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A Piece Of The Puzzle Missing From Energa SA's (WSE:ENG) 32% Share Price Climb
Energa SA (WSE:ENG) shareholders have had their patience rewarded with a 32% share price jump in the last month. The last 30 days bring the annual gain to a very sharp 44%.
Even after such a large jump in price, there still wouldn't be many who think Energa's price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 0.4x is worth a mention when it essentially matches the median P/S in Poland's Electric Utilities industry. However, investors might be overlooking a clear opportunity or potential setback if there is no rational basis for the P/S.
Check out our latest analysis for Energa
What Does Energa's P/S Mean For Shareholders?
For example, consider that Energa's financial performance has been pretty ordinary lately as revenue growth is non-existent. It might be that many expect the uninspiring revenue performance to only match most other companies at best over the coming period, which has kept the P/S from rising. If you like the company, you'd be hoping this isn't the case so that you could potentially pick up some stock while it's not quite in favour.
We don't have analyst forecasts, but you can see how recent trends are setting up the company for the future by checking out our free report on Energa's earnings, revenue and cash flow.How Is Energa's Revenue Growth Trending?
In order to justify its P/S ratio, Energa would need to produce growth that's similar to the industry.
Retrospectively, the last year delivered virtually the same number to the company's top line as the year before. Still, the latest three year period was better as it's delivered a decent 28% overall rise in revenue. Therefore, it's fair to say that revenue growth has been inconsistent recently for the company.
When compared to the industry's one-year growth forecast of 3.1%, the most recent medium-term revenue trajectory is noticeably more alluring
In light of this, it's curious that Energa's P/S sits in line with the majority of other companies. It may be that most investors are not convinced the company can maintain its recent growth rates.
What Does Energa's P/S Mean For Investors?
Its shares have lifted substantially and now Energa's P/S is back within range of the industry median. It's argued the price-to-sales ratio is an inferior measure of value within certain industries, but it can be a powerful business sentiment indicator.
We've established that Energa currently trades on a lower than expected P/S since its recent three-year growth is higher than the wider industry forecast. It'd be fair to assume that potential risks the company faces could be the contributing factor to the lower than expected P/S. At least the risk of a price drop looks to be subdued if recent medium-term revenue trends continue, but investors seem to think future revenue could see some volatility.
It's always necessary to consider the ever-present spectre of investment risk. We've identified 2 warning signs with Energa (at least 1 which can't be ignored), and understanding these should be part of your investment process.
It's important to make sure you look for a great company, not just the first idea you come across. So if growing profitability aligns with your idea of a great company, take a peek at this free list of interesting companies with strong recent earnings growth (and a low P/E).
Valuation is complex, but we're here to simplify it.
Discover if Energa might be undervalued or overvalued with our detailed analysis, featuring fair value estimates, potential risks, dividends, insider trades, and its financial condition.
Access Free AnalysisHave feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About WSE:ENG
Energa
Engages in the generation, distribution, trading, and sale of electricity and heat in Poland.
Proven track record and fair value.
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