Stock Analysis

Are Poor Financial Prospects Dragging Down Riyadh Cement Company (TADAWUL:3092 Stock?

Published
SASE:3092

It is hard to get excited after looking at Riyadh Cement's (TADAWUL:3092) recent performance, when its stock has declined 18% over the past three months. We decided to study the company's financials to determine if the downtrend will continue as the long-term performance of a company usually dictates market outcomes. Particularly, we will be paying attention to Riyadh Cement's ROE today.

Return on equity or ROE is an important factor to be considered by a shareholder because it tells them how effectively their capital is being reinvested. In other words, it is a profitability ratio which measures the rate of return on the capital provided by the company's shareholders.

View our latest analysis for Riyadh Cement

How To Calculate Return On Equity?

The formula for ROE is:

Return on Equity = Net Profit (from continuing operations) ÷ Shareholders' Equity

So, based on the above formula, the ROE for Riyadh Cement is:

11% = ر.س186m ÷ ر.س1.7b (Based on the trailing twelve months to March 2024).

The 'return' is the yearly profit. Another way to think of that is that for every SAR1 worth of equity, the company was able to earn SAR0.11 in profit.

Why Is ROE Important For Earnings Growth?

We have already established that ROE serves as an efficient profit-generating gauge for a company's future earnings. Based on how much of its profits the company chooses to reinvest or "retain", we are then able to evaluate a company's future ability to generate profits. Assuming everything else remains unchanged, the higher the ROE and profit retention, the higher the growth rate of a company compared to companies that don't necessarily bear these characteristics.

A Side By Side comparison of Riyadh Cement's Earnings Growth And 11% ROE

It is quite clear that Riyadh Cement's ROE is rather low. However, the fact that it is higher than the industry average of 5.6% makes us a bit more interested. But then again, seeing that Riyadh Cement's five year net income shrunk at a rate of 3.8% in the past five years, makes us think again. Remember, the company's ROE is quite low to begin with, just that it is higher than the industry average. Therefore, the decline in earnings could also be the result of this.

With the industry earnings declining at a rate of 3.8% in the same period, we deduce that both the company and the industry are shrinking at the same rate.

SASE:3092 Past Earnings Growth August 6th 2024

The basis for attaching value to a company is, to a great extent, tied to its earnings growth. What investors need to determine next is if the expected earnings growth, or the lack of it, is already built into the share price. This then helps them determine if the stock is placed for a bright or bleak future. What is 3092 worth today? The intrinsic value infographic in our free research report helps visualize whether 3092 is currently mispriced by the market.

Is Riyadh Cement Efficiently Re-investing Its Profits?

Riyadh Cement has a high three-year median payout ratio of 95% (that is, it is retaining 4.8% of its profits). This suggests that the company is paying most of its profits as dividends to its shareholders. This goes some way in explaining why its earnings have been shrinking. With only a little being reinvested into the business, earnings growth would obviously be low or non-existent.

In addition, Riyadh Cement has been paying dividends over a period of three years suggesting that keeping up dividend payments is preferred by the management even though earnings have been in decline.

Summary

Overall, we would be extremely cautious before making any decision on Riyadh Cement. The company has shown a disappointing growth in its earnings as a result of it retaining little to almost none of its profits. So, the decent ROE it does have, is not much useful to investors given that the company is reinvesting very little into its business. Having said that, looking at current analyst estimates, we found that the company's earnings growth rate is expected to see a huge improvement. To know more about the latest analysts predictions for the company, check out this visualization of analyst forecasts for the company.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.