Stock Analysis

If You Had Bought AeroVironment (NASDAQ:AVAV) Stock Five Years Ago, You Could Pocket A 405% Gain Today

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NasdaqGS:AVAV
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Long term investing can be life changing when you buy and hold the truly great businesses. While not every stock performs well, when investors win, they can win big. Just think about the savvy investors who held AeroVironment, Inc. (NASDAQ:AVAV) shares for the last five years, while they gained 405%. If that doesn't get you thinking about long term investing, we don't know what will. Also pleasing for shareholders was the 53% gain in the last three months.

Check out our latest analysis for AeroVironment

While markets are a powerful pricing mechanism, share prices reflect investor sentiment, not just underlying business performance. One imperfect but simple way to consider how the market perception of a company has shifted is to compare the change in the earnings per share (EPS) with the share price movement.

Over half a decade, AeroVironment managed to grow its earnings per share at 32% a year. So the EPS growth rate is rather close to the annualized share price gain of 38% per year. That suggests that the market sentiment around the company hasn't changed much over that time. In fact, the share price seems to largely reflect the EPS growth.

The image below shows how EPS has tracked over time (if you click on the image you can see greater detail).

earnings-per-share-growth
NasdaqGS:AVAV Earnings Per Share Growth February 21st 2021

Dive deeper into AeroVironment's key metrics by checking this interactive graph of AeroVironment's earnings, revenue and cash flow.

A Different Perspective

We're pleased to report that AeroVironment shareholders have received a total shareholder return of 99% over one year. That's better than the annualised return of 38% over half a decade, implying that the company is doing better recently. Given the share price momentum remains strong, it might be worth taking a closer look at the stock, lest you miss an opportunity. While it is well worth considering the different impacts that market conditions can have on the share price, there are other factors that are even more important. Consider for instance, the ever-present spectre of investment risk. We've identified 2 warning signs with AeroVironment , and understanding them should be part of your investment process.

For those who like to find winning investments this free list of growing companies with recent insider purchasing, could be just the ticket.

Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on US exchanges.

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