We Think JWW Invest's (WSE:JWW) Statutory Profit Might Understate Its Earnings Potential

By
Simply Wall St
Published
October 02, 2020
WSE:JWW
Source: Shutterstock

It might be old fashioned, but we really like to invest in companies that make a profit, each and every year. Having said that, sometimes statutory profit levels are not a good guide to ongoing profitability, because some short term one-off factor has impacted profit levels. Today we'll focus on whether this year's statutory profits are a good guide to understanding JWW Invest (WSE:JWW).

While JWW Invest was able to generate revenue of zł63.6m in the last twelve months, we think its profit result of zł3.89m was more important. The chart below shows that revenue has improved over the last three years, and, even better, the company has moved from unprofitable to profitable.

Check out our latest analysis for JWW Invest

earnings-and-revenue-history
WSE:JWW Earnings and Revenue History October 2nd 2020

Of course, when it comes to statutory profit, the devil is often in the detail, and we can get a better sense for a company by diving deeper into the financial statements. So today we'll look at what JWW Invest's cashflow tells us about the quality of its earnings. Note: we always recommend investors check balance sheet strength. Click here to be taken to our balance sheet analysis of JWW Invest.

A Closer Look At JWW Invest's Earnings

Many investors haven't heard of the accrual ratio from cashflow, but it is actually a useful measure of how well a company's profit is backed up by free cash flow (FCF) during a given period. To get the accrual ratio we first subtract FCF from profit for a period, and then divide that number by the average operating assets for the period. You could think of the accrual ratio from cashflow as the 'non-FCF profit ratio'.

That means a negative accrual ratio is a good thing, because it shows that the company is bringing in more free cash flow than its profit would suggest. That is not intended to imply we should worry about a positive accrual ratio, but it's worth noting where the accrual ratio is rather high. That's because some academic studies have suggested that high accruals ratios tend to lead to lower profit or less profit growth.

For the year to March 2020, JWW Invest had an accrual ratio of -0.41. That implies it has very good cash conversion, and that its earnings in the last year actually significantly understate its free cash flow. To wit, it produced free cash flow of zł9.8m during the period, dwarfing its reported profit of zł3.89m. Notably, JWW Invest had negative free cash flow last year, so the zł9.8m it produced this year was a welcome improvement.

Our Take On JWW Invest's Profit Performance

Happily for shareholders, JWW Invest produced plenty of free cash flow to back up its statutory profit numbers. Based on this observation, we consider it possible that JWW Invest's statutory profit actually understates its earnings potential! And the EPS is up 67% over the last twelve months. Of course, we've only just scratched the surface when it comes to analysing its earnings; one could also consider margins, forecast growth, and return on investment, among other factors. With this in mind, we wouldn't consider investing in a stock unless we had a thorough understanding of the risks. To help with this, we've discovered 3 warning signs (2 are a bit unpleasant!) that you ought to be aware of before buying any shares in JWW Invest.

Today we've zoomed in on a single data point to better understand the nature of JWW Invest's profit. But there are plenty of other ways to inform your opinion of a company. For example, many people consider a high return on equity as an indication of favorable business economics, while others like to 'follow the money' and search out stocks that insiders are buying. So you may wish to see this free collection of companies boasting high return on equity, or this list of stocks that insiders are buying.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
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