Can Public Joint Stock Company Uralkali’s (MCX:URKA) ROE Continue To Surpass The Industry Average?

With an ROE of 76.08%, Public Joint Stock Company Uralkali (MISX:URKA) outpaced its own industry which delivered a less exciting 24.72% over the past year. But what is more interesting is whether URKA can sustain this above-average ratio. A measure of sustainable returns is URKA’s financial leverage. If URKA borrows debt to invest in its business, its profits will be higher. But ROE does not capture any debt, so we only see high profits and low equity, which is great on the surface. But today let’s take a deeper dive below this surface. View our latest analysis for Uralkali

Breaking down ROE — the mother of all ratios

Firstly, Return on Equity, or ROE, is simply the percentage of last years’ earning against the book value of shareholders’ equity. An ROE of 76.08% implies RUB0.76 returned on every RUB1 invested, so the higher the return, the better. Investors that are diversifying their portfolio based on industry may want to maximise their return in the Fertilizers and Agricultural Chemicals sector by choosing the highest returning stock. However, this can be deceiving as each company has varying costs of equity and debt levels, which could exaggeratedly push up ROE at the same time as accumulating high interest expense.

Return on Equity = Net Profit ÷ Shareholders Equity

Returns are usually compared to costs to measure the efficiency of capital. Uralkali’s cost of equity is 20.07%. This means Uralkali returns enough to cover its own cost of equity, with a buffer of 56.01%. This sustainable practice implies that the company pays less for its capital than what it generates in return. ROE can be broken down into three different ratios: net profit margin, asset turnover, and financial leverage. This is called the Dupont Formula:

Dupont Formula

ROE = profit margin × asset turnover × financial leverage

ROE = (annual net profit ÷ sales) × (sales ÷ assets) × (assets ÷ shareholders’ equity)

ROE = annual net profit ÷ shareholders’ equity

MISX:URKA Last Perf Apr 19th 18
MISX:URKA Last Perf Apr 19th 18

The first component is profit margin, which measures how much of sales is retained after the company pays for all its expenses. The other component, asset turnover, illustrates how much revenue Uralkali can make from its asset base. Finally, financial leverage will be our main focus today. It shows how much of assets are funded by equity and can show how sustainable the company’s capital structure is. We can assess whether Uralkali is fuelling ROE by excessively raising debt. Ideally, Uralkali should have a balanced capital structure, which we can check by looking at the historic debt-to-equity ratio of the company. Currently the ratio stands at more than 2.5 times, which is very high. This means Uralkali’s above-average ROE is being driven by its significant debt levels and its ability to grow profit hinges on a significant debt burden.

MISX:URKA Historical Debt Apr 19th 18
MISX:URKA Historical Debt Apr 19th 18

Next Steps:

While ROE is a relatively simple calculation, it can be broken down into different ratios, each telling a different story about the strengths and weaknesses of a company. Uralkali exhibits a strong ROE against its peers, as well as sufficient returns to cover its cost of equity. With debt capital in excess of equity, ROE may be inflated by the use of debt funding, raising questions over the sustainability of the company’s returns. Although ROE can be a useful metric, it is only a small part of diligent research.

For Uralkali, I’ve put together three relevant factors you should further examine:

  1. Financial Health: Does it have a healthy balance sheet? Take a look at our free balance sheet analysis with six simple checks on key factors like leverage and risk.
  2. Valuation: What is Uralkali worth today? Is the stock undervalued, even when its growth outlook is factored into its intrinsic value? The intrinsic value infographic in our free research report helps visualize whether Uralkali is currently mispriced by the market.
  3. Other High-Growth Alternatives : Are there other high-growth stocks you could be holding instead of Uralkali? Explore our interactive list of stocks with large growth potential to get an idea of what else is out there you may be missing!