Popular (BPOP) Valuation Check After This Year’s 26% Share Price Gain

Popular (BPOP) has quietly rewarded patient shareholders, with the stock up about 26% this year even after some pullback in the past 3 months. This invites a closer look at what is driving returns.

See our latest analysis for Popular.

With the share price now around $116.90, Popular’s solid year to date share price return and strong multi year total shareholder returns suggest momentum is cooling a little rather than reversing, as investors reassess both growth prospects and risk.

If Popular’s run has you rethinking your own watchlist, this is a good moment to broaden the search and explore fast growing stocks with high insider ownership.

With analysts seeing upside from here and Popular still trading at a hefty discount to some intrinsic value estimates, investors now face a key question: is this a fresh buying opportunity, or is future growth already priced in?

Most Popular Narrative: 18.3% Undervalued

With Popular last closing at $116.90 against a narrative fair value of about $143.11, the story centers on steady earnings power rather than hype.

The analysts have a consensus price target of $136.875 for Popular based on their expectations of its future earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors. However, there is a degree of disagreement amongst analysts, with the most bullish reporting a price target of $155.0, and the most bearish reporting a price target of just $123.0.

Read the complete narrative.

Curious how moderate revenue growth, firm profit margins, and a lower future earnings multiple can still point to upside from here? The full narrative unpacks the specific assumptions behind that apparent discount, and the share count changes that quietly amplify earnings per share.

Result: Fair Value of $143.11 (UNDERVALUED)

Have a read of the narrative in full and understand what's behind the forecasts.

However, lingering concentration in Puerto Rico and intensifying digital competition mean that any economic setback or slower tech adoption could quickly undermine that upside case.

Find out about the key risks to this Popular narrative.

Build Your Own Popular Narrative

If you see the story differently, or would rather dig into the numbers yourself, you can build a fresh perspective in minutes: Do it your way.

A great starting point for your Popular research is our analysis highlighting 6 key rewards and 1 important warning sign that could impact your investment decision.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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