past Performance Score 0/6
Growing Profit Margin
Earnings vs Industry
Historical annual earnings growth
Earnings and Revenue History
Quality Earnings: BLBD is currently unprofitable.
Growing Profit Margin: BLBD is currently unprofitable.
Past Earnings Growth Analysis
Earnings Trend: BLBD is unprofitable, and losses have increased over the past 5 years at a rate of 22.7% per year.
Accelerating Growth: Unable to compare BLBD's earnings growth over the past year to its 5-year average as it is currently unprofitable
Earnings vs Industry: BLBD is unprofitable, making it difficult to compare its past year earnings growth to the Machinery industry (10.2%).
Return on Equity
High ROE: BLBD has a negative Return on Equity (-51.8%), as it is currently unprofitable.
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How is Blue Bird's financial position?
Financial Health Score2/6
Financial Health Score 2/6
Short Term Liabilities
Long Term Liabilities
Financial Position Analysis
Short Term Liabilities: BLBD's short term assets ($194.6M) exceed its short term liabilities ($168.9M).
Long Term Liabilities: BLBD's short term assets ($194.6M) do not cover its long term liabilities ($201.4M).
Debt to Equity History and Analysis
Debt Level: BLBD's net debt to equity ratio (515.9%) is considered high.
Reducing Debt: BLBD had negative shareholder equity 5 years ago, but is now positive and has therefore improved.
Debt Coverage: BLBD's operating cash flow is negative, therefore debt is not well covered.
Interest Coverage: Insufficient data to determine if BLBD's interest payments on its debt are well covered by EBIT.
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What is Blue Bird current dividend yield, its reliability and sustainability?
Dividend Score 0/6
Cash Flow Coverage
Dividend Yield vs Market
Notable Dividend: Unable to evaluate BLBD's dividend yield against the bottom 25% of dividend payers, as the company has not reported any recent payouts.
High Dividend: Unable to evaluate BLBD's dividend yield against the top 25% of dividend payers, as the company has not reported any recent payouts.
Stability and Growth of Payments
Stable Dividend: Insufficient data to determine if BLBD's dividends per share have been stable in the past.
Growing Dividend: Insufficient data to determine if BLBD's dividend payments have been increasing.
Earnings Payout to Shareholders
Earnings Coverage: Insufficient data to calculate payout ratio to determine if its dividend payments are covered by earnings.
Cash Payout to Shareholders
Cash Flow Coverage: Unable to calculate sustainability of dividends as BLBD has not reported any payouts.
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How experienced are the management team and are they aligned to shareholders interests?
Average management tenure
Matt Stevenson (43 yo)
Mr. Matthew J. Stevenson, also known as Matt, serves as President at Blue Bird Corporation since July 1, 2021 and also serves as Chief Executive Officer and Director since November 1, 2021. He served as Pr...
Experienced Management: BLBD's management team is not considered experienced ( 0.8 years average tenure), which suggests a new team.
Experienced Board: BLBD's board of directors are considered experienced (5.8 years average tenure).
Who are the major shareholders and have insiders been buying or selling?
Insider Trading Volume
Insider Buying: Insufficient data to determine if insiders have bought more shares than they have sold in the past 3 months.
Recent Insider Transactions
Dilution of Shares: Shareholders have been diluted in the past year, with total shares outstanding growing by 17.8%.
Blue Bird Corporation's employee growth, exchange listings and data sources
- Name: Blue Bird Corporation
- Ticker: BLBD
- Exchange: NasdaqGM
- Founded: 1927
- Industry: Construction Machinery and Heavy Trucks
- Sector: Capital Goods
- Implied Market Cap: US$375.253m
- Shares outstanding: 31.99m
- Website: https://www.blue-bird.com
Number of Employees
- Blue Bird Corporation
- 3920 Arkwright Road
- 2nd Floor
- United States
Company Analysis and Financial Data Status
|Data||Last Updated (UTC time)|
|Company Analysis||2022/08/06 00:00|
|End of Day Share Price||2022/08/05 00:00|
Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more here.