Jerónimo Martins, SGPS, S.A.'s (ELI:JMT) Stock Has Seen Strong Momentum: Does That Call For Deeper Study Of Its Financial Prospects?

September 02, 2022
  •  Updated
November 14, 2022
ENXTLS:JMT
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Jerónimo Martins SGPS (ELI:JMT) has had a great run on the share market with its stock up by a significant 15% over the last three months. Given that stock prices are usually aligned with a company's financial performance in the long-term, we decided to study its financial indicators more closely to see if they had a hand to play in the recent price move. In this article, we decided to focus on Jerónimo Martins SGPS' ROE.

Return on equity or ROE is an important factor to be considered by a shareholder because it tells them how effectively their capital is being reinvested. In other words, it is a profitability ratio which measures the rate of return on the capital provided by the company's shareholders.

See our latest analysis for Jerónimo Martins SGPS

How Is ROE Calculated?

Return on equity can be calculated by using the formula:

Return on Equity = Net Profit (from continuing operations) ÷ Shareholders' Equity

So, based on the above formula, the ROE for Jerónimo Martins SGPS is:

25% = €560m ÷ €2.3b (Based on the trailing twelve months to June 2022).

The 'return' is the amount earned after tax over the last twelve months. So, this means that for every €1 of its shareholder's investments, the company generates a profit of €0.25.

What Is The Relationship Between ROE And Earnings Growth?

Thus far, we have learned that ROE measures how efficiently a company is generating its profits. We now need to evaluate how much profit the company reinvests or "retains" for future growth which then gives us an idea about the growth potential of the company. Generally speaking, other things being equal, firms with a high return on equity and profit retention, have a higher growth rate than firms that don’t share these attributes.

Jerónimo Martins SGPS' Earnings Growth And 25% ROE

Firstly, we acknowledge that Jerónimo Martins SGPS has a significantly high ROE. Additionally, the company's ROE is higher compared to the industry average of 12% which is quite remarkable. However, we are curious as to how the high returns still resulted in a flat growth for Jerónimo Martins SGPS in the past five years. Based on this, we feel that there might be other reasons which haven't been discussed so far in this article that could be hampering the company's growth. Such as, the company pays out a huge portion of its earnings as dividends, or is faced with competitive pressures.

We then compared Jerónimo Martins SGPS' net income growth with the industry and found that the company's growth figure is lower than the average industry growth rate of 10% in the same period, which is a bit concerning.

past-earnings-growth
ENXTLS:JMT Past Earnings Growth September 2nd 2022

Earnings growth is a huge factor in stock valuation. It’s important for an investor to know whether the market has priced in the company's expected earnings growth (or decline). Doing so will help them establish if the stock's future looks promising or ominous. Has the market priced in the future outlook for JMT? You can find out in our latest intrinsic value infographic research report.

Is Jerónimo Martins SGPS Efficiently Re-investing Its Profits?

The high three-year median payout ratio of 53% (meaning, the company retains only 47% of profits) for Jerónimo Martins SGPS suggests that the company's earnings growth was miniscule as a result of paying out a majority of its earnings.

Moreover, Jerónimo Martins SGPS has been paying dividends for at least ten years or more suggesting that management must have perceived that the shareholders prefer dividends over earnings growth. Upon studying the latest analysts' consensus data, we found that the company is expected to keep paying out approximately 54% of its profits over the next three years. Therefore, the company's future ROE is also not expected to change by much with analysts predicting an ROE of 23%.

Conclusion

In total, it does look like Jerónimo Martins SGPS has some positive aspects to its business. Although, we are disappointed to see a lack of growth in earnings even in spite of a high ROE. Bear in mind, the company reinvests a small portion of its profits, which means that investors aren't reaping the benefits of the high rate of return. With that said, the latest industry analyst forecasts reveal that the company's earnings are expected to accelerate. To know more about the company's future earnings growth forecasts take a look at this free report on analyst forecasts for the company to find out more.

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