Should You Think About Buying TAURON Polska Energia S.A. (WSE:TPE) Now?

TAURON Polska Energia S.A. (WSE:TPE), which is in the electric utilities business, and is based in Poland, received a lot of attention from a substantial price movement on the WSE over the last few months, increasing to PLN1.89 at one point, and dropping to the lows of PLN1.48. Some share price movements can give investors a better opportunity to enter into the stock, and potentially buy at a lower price. A question to answer is whether TAURON Polska Energia’s current trading price of PLN1.55 reflective of the actual value of the small-cap? Or is it currently undervalued, providing us with the opportunity to buy? Let’s take a look at TAURON Polska Energia’s outlook and value based on the most recent financial data to see if there are any catalysts for a price change.

See our latest analysis for TAURON Polska Energia

What is TAURON Polska Energia worth?

According to my relative valuation model, the stock is currently overvalued. In this instance, I’ve used the price-to-earnings (PE) ratio given that there is not enough information to reliably forecast the stock’s cash flows. I find that TAURON Polska Energia’s ratio of 29.23x is above its peer average of 8.52x, which suggests the stock is overvalued compared to the Electric Utilities industry. In addition to this, it seems like TAURON Polska Energia’s share price is quite stable, which could mean two things: firstly, it may take the share price a while to fall back down to an attractive buying range, and secondly, there may be less chances to buy low in the future once it reaches that value. This is because the stock is less volatile than the wider market given its low beta.

Can we expect growth from TAURON Polska Energia?

WSE:TPE Past and Future Earnings, August 16th 2019
WSE:TPE Past and Future Earnings, August 16th 2019

Investors looking for growth in their portfolio may want to consider the prospects of a company before buying its shares. Although value investors would argue that it’s the intrinsic value relative to the price that matter the most, a more compelling investment thesis would be high growth potential at a cheap price. TAURON Polska Energia’s earnings over the next few years are expected to double, indicating a very optimistic future ahead. This should lead to stronger cash flows, feeding into a higher share value.

What this means for you:

Are you a shareholder? It seems like the market has well and truly priced in TPE’s positive outlook, with shares trading above its fair value. However, this brings up another question – is now the right time to sell? If you believe TPE should trade below its current price, selling high and buying it back up again when its price falls towards its real value can be profitable. But before you make this decision, take a look at whether its fundamentals have changed.

Are you a potential investor? If you’ve been keeping tabs on TPE for some time, now may not be the best time to enter into the stock. The price has surpassed its industry peers, which means it is likely that there is no more upside from mispricing. However, the positive outlook is encouraging for TPE, which means it’s worth diving deeper into other factors in order to take advantage of the next price drop.

Price is just the tip of the iceberg. Dig deeper into what truly matters – the fundamentals – before you make a decision on TAURON Polska Energia. You can find everything you need to know about TAURON Polska Energia in the latest infographic research report. If you are no longer interested in TAURON Polska Energia, you can use our free platform to see my list of over 50 other stocks with a high growth potential.

We aim to bring you long-term focused research analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material.

If you spot an error that warrants correction, please contact the editor at editorial-team@simplywallst.com. This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. Simply Wall St has no position in the stocks mentioned. Thank you for reading.