Is MaxFastigheter i Sverige (STO:MAXF) A Risky Investment?

By
Simply Wall St
Published
March 04, 2020
OM:MAXF

Legendary fund manager Li Lu (who Charlie Munger backed) once said, 'The biggest investment risk is not the volatility of prices, but whether you will suffer a permanent loss of capital. It's only natural to consider a company's balance sheet when you examine how risky it is, since debt is often involved when a business collapses. As with many other companies MaxFastigheter i Sverige AB (publ) (STO:MAXF) makes use of debt. But the real question is whether this debt is making the company risky.

When Is Debt Dangerous?

Debt is a tool to help businesses grow, but if a business is incapable of paying off its lenders, then it exists at their mercy. In the worst case scenario, a company can go bankrupt if it cannot pay its creditors. While that is not too common, we often do see indebted companies permanently diluting shareholders because lenders force them to raise capital at a distressed price. Of course, plenty of companies use debt to fund growth, without any negative consequences. The first thing to do when considering how much debt a business uses is to look at its cash and debt together.

See our latest analysis for MaxFastigheter i Sverige

What Is MaxFastigheter i Sverige's Net Debt?

The image below, which you can click on for greater detail, shows that at December 2019 MaxFastigheter i Sverige had debt of kr1.61b, up from kr928.4m in one year. On the flip side, it has kr224.6m in cash leading to net debt of about kr1.38b.

OM:MAXF Historical Debt, March 4th 2020
OM:MAXF Historical Debt, March 4th 2020

A Look At MaxFastigheter i Sverige's Liabilities

According to the last reported balance sheet, MaxFastigheter i Sverige had liabilities of kr776.2m due within 12 months, and liabilities of kr996.4m due beyond 12 months. Offsetting these obligations, it had cash of kr224.6m as well as receivables valued at kr56.0m due within 12 months. So it has liabilities totalling kr1.49b more than its cash and near-term receivables, combined.

The deficiency here weighs heavily on the kr779.2m company itself, as if a child were struggling under the weight of an enormous back-pack full of books, his sports gear, and a trumpet. So we definitely think shareholders need to watch this one closely. At the end of the day, MaxFastigheter i Sverige would probably need a major re-capitalization if its creditors were to demand repayment.

We use two main ratios to inform us about debt levels relative to earnings. The first is net debt divided by earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA), while the second is how many times its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) covers its interest expense (or its interest cover, for short). Thus we consider debt relative to earnings both with and without depreciation and amortization expenses.

MaxFastigheter i Sverige shareholders face the double whammy of a high net debt to EBITDA ratio (14.3), and fairly weak interest coverage, since EBIT is just 2.5 times the interest expense. This means we'd consider it to have a heavy debt load. Looking on the bright side, MaxFastigheter i Sverige boosted its EBIT by a silky 42% in the last year. Like the milk of human kindness that sort of growth increases resilience, making the company more capable of managing debt. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But it is MaxFastigheter i Sverige's earnings that will influence how the balance sheet holds up in the future. So if you're keen to discover more about its earnings, it might be worth checking out this graph of its long term earnings trend.

Finally, while the tax-man may adore accounting profits, lenders only accept cold hard cash. So the logical step is to look at the proportion of that EBIT that is matched by actual free cash flow. Looking at the most recent three years, MaxFastigheter i Sverige recorded free cash flow of 29% of its EBIT, which is weaker than we'd expect. That weak cash conversion makes it more difficult to handle indebtedness.

Our View

On the face of it, MaxFastigheter i Sverige's net debt to EBITDA left us tentative about the stock, and its level of total liabilities was no more enticing than the one empty restaurant on the busiest night of the year. But at least it's pretty decent at growing its EBIT; that's encouraging. We're quite clear that we consider MaxFastigheter i Sverige to be really rather risky, as a result of its balance sheet health. For this reason we're pretty cautious about the stock, and we think shareholders should keep a close eye on its liquidity. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. Be aware that MaxFastigheter i Sverige is showing 6 warning signs in our investment analysis , and 2 of those can't be ignored...

At the end of the day, it's often better to focus on companies that are free from net debt. You can access our special list of such companies (all with a track record of profit growth). It's free.

If you spot an error that warrants correction, please contact the editor at editorial-team@simplywallst.com. This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. Simply Wall St has no position in the stocks mentioned.

We aim to bring you long-term focused research analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Thank you for reading.

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