Stock Analysis

Oceania Healthcare's (NZSE:OCA) Solid Earnings May Rest On Weak Foundations

The recent earnings posted by Oceania Healthcare Limited (NZSE:OCA) were solid, but the stock didn't move as much as we expected. We believe that shareholders have noticed some concerning factors beyond the statutory profit numbers.

earnings-and-revenue-history
NZSE:OCA Earnings and Revenue History November 28th 2025
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The Impact Of Unusual Items On Profit

For anyone who wants to understand Oceania Healthcare's profit beyond the statutory numbers, it's important to note that during the last twelve months statutory profit gained from NZ$88m worth of unusual items. We can't deny that higher profits generally leave us optimistic, but we'd prefer it if the profit were to be sustainable. When we crunched the numbers on thousands of publicly listed companies, we found that a boost from unusual items in a given year is often not repeated the next year. Which is hardly surprising, given the name. Oceania Healthcare had a rather significant contribution from unusual items relative to its profit to September 2025. As a result, we can surmise that the unusual items are making its statutory profit significantly stronger than it would otherwise be.

That might leave you wondering what analysts are forecasting in terms of future profitability. Luckily, you can click here to see an interactive graph depicting future profitability, based on their estimates.

Our Take On Oceania Healthcare's Profit Performance

As we discussed above, we think the significant positive unusual item makes Oceania Healthcare's earnings a poor guide to its underlying profitability. For this reason, we think that Oceania Healthcare's statutory profits may be a bad guide to its underlying earnings power, and might give investors an overly positive impression of the company. On the bright side, the company showed enough improvement to book a profit this year, after losing money last year. Of course, we've only just scratched the surface when it comes to analysing its earnings; one could also consider margins, forecast growth, and return on investment, among other factors. So if you'd like to dive deeper into this stock, it's crucial to consider any risks it's facing. To help with this, we've discovered 2 warning signs (1 is concerning!) that you ought to be aware of before buying any shares in Oceania Healthcare.

Today we've zoomed in on a single data point to better understand the nature of Oceania Healthcare's profit. But there is always more to discover if you are capable of focussing your mind on minutiae. For example, many people consider a high return on equity as an indication of favorable business economics, while others like to 'follow the money' and search out stocks that insiders are buying. While it might take a little research on your behalf, you may find this free collection of companies boasting high return on equity, or this list of stocks with significant insider holdings to be useful.

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Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.

This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

About NZSE:OCA

Oceania Healthcare

Owns and operates retirement villages and care centres in New Zealand.

Undervalued with questionable track record.

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