Did You Miss Auburn National Bancorporation’s (NASDAQ:AUBN) 67% Share Price Gain?

Auburn National Bancorporation, Inc. (NASDAQ:AUBN) shareholders have seen the share price descend 28% over the month. On the bright side the returns have been quite good over the last half decade. It has returned a market beating 67% in that time.

See our latest analysis for Auburn National Bancorporation

To quote Buffett, ‘Ships will sail around the world but the Flat Earth Society will flourish. There will continue to be wide discrepancies between price and value in the marketplace…’ One imperfect but simple way to consider how the market perception of a company has shifted is to compare the change in the earnings per share (EPS) with the share price movement.

During five years of share price growth, Auburn National Bancorporation achieved compound earnings per share (EPS) growth of 5.9% per year. This EPS growth is slower than the share price growth of 11% per year, over the same period. So it’s fair to assume the market has a higher opinion of the business than it did five years ago. That’s not necessarily surprising considering the five-year track record of earnings growth.

You can see below how EPS has changed over time (discover the exact values by clicking on the image).

NasdaqGM:AUBN Past and Future Earnings March 26th 2020
NasdaqGM:AUBN Past and Future Earnings March 26th 2020

It’s probably worth noting we’ve seen significant insider buying in the last quarter, which we consider a positive. That said, we think earnings and revenue growth trends are even more important factors to consider. Dive deeper into the earnings by checking this interactive graph of Auburn National Bancorporation’s earnings, revenue and cash flow.

What About Dividends?

It is important to consider the total shareholder return, as well as the share price return, for any given stock. The TSR incorporates the value of any spin-offs or discounted capital raisings, along with any dividends, based on the assumption that the dividends are reinvested. Arguably, the TSR gives a more comprehensive picture of the return generated by a stock. In the case of Auburn National Bancorporation, it has a TSR of 92% for the last 5 years. That exceeds its share price return that we previously mentioned. And there’s no prize for guessing that the dividend payments largely explain the divergence!

A Different Perspective

We’re pleased to report that Auburn National Bancorporation shareholders have received a total shareholder return of 10% over one year. Of course, that includes the dividend. However, the TSR over five years, coming in at 14% per year, is even more impressive. While it is well worth considering the different impacts that market conditions can have on the share price, there are other factors that are even more important. Even so, be aware that Auburn National Bancorporation is showing 1 warning sign in our investment analysis , you should know about…

There are plenty of other companies that have insiders buying up shares. You probably do not want to miss this free list of growing companies that insiders are buying.

Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on US exchanges.

If you spot an error that warrants correction, please contact the editor at editorial-team@simplywallst.com. This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. Simply Wall St has no position in the stocks mentioned.

We aim to bring you long-term focused research analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Thank you for reading.