Polyus' (MCX:PLZL) five-year total shareholder returns outpace the underlying earnings growth

By
Simply Wall St
Published
February 25, 2022
MISX:PLZL
Source: Shutterstock

Some Public Joint Stock Company Polyus (MCX:PLZL) shareholders are probably rather concerned to see the share price fall 38% over the last three months. But that doesn't change the fact that the returns over the last five years have been pleasing. It has returned a market beating 100% in that time.

Since the long term performance has been good but there's been a recent pullback of 33%, let's check if the fundamentals match the share price.

View our latest analysis for Polyus

To paraphrase Benjamin Graham: Over the short term the market is a voting machine, but over the long term it's a weighing machine. One imperfect but simple way to consider how the market perception of a company has shifted is to compare the change in the earnings per share (EPS) with the share price movement.

Over half a decade, Polyus managed to grow its earnings per share at 21% a year. This EPS growth is higher than the 15% average annual increase in the share price. Therefore, it seems the market has become relatively pessimistic about the company. The reasonably low P/E ratio of 5.33 also suggests market apprehension.

The company's earnings per share (over time) is depicted in the image below (click to see the exact numbers).

earnings-per-share-growth
MISX:PLZL Earnings Per Share Growth February 25th 2022

It is of course excellent to see how Polyus has grown profits over the years, but the future is more important for shareholders. Take a more thorough look at Polyus' financial health with this free report on its balance sheet.

What About Dividends?

As well as measuring the share price return, investors should also consider the total shareholder return (TSR). The TSR is a return calculation that accounts for the value of cash dividends (assuming that any dividend received was reinvested) and the calculated value of any discounted capital raisings and spin-offs. Arguably, the TSR gives a more comprehensive picture of the return generated by a stock. As it happens, Polyus' TSR for the last 5 years was 158%, which exceeds the share price return mentioned earlier. And there's no prize for guessing that the dividend payments largely explain the divergence!

A Different Perspective

While the broader market lost about 27% in the twelve months, Polyus shareholders did even worse, losing 34% (even including dividends). Having said that, it's inevitable that some stocks will be oversold in a falling market. The key is to keep your eyes on the fundamental developments. Longer term investors wouldn't be so upset, since they would have made 21%, each year, over five years. It could be that the recent sell-off is an opportunity, so it may be worth checking the fundamental data for signs of a long term growth trend. While it is well worth considering the different impacts that market conditions can have on the share price, there are other factors that are even more important. Even so, be aware that Polyus is showing 3 warning signs in our investment analysis , you should know about...

If you are like me, then you will not want to miss this free list of growing companies that insiders are buying.

Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on RU exchanges.

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