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The Strong Earnings Posted By Third Age Health Services (NZSE:TAH) Are A Good Indication Of The Strength Of The Business
Third Age Health Services Limited (NZSE:TAH) just reported healthy earnings but the stock price didn't move much. Investors are probably missing some underlying factors which are encouraging for the future of the company.
Zooming In On Third Age Health Services' Earnings
In high finance, the key ratio used to measure how well a company converts reported profits into free cash flow (FCF) is the accrual ratio (from cashflow). In plain english, this ratio subtracts FCF from net profit, and divides that number by the company's average operating assets over that period. You could think of the accrual ratio from cashflow as the 'non-FCF profit ratio'.
That means a negative accrual ratio is a good thing, because it shows that the company is bringing in more free cash flow than its profit would suggest. That is not intended to imply we should worry about a positive accrual ratio, but it's worth noting where the accrual ratio is rather high. To quote a 2014 paper by Lewellen and Resutek, "firms with higher accruals tend to be less profitable in the future".
Third Age Health Services has an accrual ratio of -0.48 for the year to March 2025. Therefore, its statutory earnings were very significantly less than its free cashflow. In fact, it had free cash flow of NZ$3.5m in the last year, which was a lot more than its statutory profit of NZ$2.34m. Third Age Health Services' free cash flow improved over the last year, which is generally good to see.
Note: we always recommend investors check balance sheet strength. Click here to be taken to our balance sheet analysis of Third Age Health Services.
Our Take On Third Age Health Services' Profit Performance
As we discussed above, Third Age Health Services' accrual ratio indicates strong conversion of profit to free cash flow, which is a positive for the company. Based on this observation, we consider it possible that Third Age Health Services' statutory profit actually understates its earnings potential! And on top of that, its earnings per share have grown at an extremely impressive rate over the last three years. Of course, we've only just scratched the surface when it comes to analysing its earnings; one could also consider margins, forecast growth, and return on investment, among other factors. If you want to do dive deeper into Third Age Health Services, you'd also look into what risks it is currently facing. While conducting our analysis, we found that Third Age Health Services has 2 warning signs and it would be unwise to ignore them.
Today we've zoomed in on a single data point to better understand the nature of Third Age Health Services' profit. But there is always more to discover if you are capable of focussing your mind on minutiae. Some people consider a high return on equity to be a good sign of a quality business. So you may wish to see this free collection of companies boasting high return on equity, or this list of stocks with high insider ownership.
Valuation is complex, but we're here to simplify it.
Discover if Third Age Health Services might be undervalued or overvalued with our detailed analysis, featuring fair value estimates, potential risks, dividends, insider trades, and its financial condition.
Access Free AnalysisHave feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About NZSE:TAH
Third Age Health Services
Provides general practice health care services for older people living in retirement villages, private hospitals, and secure dementia units in New Zealand.
Outstanding track record and fair value.
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