Stock Analysis

Don't Buy Ultimate Games S.A. (WSE:ULG) For Its Next Dividend Without Doing These Checks

WSE:ULG
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Regular readers will know that we love our dividends at Simply Wall St, which is why it's exciting to see Ultimate Games S.A. (WSE:ULG) is about to trade ex-dividend in the next four days. The ex-dividend date is one business day before the record date, which is the cut-off date for shareholders to be present on the company's books to be eligible for a dividend payment. The ex-dividend date is of consequence because whenever a stock is bought or sold, the trade takes at least two business day to settle. This means that investors who purchase Ultimate Games' shares on or after the 19th of August will not receive the dividend, which will be paid on the 30th of August.

The company's next dividend payment will be zł0.50 per share, and in the last 12 months, the company paid a total of zł0.50 per share. Based on the last year's worth of payments, Ultimate Games stock has a trailing yield of around 4.5% on the current share price of zł11.00. We love seeing companies pay a dividend, but it's also important to be sure that laying the golden eggs isn't going to kill our golden goose! We need to see whether the dividend is covered by earnings and if it's growing.

See our latest analysis for Ultimate Games

Dividends are typically paid from company earnings. If a company pays more in dividends than it earned in profit, then the dividend could be unsustainable. Ultimate Games reported a loss after tax last year, which means it's paying a dividend despite being unprofitable. While this might be a one-off event, this is unlikely to be sustainable in the long term. Given that the company reported a loss last year, we now need to see if it generated enough free cash flow to fund the dividend. If cash earnings don't cover the dividend, the company would have to pay dividends out of cash in the bank, or by borrowing money, neither of which is long-term sustainable. Over the last year, it paid out dividends equivalent to 692% of what it generated in free cash flow, a disturbingly high percentage. Unless there were something in the business we're not grasping, this could signal a risk that the dividend may have to be cut in the future.

Ultimate Games does have a large net cash position on the balance sheet, which could fund large dividends for a time, if the company so chose. Still, smart investors know that it is better to assess dividends relative to the cash and profit generated by the business. Paying dividends out of cash on the balance sheet is not long-term sustainable.

Click here to see how much of its profit Ultimate Games paid out over the last 12 months.

historic-dividend
WSE:ULG Historic Dividend August 14th 2024

Have Earnings And Dividends Been Growing?

When earnings decline, dividend companies become much harder to analyse and own safely. If business enters a downturn and the dividend is cut, the company could see its value fall precipitously. Ultimate Games reported a loss last year, and the general trend suggests its earnings have also been declining in recent years, making us wonder if the dividend is at risk.

The main way most investors will assess a company's dividend prospects is by checking the historical rate of dividend growth. In the past five years, Ultimate Games has increased its dividend at approximately 7.4% a year on average.

Get our latest analysis on Ultimate Games's balance sheet health here.

Final Takeaway

Should investors buy Ultimate Games for the upcoming dividend? We're a bit uncomfortable with it paying a dividend while being loss-making, especially given that the dividend was not well covered by free cash flow. It's not that we think Ultimate Games is a bad company, but these characteristics don't generally lead to outstanding dividend performance.

Although, if you're still interested in Ultimate Games and want to know more, you'll find it very useful to know what risks this stock faces. For example, we've found 3 warning signs for Ultimate Games (2 are a bit concerning!) that deserve your attention before investing in the shares.

If you're in the market for strong dividend payers, we recommend checking our selection of top dividend stocks.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.