Should You Be Tempted To Buy Public Joint Stock Company Uralkali (MCX:URKA) At Its Current PE Ratio?

Public Joint Stock Company Uralkali (MISX:URKA) is trading with a trailing P/E of 2.8x, which is lower than the industry average of 9.1x. Although some investors may jump to the conclusion that this is a great buying opportunity, understanding the assumptions behind the P/E ratio might change your mind. In this article, I will break down what the P/E ratio is, how to interpret it and what to watch out for. View our latest analysis for Uralkali

What you need to know about the P/E ratio

MISX:URKA PE PEG Gauge Apr 11th 18
MISX:URKA PE PEG Gauge Apr 11th 18

P/E is a popular ratio used for relative valuation. It compares a stock’s price per share to the stock’s earnings per share. A more intuitive way of understanding the P/E ratio is to think of it as how much investors are paying for each dollar of the company’s earnings.

Formula

Price-Earnings Ratio = Price per share ÷ Earnings per share

P/E Calculation for URKA

Price per share = $1.83

Earnings per share = $0.654

∴ Price-Earnings Ratio = $1.83 ÷ $0.654 = 2.8x

The P/E ratio isn’t a metric you view in isolation and only becomes useful when you compare it against other similar companies. We preferably want to compare the stock’s P/E ratio to the average of companies that have similar features to URKA, such as capital structure and profitability. One way of gathering a peer group is to use firms in the same industry, which is what I’ll do. Since it is expected that similar companies have similar P/E ratios, we can come to some conclusions about the stock if the ratios are different.

URKA’s P/E of 2.8x is lower than its industry peers (9.1x), which implies that each dollar of URKA’s earnings is being undervalued by investors. As such, our analysis shows that URKA represents an under-priced stock.

Assumptions to watch out for

Before you jump to the conclusion that URKA represents the perfect buying opportunity, it is important to realise that our conclusion rests on two important assertions. The first is that our “similar companies” are actually similar to URKA. If the companies aren’t similar, the difference in P/E might be a result of other factors. For example, if you are inadvertently comparing lower risk firms with URKA, then URKA’s P/E would naturally be lower than its peers, since investors would value those with lower risk with a higher price. The other possibility is if you were accidentally comparing higher growth firms with URKA. In this case, URKA’s P/E would be lower since investors would also reward its peers’ higher growth with a higher price. The second assumption that must hold true is that the stocks we are comparing URKA to are fairly valued by the market. If this assumption is violated, URKA’s P/E may be lower than its peers because its peers are actually overvalued by investors.

MISX:URKA Future Profit Apr 11th 18
MISX:URKA Future Profit Apr 11th 18

What this means for you:

If your personal research into the stock confirms what the P/E ratio is telling you, it might be a good time to add more of URKA to your portfolio. But keep in mind that the usefulness of relative valuation depends on whether you are comfortable with making the assumptions I mentioned above. Remember that basing your investment decision off one metric alone is certainly not sufficient. There are many things I have not taken into account in this article and the PE ratio is very one-dimensional. If you have not done so already, I highly recommend you to complete your research by taking a look at the following:

  1. Financial Health: Is URKA’s operations financially sustainable? Balance sheets can be hard to analyze, which is why we’ve done it for you. Check out our financial health checks here.
  2. Past Track Record: Has URKA been consistently performing well irrespective of the ups and downs in the market? Go into more detail in the past performance analysis and take a look at the free visual representations of URKA’s historicals for more clarity.
  3. Other High-Performing Stocks: Are there other stocks that provide better prospects with proven track records? Explore our free list of these great stocks here.