Stock Analysis
Sustainion Group AB's (NGM:SUSG) 65% Price Boost Is Out Of Tune With Earnings
Sustainion Group AB (NGM:SUSG) shareholders would be excited to see that the share price has had a great month, posting a 65% gain and recovering from prior weakness. The last 30 days bring the annual gain to a very sharp 32%.
Since its price has surged higher, Sustainion Group may be sending bearish signals at the moment with its price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 28.5x, since almost half of all companies in Sweden have P/E ratios under 22x and even P/E's lower than 14x are not unusual. Nonetheless, we'd need to dig a little deeper to determine if there is a rational basis for the elevated P/E.
Recent times have been quite advantageous for Sustainion Group as its earnings have been rising very briskly. The P/E is probably high because investors think this strong earnings growth will be enough to outperform the broader market in the near future. If not, then existing shareholders might be a little nervous about the viability of the share price.
Check out our latest analysis for Sustainion Group
We don't have analyst forecasts, but you can see how recent trends are setting up the company for the future by checking out our free report on Sustainion Group's earnings, revenue and cash flow.Does Growth Match The High P/E?
Sustainion Group's P/E ratio would be typical for a company that's expected to deliver solid growth, and importantly, perform better than the market.
Taking a look back first, we see that the company grew earnings per share by an impressive 140% last year. Still, incredibly EPS has fallen 44% in total from three years ago, which is quite disappointing. So unfortunately, we have to acknowledge that the company has not done a great job of growing earnings over that time.
In contrast to the company, the rest of the market is expected to grow by 32% over the next year, which really puts the company's recent medium-term earnings decline into perspective.
In light of this, it's alarming that Sustainion Group's P/E sits above the majority of other companies. Apparently many investors in the company are way more bullish than recent times would indicate and aren't willing to let go of their stock at any price. There's a very good chance existing shareholders are setting themselves up for future disappointment if the P/E falls to levels more in line with the recent negative growth rates.
The Final Word
Sustainion Group's P/E is getting right up there since its shares have risen strongly. Typically, we'd caution against reading too much into price-to-earnings ratios when settling on investment decisions, though it can reveal plenty about what other market participants think about the company.
Our examination of Sustainion Group revealed its shrinking earnings over the medium-term aren't impacting its high P/E anywhere near as much as we would have predicted, given the market is set to grow. When we see earnings heading backwards and underperforming the market forecasts, we suspect the share price is at risk of declining, sending the high P/E lower. Unless the recent medium-term conditions improve markedly, it's very challenging to accept these prices as being reasonable.
Before you settle on your opinion, we've discovered 3 warning signs for Sustainion Group (1 doesn't sit too well with us!) that you should be aware of.
If P/E ratios interest you, you may wish to see this free collection of other companies with strong earnings growth and low P/E ratios.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About NGM:SUSG
Sustainion Group
Through its subsidiaries, develops and sells security products in Sweden.