Vodafone Qatar P.Q.S.C. (DSM:VFQS) Stock Is Going Strong But Fundamentals Look Uncertain: What Lies Ahead ?

July 20, 2022
  •  Updated
October 20, 2022
DSM:VFQS
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Vodafone Qatar P.Q.S.C's (DSM:VFQS) stock is up by a considerable 6.4% over the past week. However, we decided to pay attention to the company's fundamentals which don't appear to give a clear sign about the company's financial health. In this article, we decided to focus on Vodafone Qatar P.Q.S.C's ROE.

Return on equity or ROE is an important factor to be considered by a shareholder because it tells them how effectively their capital is being reinvested. Put another way, it reveals the company's success at turning shareholder investments into profits.

View our latest analysis for Vodafone Qatar P.Q.S.C

How To Calculate Return On Equity?

Return on equity can be calculated by using the formula:

Return on Equity = Net Profit (from continuing operations) ÷ Shareholders' Equity

So, based on the above formula, the ROE for Vodafone Qatar P.Q.S.C is:

8.3% = ر.ق369m ÷ ر.ق4.4b (Based on the trailing twelve months to March 2022).

The 'return' refers to a company's earnings over the last year. Another way to think of that is that for every QAR1 worth of equity, the company was able to earn QAR0.08 in profit.

What Has ROE Got To Do With Earnings Growth?

So far, we've learned that ROE is a measure of a company's profitability. We now need to evaluate how much profit the company reinvests or "retains" for future growth which then gives us an idea about the growth potential of the company. Generally speaking, other things being equal, firms with a high return on equity and profit retention, have a higher growth rate than firms that don’t share these attributes.

A Side By Side comparison of Vodafone Qatar P.Q.S.C's Earnings Growth And 8.3% ROE

It is hard to argue that Vodafone Qatar P.Q.S.C's ROE is much good in and of itself. Even compared to the average industry ROE of 11%, the company's ROE is quite dismal. Despite this, surprisingly, Vodafone Qatar P.Q.S.C saw an exceptional 62% net income growth over the past five years. We reckon that there could be other factors at play here. For instance, the company has a low payout ratio or is being managed efficiently.

As a next step, we compared Vodafone Qatar P.Q.S.C's net income growth with the industry, and pleasingly, we found that the growth seen by the company is higher than the average industry growth of 7.7%.

past-earnings-growth
DSM:VFQS Past Earnings Growth July 20th 2022

Earnings growth is an important metric to consider when valuing a stock. The investor should try to establish if the expected growth or decline in earnings, whichever the case may be, is priced in. Doing so will help them establish if the stock's future looks promising or ominous. Has the market priced in the future outlook for VFQS? You can find out in our latest intrinsic value infographic research report.

Is Vodafone Qatar P.Q.S.C Using Its Retained Earnings Effectively?

Vodafone Qatar P.Q.S.C has very a high three-year median payout ratio of 129% suggesting that the company's shareholders are getting paid from more than just the company's earnings. Despite this, the company's earnings grew significantly as we saw above. With that said, it could be worth keeping an eye on the high payout ratio as that's a huge risk.

Besides, Vodafone Qatar P.Q.S.C has been paying dividends over a period of eight years. This shows that the company is committed to sharing profits with its shareholders. Upon studying the latest analysts' consensus data, we found that the company's future payout ratio is expected to drop to 88% over the next three years. Regardless, the ROE is not expected to change much for the company despite the lower expected payout ratio.

Summary

Overall, we have mixed feelings about Vodafone Qatar P.Q.S.C. While no doubt its earnings growth is pretty substantial, its ROE and earnings retention is quite poor. So while the company has managed to grow its earnings in spite of this, we are unconvinced if this growth could extend, especially during troubled times. That being so, a study of the latest analyst forecasts show that the company is expected to see a slowdown in its future earnings growth. Are these analysts expectations based on the broad expectations for the industry, or on the company's fundamentals? Click here to be taken to our analyst's forecasts page for the company.

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