Stock Analysis

Old National Bancorp (NASDAQ:ONB) Has Affirmed Its Dividend Of $0.14

NasdaqGS:ONB
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Old National Bancorp (NASDAQ:ONB) will pay a dividend of $0.14 on the 15th of December. Based on this payment, the dividend yield will be 2.8%, which is fairly typical for the industry.

Check out the opportunities and risks within the US Banks industry.

Old National Bancorp's Dividend Forecasted To Be Well Covered By Earnings

We aren't too impressed by dividend yields unless they can be sustained over time.

Old National Bancorp has a long history of paying out dividends, with its current track record at a minimum of 10 years. Past distributions do not necessarily guarantee future ones, but Old National Bancorp's payout ratio of 50% is a good sign as this means that earnings decently cover dividends.

Looking forward, EPS is forecast to rise by 99.3% over the next 3 years. Analysts estimate the future payout ratio will be 28% over the same time period, which is in the range that makes us comfortable with the sustainability of the dividend.

historic-dividend
NasdaqGS:ONB Historic Dividend November 6th 2022

Old National Bancorp Has A Solid Track Record

The company has a sustained record of paying dividends with very little fluctuation. Since 2012, the dividend has gone from $0.36 total annually to $0.56. This means that it has been growing its distributions at 4.5% per annum over that time. Dividends have grown relatively slowly, which is not great, but some investors may value the relative consistency of the dividend.

The Dividend's Growth Prospects Are Limited

Investors who have held shares in the company for the past few years will be happy with the dividend income they have received. Let's not jump to conclusions as things might not be as good as they appear on the surface. Old National Bancorp has seen earnings per share falling at 3.1% per year over the last five years. If earnings continue declining, the company may have to make the difficult choice of reducing the dividend or even stopping it completely - the opposite of dividend growth. It's not all bad news though, as the earnings are predicted to rise over the next 12 months - we would just be a bit cautious until this can turn into a longer term trend.

An additional note is that the company has been raising capital by issuing stock equal to 77% of shares outstanding in the last 12 months. Trying to grow the dividend when issuing new shares reminds us of the ancient Greek tale of Sisyphus - perpetually pushing a boulder uphill. Companies that consistently issue new shares are often suboptimal from a dividend perspective.

Our Thoughts On Old National Bancorp's Dividend

In summary, we are pleased with the dividend remaining consistent, and we think there is a good chance of this continuing in the future. While the payments look sustainable for now, earnings have been shrinking so the dividend could come under pressure in the future. The dividend looks okay, but there have been some issues in the past, so we would be a little bit cautious.

Investors generally tend to favour companies with a consistent, stable dividend policy as opposed to those operating an irregular one. Meanwhile, despite the importance of dividend payments, they are not the only factors our readers should know when assessing a company. For example, we've identified 2 warning signs for Old National Bancorp (1 is a bit concerning!) that you should be aware of before investing. Is Old National Bancorp not quite the opportunity you were looking for? Why not check out our selection of top dividend stocks.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.