NasdaqGS:CBSH

Stock Analysis Report

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Executive Summary

Commerce Bancshares, Inc. operates as the bank holding company for Commerce Bank that provides retail, mortgage banking, corporate, investment, trust, and asset management products and services to individuals and businesses. More Details

Rewards

Earnings are forecast to grow 15.05% per year

Pays a reliable dividend of 1.92%

Risk Analysis

No risks detected for CBSH from our risk checks.


Snowflake Analysis

Flawless balance sheet established dividend payer.


Similar Companies

Share Price & News

How has Commerce Bancshares's share price performed over time and what events caused price changes?


Latest Share Price and Events

Stable Share Price: CBSH has not had significant price volatility in the past 3 months.


Market Performance


7 Day Return

1.6%

CBSH

-0.8%

US Banks

1.0%

US Market


1 Year Return

-2.8%

CBSH

-26.3%

US Banks

13.6%

US Market

Return vs Industry: CBSH exceeded the US Banks industry which returned -26.3% over the past year.

Return vs Market: CBSH underperformed the US Market which returned 13.6% over the past year.


Shareholder returns

CBSHIndustryMarket
7 Day1.6%-0.8%1.0%
30 Day-4.5%-0.8%-0.4%
90 Day-9.2%-3.1%8.9%
1 Year-1.1%-2.8%-23.7%-26.3%16.2%13.6%
3 Year20.7%15.0%-15.1%-22.1%40.2%30.8%
5 Year71.4%57.8%21.7%6.6%89.6%68.2%

Price Volatility Vs. Market

How volatile is Commerce Bancshares's share price compared to the market and industry in the last 5 years?


Simply Wall St News

Valuation

Is Commerce Bancshares undervalued compared to its fair value and its price relative to the market?

21.17x

Price to Earnings (PE) ratio


Share Price vs. Fair Value

Below Fair Value: CBSH ($56.13) is trading above our estimate of fair value ($44.92)

Significantly Below Fair Value: CBSH is trading above our estimate of fair value.


Price To Earnings Ratio

PE vs Industry: CBSH is poor value based on its PE Ratio (21.2x) compared to the US Banks industry average (9.8x).

PE vs Market: CBSH is poor value based on its PE Ratio (21.2x) compared to the US market (18.4x).


Price to Earnings Growth Ratio

PEG Ratio: CBSH is poor value based on its PEG Ratio (1.4x)


Price to Book Ratio

PB vs Industry: CBSH is overvalued based on its PB Ratio (2x) compared to the US Banks industry average (0.8x).


Next Steps

Future Growth

How is Commerce Bancshares forecast to perform in the next 1 to 3 years based on estimates from 9 analysts?

15.0%

Forecasted annual earnings growth


Earnings and Revenue Growth Forecasts


Analyst Future Growth Forecasts

Earnings vs Savings Rate: CBSH's forecast earnings growth (15% per year) is above the savings rate (2.2%).

Earnings vs Market: CBSH's earnings (15% per year) are forecast to grow slower than the US market (23.2% per year).

High Growth Earnings: CBSH's earnings are forecast to grow, but not significantly.

Revenue vs Market: CBSH's revenue (2.2% per year) is forecast to grow slower than the US market (9.7% per year).

High Growth Revenue: CBSH's revenue (2.2% per year) is forecast to grow slower than 20% per year.


Earnings per Share Growth Forecasts


Future Return on Equity

Future ROE: CBSH's Return on Equity is forecast to be low in 3 years time (10.2%).


Next Steps

Past Performance

How has Commerce Bancshares performed over the past 5 years?

11.0%

Historical annual earnings growth


Earnings and Revenue History

Quality Earnings: CBSH has high quality earnings.

Growing Profit Margin: CBSH's current net profit margins (25.7%) are lower than last year (32.1%).


Past Earnings Growth Analysis

Earnings Trend: CBSH's earnings have grown by 11% per year over the past 5 years.

Accelerating Growth: CBSH's has had negative earnings growth over the past year, so it can't be compared to its 5-year average.

Earnings vs Industry: CBSH had negative earnings growth (-28.5%) over the past year, making it difficult to compare to the Banks industry average (-3.1%).


Return on Equity

High ROE: CBSH's Return on Equity (9.1%) is considered low.


Next Steps

Financial Health

How is Commerce Bancshares's financial position? (This company is analysed differently as a bank or financial institution)


Financial Position Analysis


Debt to Equity History and Analysis


Balance Sheet


Financial Institutions Analysis

Asset Level: CBSH's Assets to Equity ratio (9.1x) is low.

Allowance for Bad Loans: CBSH has a sufficient allowance for bad loans (1064%).

Low Risk Liabilities: 90% of CBSH's liabilities are made up of primarily low risk sources of funding.

Loan Level: CBSH has an appropriate level of Loans to Assets ratio (53%).

Low Risk Deposits: CBSH's Loans to Deposits ratio (66%) is appropriate.

Level of Bad Loans: CBSH has an appropriate level of bad loans (0.1%).


Next Steps

Dividend

What is Commerce Bancshares's current dividend yield, its reliability and sustainability?

1.92%

Current Dividend Yield


Dividend Yield vs Market

Notable Dividend: CBSH's dividend (1.92%) is higher than the bottom 25% of dividend payers in the US market (1.66%).

High Dividend: CBSH's dividend (1.92%) is low compared to the top 25% of dividend payers in the US market (4.68%).


Stability and Growth of Payments

Stable Dividend: CBSH's dividends per share have been stable in the past 10 years.

Growing Dividend: CBSH's dividend payments have increased over the past 10 years.


Current Payout to Shareholders

Dividend Coverage: With its reasonably low payout ratio (39%), CBSH's dividend payments are well covered by earnings.


Future Payout to Shareholders

Future Dividend Coverage: CBSH's dividends in 3 years are forecast to be well covered by earnings (39% payout ratio).


Next Steps

Management

How experienced are the management team and are they aligned to shareholders interests?

3.9yrs

Average management tenure


CEO

John Kemper (42 yo)

2.08yrs

Tenure

US$3,692,831

Compensation

Mr. John W. Kemper has been Chairman and Chief Executive Officer of Commerce Bank since August 2018 and has been Chief Executive Officer of Commerce Bancshares, Inc. since August 01, 2018. He was the Presi ...


CEO Compensation Analysis

Compensation vs Market: John's total compensation ($USD3.69M) is below average for companies of similar size in the US market ($USD7.33M).

Compensation vs Earnings: John's compensation has increased by more than 20% whilst company earnings have fallen more than 20% in the past year.


Leadership Team

NamePositionTenureCompensationOwnership
David Kemper
Executive Chairman28.83yrsUS$2.15m1.17%
$ 73.1m
John Kemper
President2.08yrsUS$3.69m0.13%
$ 8.1m
Charles Kim
Executive VP & CFO11.17yrsUS$1.41m0.092%
$ 5.7m
Kevin Barth
Executive Vice President of Commercial Line of Business15.42yrsUS$1.41m0.10%
$ 6.4m
John Handy
Executive Vice President2.67yrsUS$1.12m0.042%
$ 2.6m
Paul Steiner
Controller & Chief Accounting Officer1.42yrsno data0.0050%
$ 313.6k
David Roller
Senior VP & Chief Information Officer3.92yrsno data0.019%
$ 1.2m
Sara Foster
Executive Vice President of Talent & Corporate Administration8.58yrsno data0.046%
$ 2.9m
Thomas Noack
Senior VPno datano datano data
Jeffrey Missman
Vice Presidentno datano datano data
Susan Bergen-Painter
Executive Vice President and Corporate Marketing Director4.08yrsno datano data
Gregory Thomas
Vice Presidentno datano datano data

3.9yrs

Average Tenure

56yo

Average Age

Experienced Management: CBSH's management team is considered experienced (3.9 years average tenure).


Board Members

NamePositionTenureCompensationOwnership
David Kemper
Executive Chairman28.83yrsUS$2.15m1.17%
$ 73.1m
John Kemper
President2.08yrsUS$3.69m0.13%
$ 8.1m
W. Grant
Independent Director37.25yrsUS$101.00k0.028%
$ 1.8m
Jonathan Kemper
Director23.58yrsUS$1.82m1.12%
$ 70.1m
Terry Bassham
Independent Director7.58yrsUS$105.00k0.010%
$ 654.8k
Andrew Taylor
Lead Independent Director2.67yrsUS$111.00k0.051%
$ 3.2m
John Capps
Independent Director20.67yrsUS$104.00k0.0084%
$ 524.0k
Benjamin Rassieur
Independent Director23.08yrsUS$115.00k0.034%
$ 2.1m
Todd Schnuck
Independent Director10.42yrsUS$96.50k0.013%
$ 842.6k
Karen Daniel
Independent Director2.67yrsUS$103.00k0.0037%
$ 233.5k
Kimberly Walker
Independent Director13.58yrsUS$104.00k0.017%
$ 1.1m
Earl Devanny
Independent Director10.42yrsUS$112.00k0.015%
$ 947.8k

12.0yrs

Average Tenure

65.5yo

Average Age

Experienced Board: CBSH's board of directors are seasoned and experienced ( 12 years average tenure).


Ownership

Who are the major shareholders and have insiders been buying or selling?


Insider Trading Volume

Insider Buying: Insufficient data to determine if insiders have bought more shares than they have sold in the past 3 months.


Recent Insider Transactions

Ownership Breakdown

Dilution of Shares: Shareholders have not been meaningfully diluted in the past year.


Top Shareholders

Company Information

Commerce Bancshares, Inc.'s company bio, employee growth, exchange listings and data sources


Key Information

  • Name: Commerce Bancshares, Inc.
  • Ticker: CBSH
  • Exchange: NasdaqGS
  • Founded: 1865
  • Industry: Regional Banks
  • Sector: Banks
  • Market Cap: US$6.260b
  • Shares outstanding: 111.53m
  • Website: https://www.commercebank.com

Number of Employees


Location

  • Commerce Bancshares, Inc.
  • 1000 Walnut
  • Kansas City
  • Missouri
  • 64106
  • United States

Listings

TickerExchangePrimary SecuritySecurity TypeCountryCurrencyListed on
CBSHNasdaqGS (Nasdaq Global Select)YesCommon StockUSUSDJan 1969
CB5DB (Deutsche Boerse AG)YesCommon StockDEEURJan 1969

Biography

Commerce Bancshares, Inc. operates as the bank holding company for Commerce Bank that provides retail, mortgage banking, corporate, investment, trust, and asset management products and services to individu ...


Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

All financial data provided by Standard & Poor's Capital IQ.
DataLast Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis2020/09/19 06:02
End of Day Share Price2020/09/18 00:00
Earnings2020/06/30
Annual Earnings2019/12/31


Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more here.